SG Micro Corp (300661) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of SG Micro Corp ¥16.67, price ¥110, upside -84.9%, quality 55 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥45.57 – ¥145.33 · fair‑value band ¥11.52 – ¥20.52 · the ¥110.21 price screens above the ¥16.67 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
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SG Micro Corp engages in the development, manufacturing and sales of comprehensive analog and mixed-signal integrated-circuit (IC) solutions in Mainland China, Hong Kong, Taiwan, and internationally.
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SG Micro Corp engages in the development, manufacturing and sales of comprehensive analog and mixed-signal integrated-circuit (IC) solutions in Mainland China, Hong Kong, Taiwan, and internationally. The company offers operational, instrumentation, current-sense, and differential amplifiers, as well as application-specific and comparators; digital-to-analog and analog-to-digital converters, and AFE; series voltage and shunt voltage references; audio amplifiers, click-pop suppressors, audio line drivers, audio converters, and video buffers; and logic gates, specialty logic ICs, buffers, drivers, transceivers, flip-flops, latches, and registers. It also provides auto and fixed directions, direction controlled, and application specific; ESD protection, I2C ICs, and multi-switch detection interface ICs; analog switches, USB switches, multiplexers, bus switches, and protocol specific; digital and analog temperature sensors; RF switch, RF LNA, and power amplifiers; quad matched resistor; and magnetic encoder and angular position sensors. In addition, the company offers DC/DC switching regulator products; low-dropout regulators; P-channel and N-channel MOSFETs; linear chargers, switching chargers, switched cap chargers, and battery protection ICs; and multi-supply monitors, single-supply monitors, watchdog timer only, supply monitors with watchdog timers, and supply monitors without watchdog timers. Further, it provides power switches and modules; LCD and OLED display powers and drivers; LED Drivers; motor and gate drivers; application specific auxiliary power ICs; Power management unit; and system basis chips. Its products are used in industrial, consumer, smart phone and other personal smart devices, communication, computing, and automotive applications. SG Micro Corp was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.
Stock analysis
SG Micro Corp (300661) currently trades at ¥110.21, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥16.67, 84.9% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ¥33.74 per share, and 0 of the 26 models we run sit above the ¥110.21 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ¥2.31, and 26 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ¥11.52 (bear) to ¥20.52 (bull), the price of ¥110.21 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
SG Micro Corp reported revenue of 3.9B CNY in FY2025 versus 2.2B CNY in FY2021, a compound +14.8%/yr. Reported net income was 547M CNY in FY2025, compounding −6.0%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 68.7B CNY (≈ $10.3B) · P/E ratio 98.6 · P/S ratio 13.9 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.9800 · Dividend yield 0.2% · Net margin 14.1% · Return on equity 11.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 12.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 23% below its 52-week high and 77% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −41% fair-value upside, at −85%, 300661 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (¥2.31 to ¥41.65). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear ¥11.52Fair Value ¥16.67Bull ¥20.52
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.5898 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.81/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+16.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+26.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +25.7% a year
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+24.4%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+13.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+12.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.2%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.12.8% vs 18.4%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.25% → 10%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+64.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+21.9%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +62.2% a year for the price and +19.9% for the forecasts.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Semiconductors · 329 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score55 · Below median
Fair Value upside−84.9% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)11.9% · Above median
Return on assets4.9% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)14.5% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)16.5% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth39.1% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.2% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.01× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Semiconductors median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)98.6× · Priciest 25%
P/B12.97× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)16.32× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF287.2× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 88
PAST (return on equity)48· sector 29
HEALTH (low debt)99· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)4· sector 19
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is SG Micro Corp (300661) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥16.67 versus a price of ¥110.21, about −85% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300661?
Our model-based fair value for SG Micro Corp is ¥16.67 (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥110.21.
What is the quality score of 300661?
SG Micro Corp has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for SG Micro Corp (300661)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥16.67 (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥11.52, optimistic scenario ¥20.52. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the SG Micro Corp stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥16.67, about −85% upside versus a price of ¥110.21 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥11.52, optimistic scenario ¥20.52. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of SG Micro Corp (300661)?
