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Ningbo Daye Garden Machinery Co Ltd (300879) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 22, 2026: fair value of Ningbo Daye Garden Machinery Co Ltd ¥4.04, price ¥18.19, upside -77.8%, quality 31 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Industrials · CN · ISIN CNE1000047Q7

ND Some data Sep 24, 2026

Ningbo Daye Garden Machinery Co Ltd

300879 · SHE

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value ¥4.04 · Strongly overvalued (−78%)
!Quality 31/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +30.2 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -6.1% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (3/12)
!Narrow moat 18/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on dividend: 28 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥56.85 ¥7.86 Fair Value ¥4.04 Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥7.86 – ¥56.85 · fair‑value band ¥3.77 – ¥4.26 · the ¥18.19 price screens above the ¥4.04 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Ningbo Daye Garden Machinery Co.,Ltd. gasoline-powered, electric, and lithium-ion garden machinery for the landscaping market. It offers robotic, walk-behind, and ride-on lawn mowers, tractors, blowers, hedge trimmers, cultivators, scarifies, brush cutters, chain saws, and snow thrower.

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Ningbo Daye Garden Machinery Co.,Ltd. gasoline-powered, electric, and lithium-ion garden machinery for the landscaping market. It offers robotic, walk-behind, and ride-on lawn mowers, tractors, blowers, hedge trimmers, cultivators, scarifies, brush cutters, chain saws, and snow thrower. The company was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Yuyao, China.

Stock analysis

Ningbo Daye Garden Machinery Co Ltd (300879) currently trades at ¥18.19, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥4.04, implying the stock looks roughly 350.5% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of ¥7.18 per share, and 0 of the 6 models we run sit above the ¥18.19 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥4.02, and 6 of the 6 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: ¥3.77 (bear) to ¥4.26 (bull), the price of ¥18.19 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 31/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Ningbo Daye Garden Machinery Co Ltd reported revenue of 3.8B CNY in FY2025 versus 1.6B CNY in FY2021, a compound +23.6%/yr. Reported net income was −45.4M CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 3.7B CNY (≈ $550M) · P/S ratio 1.05 · EPS (TTM) ¥−1.07 · Dividend yield 1.4% · Net margin −1.2% · Return on equity −16.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) −0.5% · Operating margin 5.5%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 52% below its 52-week high and 29% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −24% fair-value upside, at −78%, 300879 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ¥3.77 Fair Value ¥4.04 Bull ¥4.26
Model Each model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence Evidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
EPV ¥4.33 ¥4.61 ¥4.85 74
ROIC Compounder ¥4.33 ¥4.61 ¥4.85 70
EV/EBITDA ¥12.63 ¥16.09 ¥19.56 67
All 6 models by family
Earnings-Based
EPV ¥4.33 ¥4.61 ¥4.85 74
Multiples
EV/EBIT ¥5.94 ¥7.18 ¥8.42 66
EV/EBITDA ¥12.63 ¥16.09 ¥19.56 67
EV/Revenue ¥4.88 ¥6.02 ¥7.15 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥3.00 ¥4.02 ¥6.00 54
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder ¥4.33 ¥4.61 ¥4.85 70

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 31/100

Of which business quality 33 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 31

Profitability 22
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 85
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 27
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 30
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 47
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 69
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 20
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 8
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality Growth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 44/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+113.0%
Revenue growth 3 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+36.6%
Revenue growth 5 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+30.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 9 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+24.4%
Profit margin (trend) Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
7.6% (2020) → 1.6% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

300879 screens 350% overvalued. Compare with Techtronic Industries Company →

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Peer GroupHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Tools & Accessories · 123 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 31 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −78% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −6% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 5% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −13% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.4% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.46× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Tools & Accessories median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.45× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.16× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 2.5× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 2
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 15
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)77 · sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)28 · sector 39

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Tools & Accessories stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Techtronic Industries Company 0669 HK$129.50 HK$142.45 +10%
Snap-on Incorporated SNA $371.80 $350.24 −6%
RBC Bearings Incorporated RBC $499.88 $381.82 −24%
Lincoln Electric Holdings LECO $262.99 $158.11 −40%
Stanley Black & Decker, Inc SWK $92.13 $60.49 −34%
The Timken Company TKR $115.52 $70.78 −39%
The Toro Company TTC $94.52 $69.71 −26%
SFS Group SFSN CHF 138.60 CHF 118.30 −15%
Hangzhou Greatstar Industrial Co 002444 ¥28.10 ¥30.38 +8%
Shenzhen Vital New Material Co 301319 ¥97.96 ¥49.70 −49%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Ningbo Daye Garden Machinery Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300879

