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Cosonic Intelligent Tech Co Ltd (300793) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 22, 2026: fair value of Cosonic Intelligent Tech Co Ltd ¥3.08, price ¥12.19, upside -74.8%, quality 36 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

Fair value above price? No
Good quality? No
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Consumer Cyclical · CN · ISIN CNE100003QM0

CI Thin data Sep 23, 2026

Cosonic Intelligent Tech Co Ltd

300793 · SHE

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value ¥3.08 · Strongly overvalued (−75%)

!Quality 36/100

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −4.4 %/yr)

!Loss-making · -8.5% net margin (TTM)

!Low debt · negative free cash flow

!Trails peers (2/11)

!Narrow moat 14/100

!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

!Weak on dividend: 20 out of 100

26 models, one by oneBear ¥2.51 to bull ¥3.65 Growth analysisrevenue history, year by year Quality 36/100 in detail37 factors, each one shown Compared with its peersrank on every measure, side by side

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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

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Price vs Fair Value

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥10.06 – ¥24.12 · fair‑value band ¥2.51 – ¥3.65 · the ¥12.19 price screens above the ¥3.08 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Cosonic Intelligent Technologies Co., Ltd. engages in the design, development, manufacture, and sale of electroacoustic and smart wearable products in China and internationally.

Cosonic Intelligent Technologies Co., Ltd. engages in the design, development, manufacture, and sale of electroacoustic and smart wearable products in China and internationally. The company offers electro-acoustic products, such as TWS earphones, bone conduction earphones, smart speakers, etc.; smart wearable products, including smart watches, smart glasses, etc., as well as audio glasses, bone conduction glasses, VR/AR, etc. It also offers full-voice AI translation earphones, wireless heart rate monitoring earphones, voice-interactive AI speaker, neckband Bluetooth smart headphones, portable bluetooth speaker, and smart charger. Cosonic Intelligent Technologies Co., Ltd. was founded in 2013 and is based in Dongguan, China.

Stock analysis

Cosonic Intelligent Tech Co Ltd (300793) currently trades at ¥12.19, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥3.08, implying the stock looks roughly 296.2% overvalued today.

Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 2 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: ¥2.51 (bear) to ¥3.65 (bull), the price of ¥12.19 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Cosonic Intelligent Tech Co Ltd reported revenue of 2.1B CNY in FY2025 versus 2.7B CNY in FY2021, a compound −6.2%/yr. Reported net income was −155M CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 4.6B CNY (≈ $693M) · P/S ratio 2.25 · EPS (TTM) ¥−0.5600 · Dividend yield 1.0% · Net margin −7.3% · Return on equity −6.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.4% · Operating margin −2.0%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high and 21% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 46% fair-value upside, at −75%, 300793 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ¥2.51 Fair Value ¥3.08 Bull ¥3.65

Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.

Highest evidence

EV/EBITDA ¥4.54 ¥5.21 ¥5.88 67

NCAV (Graham) ¥3.73 ¥4.99 ¥7.45 54

All 2 models by family

Multiples

EV/EBITDA ¥4.54 ¥5.21 ¥5.88 67

Asset-Based

NCAV (Graham) ¥3.73 ¥4.99 ¥7.45 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 36/100

Of which business quality 39 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 34

Profitability 10

Margins and returns on capital today

Quality Growth 24

Are margins and returns improving?

Cashflow 7

Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit

Fin. Strength 98

Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk

Investment 81

Disciplined investing over empire-building

Low Volatility 75

Calm price path (market factor)

Momentum 19

Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)

52W Momentum 11

Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)

Net Issuance 22

Share count: buybacks or dilution?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100

Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Revenue growth 1 year

−14.3%

Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

−0.9%

Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

−4.4%

Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +13.9% a year

Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+13.9%

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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.

2.6% (2020) → −0.2% (2025)

What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss

not computed

300793 screens 296% overvalued. Compare with Pop Mart International Group →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Leisure · 188 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/10 measures

Overall it trails its industry peers.

