Henan Jindan Lactic Acid Technology Co (300829) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 3.6B CNY

Below-average quality, and screening another 50% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

• The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥8.72). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
• Weak quality (31/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥11.58 – ¥67.90 · fair‑value band ¥5.47 – ¥8.72 · the ¥14.55 price screens above the ¥7.29 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

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Analysis

Henan Jindan Lactic Acid Technology Co (300829) currently trades at ¥14.55, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥7.29, implying the stock looks roughly 49.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 31/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Henan Jindan Lactic Acid Technology Co generated revenue of 1.7B CNY at a net margin of 6.4%. Revenue grew 13.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.9%. Net debt stands at 428M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥5.47 (bear case) to ¥8.72 (bull case); at ¥14.55, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 33% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -46% fair-value upside, at -50%, 300829 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Widest divergence: Multiples (¥8.58) versus Earnings-Based (¥4.50). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

Henan Jindan Lactic Acid Technology Co.,Ltd. engages in the research and development, production, and sales of lactic acid and its products in China and internationally.

Full company description

Henan Jindan Lactic Acid Technology Co.,Ltd. engages in the research and development, production, and sales of lactic acid and its products in China and internationally. The company provides premium grade lactic acid, food grade lactic acid, feed additive lactic acid, refined lactic acid, refined grade lactic acid, high purity lactic acid, and ultrapure lactic acid. It also offers high quality sodium lactate, premium sodium lactate, calcium lactate and granules, premium grade potassium lactate, feed-grade calcium lactate, food grade sodium lactate, food grade calcium lactate, ferrous lactate, zinc lactate, sodium lactate powder, potassium lactate, magnesium lactate, calcium lactate, refined sodium lactate, compound acidity regulating anti-caking agent, mixed feed additives lactic acid, compound acidity regulator, compound moisture-retaining anti-caking agent, compound moisture retention agent, compound moisture-retaining preservatives, and L-calcium lactate. In addition, it provides corn starch milk, corn husks, corn germ, corn syrup, sprayed corn husks, corn gluten meal, corn protein powder, and spray-dried corn husks. The company serves food industry, painting and coatings, medicine and healthcare, animal nutrition, and degradable materials industries. Its products are used in food, medical, feed, industry, and biodegradable applications. The company was founded in 2006 and is based in Zhoukou, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Henan Jindan Lactic Acid Technology Co reported revenue of ¥1.6B in FY2025 versus ¥1.4B in FY2021, a compound +2.9%/yr. Reported net income was ¥115M in FY2025, compounding −2.9%/yr from FY2021.

300829 screens 50% overvalued. Compare with BASF SE →

Peer Group

Chemicals · 334 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.