Frequently asked questions

Is Ningbo Daye Garden Machinery Co Ltd (300879) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥4.04 versus a price of ¥18.19, about −78% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300879?
Our model-based fair value for Ningbo Daye Garden Machinery Co Ltd is ¥4.04 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥18.19.
What is the quality score of 300879?
Ningbo Daye Garden Machinery Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 31/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Ningbo Daye Garden Machinery Co Ltd (300879)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥4.04 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥3.77, optimistic scenario ¥4.26. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Ningbo Daye Garden Machinery Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥4.04, about −78% upside versus a price of ¥18.19 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥3.77, optimistic scenario ¥4.26. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Ningbo Daye Garden Machinery Co Ltd (300879)?
Ningbo Daye Garden Machinery Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 3.5B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Ningbo Daye Garden Machinery Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Ningbo Daye Garden Machinery Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.38% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Ningbo Daye Garden Machinery Co Ltd (300879)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Ningbo Daye Garden Machinery Co Ltd it is ¥4.04 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥18.19. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Ningbo Daye Garden Machinery Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 300879 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥18.19, fair value ¥4.04, a gap of about −78% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 300879?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥18.19); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥4.04). For Ningbo Daye Garden Machinery Co Ltd the two are ¥14.15 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Ningbo Daye Garden Machinery Co Ltd worth?
The market values Ningbo Daye Garden Machinery Co Ltd at about 3.7B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥18.19; our models calculate a fair value of ¥4.04 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 300879?
Our models span a range for Ningbo Daye Garden Machinery Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥3.77, base ¥4.04, optimistic ¥4.26 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ¥18.19). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Ningbo Daye Garden Machinery Co Ltd (300879)?
Balance-sheet figures for Ningbo Daye Garden Machinery Co Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −16.4%, debt of 0.46 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 31/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 300879 from its 52-week high?
Ningbo Daye Garden Machinery Co Ltd trades at ¥18.19, about 52% below its 52-week high of ¥38.23 and 29% above the low of ¥14.12 (as of Sep 22, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥4.04 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Ningbo Daye Garden Machinery Co Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Techtronic Industries Company, Snap-on Incorporated, RBC Bearings Incorporated, Lincoln Electric Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Ningbo Daye Garden Machinery Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥18.19, calculated fair value ¥4.04 (−78%), Quality Score 31/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 300879 calculated?
We run Ningbo Daye Garden Machinery Co Ltd through 6 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥4.04, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Ningbo Daye Garden Machinery Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Ningbo Daye Garden Machinery Co Ltd (300879)?
The closing price on Sep 22, 2026 was ¥18.19. Our model-based fair value is ¥4.04, about −78% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Ningbo Daye Garden Machinery Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥4.26). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (31/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The models converge in a tight band (¥3.77 to ¥4.26), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.

Key figures of Ningbo Daye Garden Machinery Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Ningbo Daye Garden Machinery Co Ltd (300879)?
The market capitalisation of Ningbo Daye Garden Machinery Co Ltd is 3.7B CNY (≈ $550M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Ningbo Daye Garden Machinery Co Ltd (300879)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Ningbo Daye Garden Machinery Co Ltd is 1.05 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Ningbo Daye Garden Machinery Co Ltd (300879)?
Earnings per share at Ningbo Daye Garden Machinery Co Ltd are ¥−1.07. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Ningbo Daye Garden Machinery Co Ltd (300879)?
The dividend yield of Ningbo Daye Garden Machinery Co Ltd is 1.4%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Ningbo Daye Garden Machinery Co Ltd (300879)?
The net margin of Ningbo Daye Garden Machinery Co Ltd is −1.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Ningbo Daye Garden Machinery Co Ltd (300879)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Ningbo Daye Garden Machinery Co Ltd is −16.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Ningbo Daye Garden Machinery Co Ltd (300879)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Ningbo Daye Garden Machinery Co Ltd is −0.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Ningbo Daye Garden Machinery Co Ltd (300879)?
The operating margin of Ningbo Daye Garden Machinery Co Ltd is 5.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Ningbo Daye Garden Machinery Co Ltd (300879)?
Revenue at Ningbo Daye Garden Machinery Co Ltd is growing −13.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +36.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Ningbo Daye Garden Machinery Co Ltd (300879)?
Earnings per share at Ningbo Daye Garden Machinery Co Ltd are growing −87.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Ningbo Daye Garden Machinery Co Ltd (300879) generate?
The free cash flow of Ningbo Daye Garden Machinery Co Ltd is −257M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Ningbo Daye Garden Machinery Co Ltd (300879) carry?
The net debt of Ningbo Daye Garden Machinery Co Ltd is 650M CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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