Valuation

Quality Score 39 · Bottom 25%

Fair Value upside −75% · Bottom 25%

Profitability

Return on assets −2% · Bottom 25%

Net margin (TTM) −9% · Bottom 25%

Operating margin (TTM) −2% · Below median

Growth and dividend

Revenue growth −2% · Below median

Dividend yield (TTM) 1.0% · Bottom 25%

Balance sheet

Debt / equity 0.15× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Leisure median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.24× · Cheapest 25%

P/S (TTM) 0.33× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

This stock

Sector peers

VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 44

FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 14

PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 19

HEALTH (low debt)93 · sector 94

DIVIDEND (yield)20 · sector 57

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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10 more Leisure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

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Pop Mart International Group 9992	HK$154.20	HK$227.30	+47%
Amer Sports, Inc AS	$27.65	$19.17	−31%
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Life Time Group LTH	$38.19	$15.61	−59%
Acushnet Holdings GOLF	$83.20	$42.95	−48%
Ninebot Limited 689009	¥37.91	¥111.19	+193%
Li Ning Company 2331	HK$12.36	HK$29.61	+140%
Mattel, Inc MAT	$13.21	$21.24	+61%
Planet Fitness, Inc PLNT	$42.60	$62.04	+46%
Technogym S.p.A TGYM	€12.92	€14.21	+10%

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Cosonic Intelligent Tech Co Ltd · Fair Value
¥3.08 −296%Fair Value
Calculator →

<a href="https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300793" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener" style="display:inline-flex;align-items:center;gap:12px;box-sizing:border-box;font-family:system-ui,-apple-system,Segoe UI,Roboto,sans-serif;text-decoration:none;background:#0f1814;color:#eaf2ed;border:1px solid #2a3a30;border-radius:12px;padding:12px 16px;max-width:360px"><span style="line-height:1.35"><span style="font-size:12px;color:#9fb0a8">Cosonic Intelligent Tech Co Ltd · Fair Value</span><br><b style="font-size:20px">¥3.08</b> <span style="color:#e0816f;font-weight:700;font-size:14px">−296%</span></span><span style="font-size:11px;color:var(--fvc-g-mitte);font-weight:700;margin-left:auto;text-align:right;line-height:1.3">Fair&nbsp;Value<br>Calculator&nbsp;→</span></a>

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Cosonic Intelligent Tech Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300793

Frequently asked questions

Is Cosonic Intelligent Tech Co Ltd (300793) overvalued or undervalued?

As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥3.08 versus a price of ¥12.19, about −75% upside (overvalued).

What is the fair value of 300793?

Our model-based fair value for Cosonic Intelligent Tech Co Ltd is ¥3.08 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥12.19.

What is the quality score of 300793?

Cosonic Intelligent Tech Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 36/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.

What is the price target for Cosonic Intelligent Tech Co Ltd (300793)?

Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥3.08 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 2 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥2.51, optimistic scenario ¥3.65. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.

What is the Cosonic Intelligent Tech Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?

Our models put fair value at ¥3.08, about −75% upside versus a price of ¥12.19 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥2.51, optimistic scenario ¥3.65. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.

What is the revenue of Cosonic Intelligent Tech Co Ltd (300793)?

Cosonic Intelligent Tech Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.1B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).

Does Cosonic Intelligent Tech Co Ltd pay a dividend?

Cosonic Intelligent Tech Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.00% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).

What is the intrinsic value of Cosonic Intelligent Tech Co Ltd (300793)?

Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Cosonic Intelligent Tech Co Ltd it is ¥3.08 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of ¥12.19. It is the blended result of 2 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).

Is Cosonic Intelligent Tech Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?

As of Sep 23, 2026, 300793 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥12.19, fair value ¥3.08, a gap of about −75% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.

Is fair value the same as the market price of 300793?

