Henan BCCY Environmental Energy Co (300614) Fair Value & Analysis
Utilities · CN · Market cap 1.8B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 9, 2026
From 10 valuation models · updated 32 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 9, 2026, revised from ¥2.88 to ¥1.21 (−58.0%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +9.7% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 89% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥2.28). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The model range is unusually wide (¥0.2420 to ¥2.28). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (47/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥7.85 – ¥68.68 · fair‑value band ¥0.2420 – ¥2.28 · the ¥10.71 price screens above the ¥1.21 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.
Analysis
Henan BCCY Environmental Energy Co (300614) currently trades at ¥10.71, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥1.21, implying the stock looks roughly 88.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at 367M CNY. Revenue declined 24.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -38.7%. Net debt stands at 495M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥0.2420 (bear case) to ¥2.28 (bull case); at ¥10.71, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -59% fair-value upside, at -89%, 300614 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 10 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (¥3.77) versus Multiples (¥2.22). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 27
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Henan BCCY Environmental Energy Co., Ltd focuses on the development and utilization of environmental energy. It generates, transmits, distributes power; installs, maintains, and tests power transmission, power supply, and power receiving facilities; produces and supplies biomass gas; sells renewable resources; and manufactures and sells plastic products.
Full company description
Henan BCCY Environmental Energy Co., Ltd focuses on the development and utilization of environmental energy. It generates, transmits, distributes power; installs, maintains, and tests power transmission, power supply, and power receiving facilities; produces and supplies biomass gas; sells renewable resources; and manufactures and sells plastic products. The company also engages in the general contracting of construction and municipal infrastructure projects; construction engineering design and survey; livestock and poultry manure treatment and utilization; research and development of carbon emission reduction, carbon capture, carbon conversion, carbon sequestration, and carbon storage technology; research and development, and sale of greenhouse gas emission control equipment; leasing and sale of machinery and equipment; manufacture and sale of special equipment for environmental protection; sale of biomass briquette fuel; and research and development of bio-organic fertilizers and compound microbial fertilizers. In addition, it offers cold; engineering management; planning and design management; contract energy management; environmental protection consulting; air pollution control; atmospheric environment pollution prevention and control; land consolidation; gas, liquid separation, and purification equipment; and electrical equipment repair services. The company was founded in 2009 and is based in Zhengzhou, the People's Republic of China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Henan BCCY Environmental Energy Co reported revenue of ¥394M in FY2025 versus ¥499M in FY2021, a compound −5.8%/yr. Reported net income was −¥401M in FY2025.
300614 screens 89% overvalued. Compare with Constellation Energy Corporation →
Peer Group
Utilities - Independent Power Producers · 77 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Independent Power Producers median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Utilities - Independent Power Producers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 9, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Constellation Energy Corporation CEG | $257.57 | $89.08 | -65% |
| Vistra Corp VST | $158.86 | $47.59 | -70% |
| Adani Power Limited ADANIPOWER | ₹218.45 | ₹75.57 | -65% |
| CGN Power Co 003816 | ¥3.88 | ¥3.13 | -19% |
| NRG Energy, Inc NRG | $137.90 | $56.02 | -59% |
| Gulf Development Public Company GULF | 67.50 THB | 40.44 THB | -40% |
| Adani Energy Solutions Limited ADANIENSOL | ₹1,730 | ₹342.02 | -80% |
| Talen Energy Corporation TLN | $372.37 | $44.67 | -88% |
| Datang International Power Generation Co 601991 | ¥5.80 | ¥4.95 | -15% |
| Power Assets Holdings 0006 | HK$58.45 | HK$31.90 | -45% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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