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Henan BCCY Environmental Energy Co. Ltd (300614) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Henan BCCY Environmental Energy Co. Ltd ¥3.73, price ¥10.31, upside -63.8%, quality 47 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Utilities · CN · ISIN CNE100004K60

HB Some data Sep 24, 2026

Henan BCCY Environmental Energy Co. Ltd

300614 · SHE

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value ¥3.73 · Strongly overvalued (−64%)
!Quality 47/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −5.4 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -111.5% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
!Trails peers (3/13)
!Narrow moat 1/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on dividend: 16 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥68.68 ¥7.85 Fair Value ¥3.73 May 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥7.85 – ¥68.68 · fair‑value band ¥2.37 – ¥4.93 · the ¥10.31 price screens above the ¥3.73 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Henan BCCY Environmental Energy Co., Ltd focuses on the development and utilization of environmental energy. It generates, transmits, distributes power; installs, maintains, and tests power transmission, power supply, and power receiving facilities; produces and supplies biomass gas; sells renewable resources; and manufactures and sells plastic products.

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Henan BCCY Environmental Energy Co., Ltd focuses on the development and utilization of environmental energy. It generates, transmits, distributes power; installs, maintains, and tests power transmission, power supply, and power receiving facilities; produces and supplies biomass gas; sells renewable resources; and manufactures and sells plastic products. The company also engages in the general contracting of construction and municipal infrastructure projects; construction engineering design and survey; livestock and poultry manure treatment and utilization; research and development of carbon emission reduction, carbon capture, carbon conversion, carbon sequestration, and carbon storage technology; research and development, and sale of greenhouse gas emission control equipment; leasing and sale of machinery and equipment; manufacture and sale of special equipment for environmental protection; sale of biomass briquette fuel; and research and development of bio-organic fertilizers and compound microbial fertilizers. In addition, it offers cold; engineering management; planning and design management; contract energy management; environmental protection consulting; air pollution control; atmospheric environment pollution prevention and control; land consolidation; gas, liquid separation, and purification equipment; and electrical equipment repair services. The company was founded in 2009 and is based in Zhengzhou, the People's Republic of China.

Stock analysis

Henan BCCY Environmental Energy Co. Ltd (300614) currently trades at ¥10.31, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥3.73, implying the stock looks roughly 176.4% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of ¥4.04 per share, and 0 of the 10 models we run sit above the ¥10.31 price.

Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at ¥2.22, and 10 of the 10 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: ¥2.37 (bear) to ¥4.93 (bull), the price of ¥10.31 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Henan BCCY Environmental Energy Co. Ltd reported revenue of 394M CNY in FY2025 versus 499M CNY in FY2021, a compound −5.8%/yr. Reported net income was −401M CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 1.8B CNY (≈ $275M) · P/S ratio 5.03 · EPS (TTM) ¥−2.56 · Dividend yield 0.8% · Net margin −102% · Return on equity −38.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.2% · Operating margin −5.7%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high and 21% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −48% fair-value upside, at −64%, 300614 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ¥2.37 Fair Value ¥3.73 Bull ¥4.93
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF ¥2.85 ¥4.13 ¥6.19 80
Growth DCF ¥2.98 ¥4.18 ¥5.97 79
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥1.72 ¥2.93 ¥4.53 74
All 10 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥2.85 ¥4.13 ¥6.19 80
5Y Revenue Exit ¥2.28 ¥3.90 ¥6.25 71
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥1.72 ¥2.93 ¥4.53 74
10Y Revenue Exit ¥2.45 ¥3.54 ¥4.67 67
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥2.24 ¥3.02 ¥3.81 70
Multiples
EV/EBITDA ¥1.15 ¥2.22 ¥3.29 64
EV/Revenue ¥2.10 ¥3.89 ¥5.69 52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥2.81 ¥3.77 ¥5.62 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥2.98 ¥4.18 ¥5.97 79
Rev-Margin DCF ¥2.28 ¥4.04 ¥6.24 71

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 47/100

Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 28

Profitability 3
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 28
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 75
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 44
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 84
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 66
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 12
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 11
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 23/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−12.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−4.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−5.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.7%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
37.8% (2020) → −6.5% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+22.3%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +20.2% a year for the price.

300614 screens 176% overvalued. Compare with Constellation Energy Corporation →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Utilities - Independent Power Producers · 77 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 47 · Below median
Fair Value upside −64% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −111% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −6% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −25% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.8% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.41× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Utilities - Independent Power Producers median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.31× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.75× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 3.7× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 65.6× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 32
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 0
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)79 · sector 71
DIVIDEND (yield)16 · sector 61

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Independent Power Producers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

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Adani Energy Solutions Limited ADANIENSOL ₹1,380 ₹342.02 −75%
Datang International Power Generation Co 601991 ¥5.57 ¥4.95 −11%
Huaneng Power International, Inc 600011 ¥6.80 ¥12.20 +79%
The Tata Power Company TATAPOWER ₹369.00 ₹175.12 −53%

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Henan BCCY Environmental Energy Co. Ltd · Fair Value
¥3.73 −176%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Henan BCCY Environmental Energy Co. Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300614

