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Hang Zhou Radical Energy-Saving Technology Co (300652) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · CN · Market cap 5.4B CNY

HZ Hang Zhou Radical Energy-Saving Technology Co 300652 · SHE
Price¥29.62
Fair Value¥17.31
Upside-41.6%
Quality56/100
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Expensive Growth
Solidly profitable · 12.6% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
0.25% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (7/13)
Moderate moat 52/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥9.99 – ¥24.64 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 9, 2026

From 17 valuation models · updated 32 days ago

Share price −11.2% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 42% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥24.64). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (56/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (¥9.99 to ¥24.64) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥72.86 ¥10.19 Fair Value ¥17.31 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥10.19 – ¥72.86 · fair‑value band ¥9.99 – ¥24.64 · the ¥29.62 price screens above the ¥17.31 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

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Analysis

Hang Zhou Radical Energy-Saving Technology Co (300652) currently trades at ¥29.62, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥17.31, implying the stock looks roughly 41.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Hang Zhou Radical Energy-Saving Technology Co generated revenue of 1.1B CNY at a net margin of 12.6%. Revenue grew 6.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 273M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥9.99 (bear case) to ¥24.64 (bull case); at ¥29.62, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 60% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -44% fair-value upside, at -42%, 300652 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥9.64 ¥10.52 ¥14.42 76
ROIC Compounder ¥14.83 ¥19.05 ¥24.81 72
Gordon GGM ¥1.10 ¥2.19 ¥3.32 70
All 17 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings ¥16.78 ¥27.88 ¥46.54 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥7.20 ¥33.83 ¥46.51 54
Lynch FV ¥8.96 ¥12.80 ¥16.64 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥8.96 ¥12.80 ¥16.64 46
EPV ¥13.82 ¥15.60 ¥17.14 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥1.10 ¥2.19 ¥3.32 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥1.10 ¥1.89 ¥2.31 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥17.47 ¥23.29 ¥29.12 63
P/S Multiple ¥7.05 ¥9.40 ¥11.75 58
P/B Multiple ¥13.50 ¥18.00 ¥22.50 55
EV/EBIT ¥21.16 ¥27.37 ¥33.58 53
EV/EBITDA ¥18.11 ¥23.30 ¥28.50 54
EV/Revenue ¥9.10 ¥11.92 ¥14.74 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥5.70 ¥7.64 ¥11.40 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥9.64 ¥10.52 ¥14.42 76
ROIC Compounder ¥14.83 ¥19.05 ¥24.81 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥14.55 ¥20.79 ¥27.02 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥27.88) versus Dividend Discount (¥1.89). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 1.1B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +6.8%
Net margin 12.6%
Return on equity 8.8%
Free cash flow −92.5M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 44.3
More key figures
Operating margin 15.7%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.9200
Dividend yield 0.3%
EPS growth (YoY) -41.2%
Net cash 273M CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 56/100

Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 17

Profitability 41
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 58
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 90
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 66
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 49
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 6
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 79
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Hang Zhou Radical Energy-Saving Technology Co., Ltd. engages in the research, design, manufacture, and sale of automotive bearings in China and internationally. It offers wheel bearings and hub units, tapered roller bearings, belt tensioners and pulleys, clutch release bearings, tripods for C.V. joints, and other products.

Full company description

Hang Zhou Radical Energy-Saving Technology Co., Ltd. engages in the research, design, manufacture, and sale of automotive bearings in China and internationally. It offers wheel bearings and hub units, tapered roller bearings, belt tensioners and pulleys, clutch release bearings, tripods for C.V. joints, and other products. The company was founded in 2002 and is based in Hangzhou, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Hang Zhou Radical Energy-Saving Technology Co reported revenue of ¥1.0B in FY2025 versus ¥591M in FY2021, a compound +15.3%/yr. Reported net income was ¥141M in FY2025, compounding +10.2%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
1.0B CNY
Latest YoY
+41.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+17.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+19.0%
Avg. growth/yr (13Y)
+11.7%
Revenue +15.3%/yr
FY21 ¥591M
FY22 ¥648M
FY23 ¥652M
FY24 ¥740M
FY25 ¥1.0B
Net income +10.2%/yr
FY21 ¥95.9M
FY22 ¥104M
FY23 ¥120M
FY24 ¥120M
FY25 ¥141M

300652 screens 42% overvalued. Compare with Hyundai Mobis Co →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hang Zhou Radical Energy-Saving Technology Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300652

Peer Group

Auto Parts · 642 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 56 · Above median
Fair Value upside −42% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 9% · Above median
Return on assets 5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 13% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 16% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 7% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.3% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 44.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 3.57× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 5.14× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 25.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 17
FUTURE 34 · sector 23
PAST 35 · sector 26
HEALTH 100 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 5 · sector 30

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Auto Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 9, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
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Magna International Inc MGAN 1,122 MXN 1,172 MXN +4%
Samvardhana Motherson International Limited MOTHERSON ₹144.17 ₹80.63 -44%
Bosch Limited BOSCHLTD ₹41,110 ₹14,004 -66%
Bharat Forge Limited BHARATFORG ₹2,117 ₹441.74 -79%
Uno Minda Limited UNOMINDA ₹1,158 ₹426.57 -63%
Schaeffler India Limited SCHAEFFLER ₹4,135 ₹1,412 -66%
Hankook Tire & Technology Co 161390 73,600 KRW 196,479 KRW +167%
MRF Limited MRF ₹131,025 ₹125,849 -4%
Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited SONACOMS ₹792.00 ₹207.06 -74%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Hang Zhou Radical Energy-Saving Technology Co (300652) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥17.31 versus a price of ¥29.62, about −42% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300652?
Our model-based fair value for Hang Zhou Radical Energy-Saving Technology Co is ¥17.31 (as of Jul 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥29.62.
What is the quality score of 300652?
Hang Zhou Radical Energy-Saving Technology Co has a Quality Score of 56/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Hang Zhou Radical Energy-Saving Technology Co (300652)?
Hang Zhou Radical Energy-Saving Technology Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.1B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 9, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 300652?
The net profit margin of Hang Zhou Radical Energy-Saving Technology Co is about 12.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 12.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Hang Zhou Radical Energy-Saving Technology Co pay a dividend?
Hang Zhou Radical Energy-Saving Technology Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.25% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 9, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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