Shenzhen MinDe Electronics Technology Ltd (300656) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Shenzhen MinDe Electronics Technology Ltd ¥5.99, price ¥29.58, upside -79.8%, quality 36 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥16.57 – ¥45.14 · fair‑value band ¥3.63 – ¥8.35 · the ¥29.58 price screens above the ¥5.99 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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Shenzhen MinDe Electronics Technology Ltd. engages in design and distribution of barcode recognition, and semiconductor products in China and internationally. It offers smart readers, including Handheld and embedded barcode scanners, imaging platforms, and barcode scanning engines. It also invests investing in Al image processing technology.
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Shenzhen MinDe Electronics Technology Ltd. engages in design and distribution of barcode recognition, and semiconductor products in China and internationally. It offers smart readers, including Handheld and embedded barcode scanners, imaging platforms, and barcode scanning engines. It also invests investing in Al image processing technology. The company also provides data collectors. Its products are used in manufacturing, smart medical care, retail, and logistics express applications. The company was founded in 2004 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, China.
Stock analysis
Shenzhen MinDe Electronics Technology Ltd (300656) currently trades at ¥29.58, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥5.99, implying the stock looks roughly 393.8% overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 2 models at a data quality of 91/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: ¥3.63 (bear) to ¥8.35 (bull), the price of ¥29.58 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Shenzhen MinDe Electronics Technology Ltd reported revenue of 303M CNY in FY2025 versus 546M CNY in FY2021, a compound −13.7%/yr. Reported net income was −102M CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 6.9B CNY (≈ $1.0B) · P/S ratio 18.3 · EPS (TTM) ¥−0.9500 · Dividend yield 0.5% · Net margin −33.6% · Return on equity −15.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.2% · Operating margin 83.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 41 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and 48% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 0% fair-value upside, at −80%, 300656 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ¥3.63Fair Value ¥5.99Bull ¥8.35
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−26.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−16.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−5.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +9.2% a year
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.8%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
6.5% (2020) → −0.7% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare Shenzhen MinDe Electronics Technology Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Security & Protection Services · 114 stocks
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Is Shenzhen MinDe Electronics Technology Ltd (300656) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥5.99 versus a price of ¥29.58, about −80% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300656?
Our model-based fair value for Shenzhen MinDe Electronics Technology Ltd is ¥5.99 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥29.58.
What is the quality score of 300656?
Shenzhen MinDe Electronics Technology Ltd has a Quality Score of 36/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Shenzhen MinDe Electronics Technology Ltd (300656)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥5.99 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 2 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥3.63, optimistic scenario ¥8.35. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Shenzhen MinDe Electronics Technology Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥5.99, about −80% upside versus a price of ¥29.58 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥3.63, optimistic scenario ¥8.35. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Shenzhen MinDe Electronics Technology Ltd (300656)?
Shenzhen MinDe Electronics Technology Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 374M CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
Does Shenzhen MinDe Electronics Technology Ltd pay a dividend?
Shenzhen MinDe Electronics Technology Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.47% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Shenzhen MinDe Electronics Technology Ltd (300656)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Shenzhen MinDe Electronics Technology Ltd it is ¥5.99 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of ¥29.58. It is the blended result of 2 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Shenzhen MinDe Electronics Technology Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 300656 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥29.58, fair value ¥5.99, a gap of about −80% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 300656?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥29.58); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥5.99). For Shenzhen MinDe Electronics Technology Ltd the two are ¥23.59 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Shenzhen MinDe Electronics Technology Ltd worth?
The market values Shenzhen MinDe Electronics Technology Ltd at about 6.9B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is ¥29.58; our models calculate a fair value of ¥5.99 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 300656?
Our models span a range for Shenzhen MinDe Electronics Technology Ltd: cautious scenario ¥3.63, base ¥5.99, optimistic ¥8.35 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price ¥29.58). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Shenzhen MinDe Electronics Technology Ltd (300656)?
Balance-sheet figures for Shenzhen MinDe Electronics Technology Ltd (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity −15.8%, debt of 0.46 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 36/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 300656 from its 52-week high?
Shenzhen MinDe Electronics Technology Ltd trades at ¥29.58, about 26% below its 52-week high of ¥40.04 and 48% above the low of ¥20.02 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥5.99 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Shenzhen MinDe Electronics Technology Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Allegion plc, Verisure plc, Zhejiang Dahua Technology Co, MSA Safety Incorporated, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Shenzhen MinDe Electronics Technology Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price ¥29.58, calculated fair value ¥5.99 (−80%), Quality Score 36/100, from 2 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 300656 calculated?
We run Shenzhen MinDe Electronics Technology Ltd through 2 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥5.99, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 16.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Shenzhen MinDe Electronics Technology Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Shenzhen MinDe Electronics Technology Ltd (300656)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was ¥29.58. Our model-based fair value is ¥5.99, about −80% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Shenzhen MinDe Electronics Technology Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥8.35). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (36/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (¥3.63 to ¥8.35) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Shenzhen MinDe Electronics Technology Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Shenzhen MinDe Electronics Technology Ltd (300656)?
The market capitalisation of Shenzhen MinDe Electronics Technology Ltd is 6.9B CNY (≈ $1.0B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Shenzhen MinDe Electronics Technology Ltd (300656)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Shenzhen MinDe Electronics Technology Ltd is 18.3 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Shenzhen MinDe Electronics Technology Ltd (300656)?
Earnings per share at Shenzhen MinDe Electronics Technology Ltd are ¥−0.9500. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Shenzhen MinDe Electronics Technology Ltd (300656)?
The dividend yield of Shenzhen MinDe Electronics Technology Ltd is 0.5%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Shenzhen MinDe Electronics Technology Ltd (300656)?
The net margin of Shenzhen MinDe Electronics Technology Ltd is −33.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Shenzhen MinDe Electronics Technology Ltd (300656)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Shenzhen MinDe Electronics Technology Ltd is −15.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Shenzhen MinDe Electronics Technology Ltd (300656)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Shenzhen MinDe Electronics Technology Ltd is 1.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Shenzhen MinDe Electronics Technology Ltd (300656)?
The operating margin of Shenzhen MinDe Electronics Technology Ltd is 83.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Shenzhen MinDe Electronics Technology Ltd (300656)?
Revenue at Shenzhen MinDe Electronics Technology Ltd is growing −4.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg −16.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Shenzhen MinDe Electronics Technology Ltd (300656)?
Earnings per share at Shenzhen MinDe Electronics Technology Ltd are growing +162% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Shenzhen MinDe Electronics Technology Ltd (300656) generate?
The free cash flow of Shenzhen MinDe Electronics Technology Ltd is −76.4M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Shenzhen MinDe Electronics Technology Ltd (300656) carry?
The net debt of Shenzhen MinDe Electronics Technology Ltd is 590M CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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