TJK Intelligent Equipment Manufacturing (Tianjin) Co (300823) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 2.1B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 9, 2026
From 22 valuation models · updated 32 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 9, 2026, revised from ¥6.40 to ¥5.42 (−15.3%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +1.6% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 63% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- A high-quality business (quality 72/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥6.78). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥7.31 – ¥20.33 · fair‑value band ¥4.07 – ¥6.78 · the ¥14.81 price screens above the ¥5.42 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.
Analysis
TJK Intelligent Equipment Manufacturing (Tianjin) Co (300823) currently trades at ¥14.81, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥5.42, implying the stock looks roughly 63.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 72/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, TJK Intelligent Equipment Manufacturing (Tianjin) Co generated revenue of 435M CNY at a net margin of 11.9%. Revenue grew 36.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 102M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥4.07 (bear case) to ¥6.78 (bull case); at ¥14.81, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -63%, 300823 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 22 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥8.30) versus Earnings-Based (¥2.24). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 71 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 43
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
TJK Intelligent Equipment Manufacturing (Tianjin) Co., Ltd. engages in research and development, design, production, and sale of medium and high-end CNC steel bar processing equipment, supporting software, and provided intelligent CNC steel in China and internationally.
Full company description
TJK Intelligent Equipment Manufacturing (Tianjin) Co., Ltd. engages in research and development, design, production, and sale of medium and high-end CNC steel bar processing equipment, supporting software, and provided intelligent CNC steel in China and internationally. The company provides excavation machinery, shovel conveyors machinery, hoisting machinery, industrial vehicles, compaction machinery, road construction and maintenance machinery, concrete machinery, excavation machinery, pile machinery, municipal and sanitation machinery, concrete products machinery, aerial work machinery, decoration machinery, steel reinforcement and prestressing machinery, rock drilling machinery, etc. TJK Intelligent Equipment Manufacturing (Tianjin) Co., Ltd. was formerly known as Tjk Machinery (Tianjin) Co., Ltd. and changed its name to TJK Intelligent Equipment Manufacturing (Tianjin) Co., Ltd. in June 2024. The company was founded in 2002 and is based in Tianjin, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
TJK Intelligent Equipment Manufacturing (Tianjin) Co reported revenue of ¥409M in FY2025 versus ¥481M in FY2021, a compound −4.0%/yr. Reported net income was ¥33.8M in FY2025, compounding −21.8%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +5.6 pp · buybacks/dilution −6.3 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
300823 screens 63% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →
Peer Group
Specialty Industrial Machinery · 808 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 9, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| GE Vernova Inc 1GEV | €887.60 | €186.93 | -79% |
| 1SIE 1SIE | €273.20 | €91.93 | -66% |
| SMNS SMNS | C$31.76 | C$22.68 | -29% |
| Eaton Corporation ETN | $407.28 | $171.92 | -58% |
| Atlas Copco AB ATCOA | kr 195.15 | kr 112.59 | -42% |
| Sandvik AB SAND | kr 384.10 | kr 193.01 | -50% |
| Doosan Enerbility Co 034020 | 76,400 KRW | 7,938 KRW | -90% |
| Vestas Wind Systems A/S VWS | kr 178.10 | kr 124.54 | -30% |
| Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co 002050 | ¥43.20 | ¥22.68 | -48% |
| NARI Technology Co 600406 | ¥22.19 | ¥18.71 | -16% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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