Sichuan Dawn Precision Technology Co (300780) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 4.7B CNY
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 11 valuation models · updated today
Share price −41.3% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 72% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥7.47). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (52/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (¥3.74 to ¥7.47) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥10.40 – ¥35.27 · fair‑value band ¥3.74 – ¥7.47 · the ¥20.23 price screens above the ¥5.61 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Sichuan Dawn Precision Technology Co (300780) currently trades at ¥20.23, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥5.61, implying the stock looks roughly 72.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Sichuan Dawn Precision Technology Co generated revenue of 597M CNY at a net margin of -7.4%. Revenue declined 5.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -4.8%. Net debt stands at 274M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥3.74 (bear case) to ¥7.47 (bull case); at ¥20.23, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 43% below its 52-week high and 42% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -46% fair-value upside, at -72%, 300780 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 11 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (¥4.61) versus Multiples (¥1.41). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 47
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Sichuan Dawn Precision Technology Co.,Ltd. engages in the research, development, production, and sales of industrial robots, CNC machine tools, and mechanical transmission parts in China and internationally.
Full company description
Sichuan Dawn Precision Technology Co.,Ltd. engages in the research, development, production, and sales of industrial robots, CNC machine tools, and mechanical transmission parts in China and internationally. The company's products include narrow V-belt drives, American standard belt drives, synchronous belt drives, chain drives, connectors, gear drives, geared motors, industrial belts, fasteners, custom parts, belt pulleys, chain wheels, gears, synchronous belt wheels, shaft couplings, taper sleeves, expansion sleeves, flywheels, bushes, speed reducers, and other mechanical power transmission components and castings. It offers its products through online. The company was formerly known as Sichuan Dwan Drive Machinery Limited Liability Company and changed its name to Sichuan Dawn Precision Technology Co.,Ltd. in May 2015. The company was founded in 1995 and is based in Meishan, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Sichuan Dawn Precision Technology Co reported revenue of ¥604M in FY2025 versus ¥580M in FY2021, a compound +1.0%/yr. Reported net income was −¥47.5M in FY2025.
300780 screens 72% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →
Peer Group
Specialty Industrial Machinery · 807 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| GE Vernova Inc 1GEV | €899.80 | €186.93 | -79% |
| 1SIE 1SIE | €281.75 | €91.93 | -67% |
| SMNS SMNS | C$31.76 | C$22.75 | -28% |
| Atlas Copco AB ATCOA | kr 210.00 | kr 112.59 | -46% |
| Sandvik AB SAND | kr 358.60 | kr 193.01 | -46% |
| Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co 002050 | ¥39.17 | ¥22.68 | -42% |
| NARI Technology Co 600406 | ¥24.06 | ¥18.71 | -22% |
| ABB India Limited ABB | ₹7,700 | ₹1,322 | -83% |
| Cummins India Limited CUMMINSIND | ₹5,315 | ₹1,355 | -75% |
| Bharat Heavy Electricals Limited BHEL | ₹420.00 | ₹96.51 | -77% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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