No. The price is what the market pays today (¥12.19); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥3.08). For Cosonic Intelligent Tech Co Ltd the two are ¥9.11 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.

How much is Cosonic Intelligent Tech Co Ltd worth?

The market values Cosonic Intelligent Tech Co Ltd at about 4.6B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is ¥12.19; our models calculate a fair value of ¥3.08 per share.

What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 300793?

Our models span a range for Cosonic Intelligent Tech Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥2.51, base ¥3.08, optimistic ¥3.65 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price ¥12.19). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.

How solid is the balance sheet of Cosonic Intelligent Tech Co Ltd (300793)?

Balance-sheet figures for Cosonic Intelligent Tech Co Ltd (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −6.1%, debt of 0.15 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 36/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.

How far is 300793 from its 52-week high?

Cosonic Intelligent Tech Co Ltd trades at ¥12.19, about 35% below its 52-week high of ¥18.73 and 21% above the low of ¥10.06 (as of Sep 22, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥3.08 is for.

Which stocks are comparable to Cosonic Intelligent Tech Co Ltd?

From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Pop Mart International Group, Amer Sports, Inc, Hasbro, Inc, Life Time Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.

Is Cosonic Intelligent Tech Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?

The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price ¥12.19, calculated fair value ¥3.08 (−75%), Quality Score 36/100, from 2 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.

How is the fair value of 300793 calculated?

We run Cosonic Intelligent Tech Co Ltd through 2 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥3.08, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.

Is it still worth investing in stocks now?

The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Cosonic Intelligent Tech Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.

What is the share price of Cosonic Intelligent Tech Co Ltd (300793)?

The closing price on Sep 22, 2026 was ¥12.19. Our model-based fair value is ¥3.08, about −75% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.

What should I pay attention to with Cosonic Intelligent Tech Co Ltd right now?

The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥3.65). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (36/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Cosonic Intelligent Tech Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Cosonic Intelligent Tech Co Ltd (300793)?

The market capitalisation of Cosonic Intelligent Tech Co Ltd is 4.6B CNY (≈ $693M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.

What is the P/S ratio of Cosonic Intelligent Tech Co Ltd (300793)?

The price-to-sales ratio of Cosonic Intelligent Tech Co Ltd is 2.25 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.

What are the earnings per share of Cosonic Intelligent Tech Co Ltd (300793)?

Earnings per share at Cosonic Intelligent Tech Co Ltd are ¥−0.5600. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.

What is the dividend yield of Cosonic Intelligent Tech Co Ltd (300793)?

The dividend yield of Cosonic Intelligent Tech Co Ltd is 1.0%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.

What is the net margin of Cosonic Intelligent Tech Co Ltd (300793)?

The net margin of Cosonic Intelligent Tech Co Ltd is −7.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.

What is the return on equity of Cosonic Intelligent Tech Co Ltd (300793)?

The return on equity (ROE) of Cosonic Intelligent Tech Co Ltd is −6.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.

What is the EBIT return on assets of Cosonic Intelligent Tech Co Ltd (300793)?

On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Cosonic Intelligent Tech Co Ltd is 2.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.

What is the operating margin of Cosonic Intelligent Tech Co Ltd (300793)?

The operating margin of Cosonic Intelligent Tech Co Ltd is −2.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.

How fast is revenue growing at Cosonic Intelligent Tech Co Ltd (300793)?

Revenue at Cosonic Intelligent Tech Co Ltd is growing −1.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg −0.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.

How fast are earnings growing at Cosonic Intelligent Tech Co Ltd (300793)?

Earnings per share at Cosonic Intelligent Tech Co Ltd are growing −90.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.

How much free cash flow does Cosonic Intelligent Tech Co Ltd (300793) generate?

The free cash flow of Cosonic Intelligent Tech Co Ltd is −195M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.

How much net cash does Cosonic Intelligent Tech Co Ltd (300793) hold?

Cosonic Intelligent Tech Co Ltd holds more cash than debt, 358M CNY net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.

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