Frequently asked questions

Is Henan BCCY Environmental Energy Co. Ltd (300614) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥3.73 versus a price of ¥10.31, about −64% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300614?
Our model-based fair value for Henan BCCY Environmental Energy Co. Ltd is ¥3.73 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥10.31.
What is the quality score of 300614?
Henan BCCY Environmental Energy Co. Ltd has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Henan BCCY Environmental Energy Co. Ltd (300614)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥3.73 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 10 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥2.37, optimistic scenario ¥4.93. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Henan BCCY Environmental Energy Co. Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥3.73, about −64% upside versus a price of ¥10.31 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥2.37, optimistic scenario ¥4.93. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Henan BCCY Environmental Energy Co. Ltd (300614)?
Henan BCCY Environmental Energy Co. Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 367M CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Henan BCCY Environmental Energy Co. Ltd pay a dividend?
Henan BCCY Environmental Energy Co. Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.79% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Henan BCCY Environmental Energy Co. Ltd (300614)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Henan BCCY Environmental Energy Co. Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +22.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.9 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -5.4 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 300614 use?
Our models discount Henan BCCY Environmental Energy Co. Ltd at 11.9 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.50, country premium for China. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Henan BCCY Environmental Energy Co. Ltd that is +22.3 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.9 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Henan BCCY Environmental Energy Co. Ltd (300614) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Henan BCCY Environmental Energy Co. Ltd grew -5.4 % a year. The price currently implies +22.3 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Henan BCCY Environmental Energy Co. Ltd (300614) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +0.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Henan BCCY Environmental Energy Co. Ltd (+22.3 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Henan BCCY Environmental Energy Co. Ltd (300614)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 4.45 %: that much free cash flow Henan BCCY Environmental Energy Co. Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.9 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Henan BCCY Environmental Energy Co. Ltd (300614)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Henan BCCY Environmental Energy Co. Ltd it is ¥3.73 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥10.31. It is the blended result of 10 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Henan BCCY Environmental Energy Co. Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 300614 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥10.31, fair value ¥3.73, a gap of about −64% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 300614?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥10.31); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥3.73). For Henan BCCY Environmental Energy Co. Ltd the two are ¥6.58 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Henan BCCY Environmental Energy Co. Ltd worth?
The market values Henan BCCY Environmental Energy Co. Ltd at about 1.8B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥10.31; our models calculate a fair value of ¥3.73 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 300614?
Our models span a range for Henan BCCY Environmental Energy Co. Ltd: cautious scenario ¥2.37, base ¥3.73, optimistic ¥4.93 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ¥10.31). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Henan BCCY Environmental Energy Co. Ltd (300614)?
Balance-sheet figures for Henan BCCY Environmental Energy Co. Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −38.7%, debt of 0.41 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 47/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 300614 from its 52-week high?
Henan BCCY Environmental Energy Co. Ltd trades at ¥10.31, about 38% below its 52-week high of ¥16.55 and 21% above the low of ¥8.55 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥3.73 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Henan BCCY Environmental Energy Co. Ltd?
From the same area (Utilities) we also value Constellation Energy Corporation, Vistra Corp, Adani Power Limited, CGN Power Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Henan BCCY Environmental Energy Co. Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥10.31, calculated fair value ¥3.73 (−64%), Quality Score 47/100, from 10 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 300614 calculated?
We run Henan BCCY Environmental Energy Co. Ltd through 10 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥3.73, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Henan BCCY Environmental Energy Co. Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Henan BCCY Environmental Energy Co. Ltd (300614)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was ¥10.31. Our model-based fair value is ¥3.73, about −64% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Henan BCCY Environmental Energy Co. Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥4.93). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (47/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (¥2.37 to ¥4.93) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Henan BCCY Environmental Energy Co. Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Henan BCCY Environmental Energy Co. Ltd (300614)?
The market capitalisation of Henan BCCY Environmental Energy Co. Ltd is 1.8B CNY (≈ $275M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Henan BCCY Environmental Energy Co. Ltd (300614)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Henan BCCY Environmental Energy Co. Ltd is 5.03 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Henan BCCY Environmental Energy Co. Ltd (300614)?
Earnings per share at Henan BCCY Environmental Energy Co. Ltd are ¥−2.56. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Henan BCCY Environmental Energy Co. Ltd (300614)?
The dividend yield of Henan BCCY Environmental Energy Co. Ltd is 0.8%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Henan BCCY Environmental Energy Co. Ltd (300614)?
The net margin of Henan BCCY Environmental Energy Co. Ltd is −102% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Henan BCCY Environmental Energy Co. Ltd (300614)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Henan BCCY Environmental Energy Co. Ltd is −38.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Henan BCCY Environmental Energy Co. Ltd (300614)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Henan BCCY Environmental Energy Co. Ltd is 2.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Henan BCCY Environmental Energy Co. Ltd (300614)?
The operating margin of Henan BCCY Environmental Energy Co. Ltd is −5.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Henan BCCY Environmental Energy Co. Ltd (300614)?
Revenue at Henan BCCY Environmental Energy Co. Ltd is growing −24.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg −4.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Henan BCCY Environmental Energy Co. Ltd (300614)?
Earnings per share at Henan BCCY Environmental Energy Co. Ltd are growing −77.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Henan BCCY Environmental Energy Co. Ltd (300614) carry?
The net debt of Henan BCCY Environmental Energy Co. Ltd is 495M CNY (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 6.7 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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