SG Micro Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 4.2B CNY (latest available figure, as of Oct 3, 2026).
Does SG Micro Corp pay a dividend?
SG Micro Corp currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.18% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 3, 2026).
What growth is priced into SG Micro Corp (300661)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, SG Micro Corp would have to grow free cash flow by +64.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +26.6 % per year. As of Oct 3, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 300661 use?
Our models discount SG Micro Corp at 10.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.86, country premium for China. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For SG Micro Corp that is +64.9 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has SG Micro Corp (300661) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at SG Micro Corp grew +26.6 % a year. The price currently implies +64.9 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of SG Micro Corp (300661) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +10.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into SG Micro Corp (+64.9 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of SG Micro Corp (300661)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.35 %: that much free cash flow SG Micro Corp produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of SG Micro Corp (300661)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For SG Micro Corp it is ¥16.67 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of ¥110.21. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is SG Micro Corp stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, 300661 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥110.21, fair value ¥16.67, a gap of about −85% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 300661?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥110.21); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥16.67). For SG Micro Corp the two are ¥93.54 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is SG Micro Corp worth?
The market values SG Micro Corp at about 68.7B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is ¥110.21; our models calculate a fair value of ¥16.67 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 300661?
Our models span a range for SG Micro Corp: cautious scenario ¥11.52, base ¥16.67, optimistic ¥20.52 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price ¥110.21). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 300661?
SG Micro Corp trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 98.6 (as of Oct 3, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥16.67 is built from several models across several years. Excluding one-off items of fiscal year 2025 it is 160.6 (reported for FY2025: 125.3). Other multiples: P/B 13.0, P/S 16.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of SG Micro Corp (300661)?
Balance-sheet figures for SG Micro Corp (as of Oct 3, 2026): return on equity 11.9%, debt of 0.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 55/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 300661 from its 52-week high?
SG Micro Corp trades at ¥110.21, about 23% below its 52-week high of ¥143.48 and 77% above the low of ¥62.34 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥16.67 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to SG Micro Corp?
From the same area (Technology) we also value NVIDIA Corporation, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Broadcom Inc, Micron Technology, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is SG Micro Corp stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price ¥110.21, calculated fair value ¥16.67 (−85%), Quality Score 55/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 300661 calculated?
We run SG Micro Corp through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥16.67, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. SG Micro Corp itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of SG Micro Corp (300661)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was ¥110.21. Our model-based fair value is ¥16.67, about −85% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with SG Micro Corp right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥20.52). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (55/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Where does the earnings growth of SG Micro Corp (300661) come from?
Earnings per share at SG Micro Corp grew +18.0 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +21.8 %, EBIT margin −5.9 %, tax rate +1.5 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +1.4 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of SG Micro Corp
How large is the market capitalisation of SG Micro Corp (300661)?
The market capitalisation of SG Micro Corp is 68.7B CNY (≈ $10.3B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of SG Micro Corp (300661)?
The price-to-sales ratio of SG Micro Corp is 13.9 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of SG Micro Corp (300661)?
Earnings per share at SG Micro Corp are ¥0.9800 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 98.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of SG Micro Corp (300661)?
The dividend yield of SG Micro Corp is 0.2% (payout 26.2%, on adjusted earnings, reported 20.4%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of SG Micro Corp (300661)?
The net margin of SG Micro Corp is 14.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of SG Micro Corp (300661)?
The return on equity (ROE) of SG Micro Corp is 11.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of SG Micro Corp (300661)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of SG Micro Corp is 12.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of SG Micro Corp (300661)?
The operating margin of SG Micro Corp is 16.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at SG Micro Corp (300661)?
Revenue at SG Micro Corp is growing +39.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +6.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at SG Micro Corp (300661)?
Earnings per share at SG Micro Corp are growing +105% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does SG Micro Corp (300661) hold?
SG Micro Corp holds more cash than debt, 808M CNY net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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