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Sinofibers Technology Co (300777) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 12.7B CNY

ST Sinofibers Technology Co 300777 · SHE
Price¥25.12
Fair Value¥12.16
Upside-51.6%
Quality66/100
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Expensive Growth
Highly profitable · 30.8% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (6/13)
Moderate moat 55/100
Evidence: High Range ¥9.12 – ¥15.21 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 9, 2026

From 23 valuation models · updated 32 days ago

Share price −9.8% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 52% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥15.21). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (66/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥66.73 ¥17.68 Fair Value ¥12.16 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥17.68 – ¥66.73 · fair‑value band ¥9.12 – ¥15.21 · the ¥25.12 price screens above the ¥12.16 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

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Analysis

Sinofibers Technology Co (300777) currently trades at ¥25.12, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥12.16, implying the stock looks roughly 51.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Sinofibers Technology Co generated revenue of 716M CNY at a net margin of 30.8%. Revenue declined 54.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 643M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥9.12 (bear case) to ¥15.21 (bull case); at ¥25.12, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 48% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -46% fair-value upside, at -52%, 300777 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥12.19 ¥21.69 ¥40.14 80
Residual Income ¥8.38 ¥8.80 ¥9.37 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥6.49 ¥9.55 ¥14.13 74
All 23 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥12.74 ¥19.71 ¥40.31 38
5Y Revenue Exit ¥6.49 ¥8.90 ¥13.44 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥11.49 ¥19.60 ¥34.57 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥11.46 ¥21.57 ¥34.67 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥8.21 ¥12.31 ¥15.94 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥11.84 ¥22.02 ¥40.70 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥11.82 ¥21.95 ¥39.49 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥4.87 ¥33.93 ¥47.62 54
Lynch FV ¥10.53 ¥15.04 ¥19.55 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥10.53 ¥15.04 ¥19.55 46
EPV ¥8.70 ¥9.83 ¥10.81 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥9.12 ¥12.16 ¥15.21 63
P/S Multiple ¥2.16 ¥2.89 ¥3.61 58
P/B Multiple ¥9.12 ¥12.16 ¥15.21 55
EV/EBIT ¥10.58 ¥13.46 ¥16.34 53
EV/EBITDA ¥11.13 ¥14.18 ¥17.24 54
EV/Revenue ¥3.97 ¥4.84 ¥5.70 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥5.18 ¥6.94 ¥10.37 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥12.19 ¥21.69 ¥40.14 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥6.49 ¥9.55 ¥14.13 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥8.38 ¥8.80 ¥9.37 76
ROIC Compounder ¥8.70 ¥9.83 ¥11.53 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥13.05 ¥18.64 ¥24.24 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥19.71) versus Asset-Based (¥6.94). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 716M CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -54.6%
Net margin 30.8%
Return on equity 4.8%
Free cash flow 295M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 57.6
More key figures
Operating margin 15.8%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.5000
EPS growth (YoY) -83.8%
Net cash 643M CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 66/100

Of which business quality 67 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 24

Profitability 41
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 56
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 75
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 92
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 51
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 61
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 13
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 80
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Sinofibers Technology Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, development, production, and sale of carbon fibers and fabrics in China and internationally. The company offers polyacrylonitrile-based carbon fibers, woven carbon fiber fabrics, and structural and functional materials.

Full company description

Sinofibers Technology Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, development, production, and sale of carbon fibers and fabrics in China and internationally. The company offers polyacrylonitrile-based carbon fibers, woven carbon fiber fabrics, and structural and functional materials. Its products are used in the aerospace, weaponry, aviation, and electronics industries. The company was incorporated in 2008 and is headquartered in Changzhou, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Sinofibers Technology Co reported revenue of ¥846M in FY2025 versus ¥412M in FY2021, a compound +19.7%/yr. Reported net income was ¥315M in FY2025, compounding +11.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
846M CNY
Latest YoY
+4.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+2.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+16.8%
Avg. growth/yr (12Y)
+36.0%
Revenue +19.7%/yr
FY21 ¥412M
FY22 ¥797M
FY23 ¥559M
FY24 ¥812M
FY25 ¥846M
Net income +11.8%/yr
FY21 ¥201M
FY22 ¥596M
FY23 ¥289M
FY24 ¥356M
FY25 ¥315M

300777 screens 52% overvalued. Compare with BASF SE →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sinofibers Technology Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300777

Peer Group

Chemicals · 334 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 66 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −52% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 5% · Above median
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 31% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 16% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -55% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.02× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 57.6× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 2.78× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 17.69× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 6.4× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 26.7× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 20
PAST 19 · sector 19
HEALTH 99 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 27

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 45/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 9, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
BASF SE BASN 1,034 MXN 532.13 MXN -49%
Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group 600989 ¥20.32 ¥20.17 -1%
Zhejiang Juhua Co 600160 ¥42.85 ¥23.35 -46%
PT Barito Pacific Tbk, BRPT 1,690 IDR 1,628 IDR -4%
LG Chem, Ltd 051910 260,500 KRW 587,755 KRW +126%
Formosa Chemicals & Fibre Corporation 1326 66.10 TWD 6.79 TWD -90%
PTT Global Chemical Public Company PTTGC 35.50 THB 18.21 THB -49%
542812 542812 ₹4,369 ₹791.05 -82%
Indorama Ventures Public Company IVL 24.50 THB 17.95 THB -27%
Navin Fluorine International Limited NAVINFLUOR ₹8,650 ₹2,146 -75%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Sinofibers Technology Co (300777) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥12.16 versus a price of ¥25.12, about −52% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300777?
Our model-based fair value for Sinofibers Technology Co is ¥12.16 (as of Jul 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥25.12.
What is the quality score of 300777?
Sinofibers Technology Co has a Quality Score of 66/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Sinofibers Technology Co (300777)?
Sinofibers Technology Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 716M CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 9, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 300777?
The net profit margin of Sinofibers Technology Co is about 30.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 30.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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