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Guangdong Topstar Technology Co (300607) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 17.3B CNY

GT Guangdong Topstar Technology Co 300607 · SHE
Price¥33.41
Fair Value¥3.69
Upside-89.0%
Quality49/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 4.4% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
0.94% dividend yield
Trails peers (2/14)
Narrow moat 34/100
Evidence: High Range ¥2.97 – ¥3.69 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 9, 2026

From 23 valuation models · updated 32 days ago

Share price −22.2% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 89% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥3.69). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (49/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥52.96 ¥8.45 Fair Value ¥3.69 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥8.45 – ¥52.96 · fair‑value band ¥2.97 – ¥3.69 · the ¥33.41 price screens above the ¥3.69 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Guangdong Topstar Technology Co (300607) currently trades at ¥33.41, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥3.69, implying the stock looks roughly 89.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Guangdong Topstar Technology Co generated revenue of 2.7B CNY at a net margin of 4.4%. Revenue grew 48.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.9%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 206M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥2.97 (bear case) to ¥3.69 (bull case); at ¥33.41, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 18% below its 52-week high and 39% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -89%, 300607 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥12.14 ¥20.88 ¥38.57 80
Residual Income ¥4.30 ¥4.13 ¥3.39 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥7.76 ¥12.51 ¥21.38 74
All 23 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥12.78 ¥18.98 ¥38.73 38
5Y Revenue Exit ¥7.75 ¥11.17 ¥18.26 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥8.60 ¥12.88 ¥21.25 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥6.77 ¥10.75 ¥15.83 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥9.16 ¥15.87 ¥19.55 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥9.93 ¥17.69 ¥30.56 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥8.60 ¥13.74 ¥21.43 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥1.05 ¥7.34 ¥10.31 54
Lynch FV ¥2.72 ¥3.89 ¥5.06 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥2.72 ¥3.89 ¥5.06 46
EPV ¥5.26 ¥5.81 ¥6.29 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥2.44 ¥3.25 ¥4.07 63
P/S Multiple ¥1.97 ¥2.63 ¥3.29 58
P/B Multiple ¥1.97 ¥2.63 ¥3.29 55
EV/EBIT ¥6.86 ¥8.50 ¥10.13 53
EV/EBITDA ¥6.83 ¥8.45 ¥10.07 54
EV/Revenue ¥5.46 ¥6.96 ¥8.46 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥3.01 ¥4.03 ¥6.01 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥12.14 ¥20.88 ¥38.57 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥7.76 ¥12.51 ¥21.38 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥4.30 ¥4.13 ¥3.39 76
ROIC Compounder ¥5.26 ¥5.81 ¥6.72 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥3.49 ¥4.99 ¥6.49 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥13.74) versus Multiples (¥3.25). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 2.7B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +48.5%
Net margin 4.4%
Return on equity 3.9%
Free cash flow 306M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 151.5
More key figures
Operating margin 10.1%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.2400
Dividend yield 0.9%
EPS growth (YoY) +900%
Net cash 206M CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 49/100

Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 54

Profitability 23
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 42
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 69
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 69
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 81
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 53
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 58
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 47
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 20
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Guangdong Topstar Technology Co., Ltd. engages in the design, research and development, manufacture, and sale of industrial robots in China.

Full company description

Guangdong Topstar Technology Co., Ltd. engages in the design, research and development, manufacture, and sale of industrial robots in China. The company offers injection molding machines; injection robots; auxiliary equipment; CNC machines; and industrial robots, including SCARA series, six-axis multi-joint series, parallel multi-joint series, and collaborative series. It also provides robotic arms and other intelligent equipment; hardware mold machinery; automated equipment and plastic machinery such as automatic feeding, mixing, metering, dehumidification, drying, and crushing and recycling equipment; refrigeration equipment, etc.; automated control system software and hardware; import and export of goods and technology; technology development in the field of rapid prototyping, research and development, production, processing and sales of printing equipment, printing equipment consumables, and other rubber products and plastic products; and dust-free, sterile purification systems, equipment, and related electromechanical and instrumentation products, as well as electromechanical installation engineering, air purification engineering, pipeline engineering, and container installation engineering design, construction, and consulting service. The company was founded in 2007 and is based in Dongguan, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Guangdong Topstar Technology Co reported revenue of ¥2.5B in FY2025 versus ¥3.3B in FY2021, a compound −6.6%/yr. Reported net income was ¥73.9M in FY2025, compounding +3.1%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
2.5B CNY
Latest YoY
−12.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−20.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
−1.8%
Avg. growth/yr (13Y)
+28.9%
Revenue −6.6%/yr
FY21 ¥3.3B
FY22 ¥5.0B
FY23 ¥4.6B
FY24 ¥2.9B
FY25 ¥2.5B
Net income +3.1%/yr
FY21 ¥65.4M
FY22 ¥160M
FY23 ¥88.0M
FY24 −¥245M
FY25 ¥73.9M

300607 screens 89% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Guangdong Topstar Technology Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300607

Peer Group

Specialty Industrial Machinery · 809 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 49 · Below median
Fair Value upside −89% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 4% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 4% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 10% · Above median
Revenue growth 49% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.9% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.12× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 151.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 6.04× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 6.46× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 8.4× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 91.9× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 23
PAST 16 · sector 28
HEALTH 94 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 19 · sector 24

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 9, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
GE Vernova Inc 1GEV €887.60 €186.93 -79%
1SIE 1SIE €273.20 €91.93 -66%
SMNS SMNS C$31.76 C$22.68 -29%
Eaton Corporation ETN $407.28 $171.92 -58%
Atlas Copco AB ATCOA kr 195.15 kr 112.59 -42%
Sandvik AB SAND kr 384.10 kr 193.01 -50%
Doosan Enerbility Co 034020 76,400 KRW 7,938 KRW -90%
Vestas Wind Systems A/S VWS kr 178.10 kr 124.54 -30%
Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co 002050 ¥43.20 ¥22.68 -48%
NARI Technology Co 600406 ¥22.19 ¥18.71 -16%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Guangdong Topstar Technology Co (300607) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥3.69 versus a price of ¥33.41, about −89% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300607?
Our model-based fair value for Guangdong Topstar Technology Co is ¥3.69 (as of Jul 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥33.41.
What is the quality score of 300607?
Guangdong Topstar Technology Co has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Guangdong Topstar Technology Co (300607)?
Guangdong Topstar Technology Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.7B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 9, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 300607?
The net profit margin of Guangdong Topstar Technology Co is about 4.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 4.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Guangdong Topstar Technology Co pay a dividend?
Guangdong Topstar Technology Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.94% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 9, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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