Ningbo Daye Garden Machinery Co Ltd (300879) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Ningbo Daye Garden Machinery Co Ltd stock ¥4.04, price ¥15.29, that is 73.6% below the price, quality 28 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 6 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 8, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥7.86 – ¥56.85 · fair‑value band ¥3.77 – ¥4.26 · the ¥15.29 price screens above the ¥4.04 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 8, 2026.
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Ningbo Daye Garden Machinery Co.,Ltd. gasoline-powered, electric, and lithium-ion garden machinery for the landscaping market. It offers robotic, walk-behind, and ride-on lawn mowers, tractors, blowers, hedge trimmers, cultivators, scarifies, brush cutters, chain saws, and snow thrower.
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The company was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Yuyao, China.
Stock analysis
Ningbo Daye Garden Machinery Co Ltd (300879) currently trades at ¥15.29, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥4.04, 74% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Economic Profit group reads highest at a median of ¥4.75 per share, and 0 of the 6 models we run sit above the ¥15.29 price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at ¥1.73, and 6 of the 6 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ¥3.77 (bear) to ¥4.26 (bull), the price of ¥15.29 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 28/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Ningbo Daye Garden Machinery Co Ltd reported revenue of 3.8B CNY in FY2025 versus 1.6B CNY in FY2021, a compound +23.6%/yr. Reported net income was −45.4M CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 3.1B CNY (≈ $464M) Small · P/S ratio 0.98 · EPS (TTM) ¥−1.24 · Dividend yield 1.5% · Net margin −7.2% · Return on equity −18.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) −0.5% (5-year average) · Operating margin −2.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 14 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 50% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −20% fair-value upside, at −74%, 300879 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (¥0.5700 to ¥10.65). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear¥3.77Fair Value ¥4.04Bull¥4.26
Price ¥15.29 · Downside -73.6%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
EPV¥4.43¥4.75¥5.0174
ROIC Compounder¥4.43¥4.75¥5.0170
EV/EBITDA¥7.18¥10.65¥14.1166
All 6 models by family
Earnings-Based
EPV¥4.43¥4.75¥5.0174
Multiples
EV/EBIT¥0.5000¥1.73¥2.9760
EV/EBITDA¥7.18¥10.65¥14.1166
EV/Revenuen/a¥0.5700¥1.7050
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)¥2.33¥3.13¥4.6754
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder¥4.43¥4.75¥5.0170
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.44/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+113.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+36.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+30.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+24.4%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
7.6% (2020) → 1.6% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare Ningbo Daye Garden Machinery Co Ltd with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Tools & Accessories · 127 stocks
Beats the industry median on 1/10 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score28 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−73.6% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−0.9% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months)−7.2% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months)−2.0% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−6.7% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)1.5% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.46× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Tools & Accessories median · lower = cheaper
P/B2.55× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months)0.89× · Cheaper than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 10
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 58
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 31
HEALTH (low debt)77· sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)30· sector 41
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Ningbo Daye Garden Machinery Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300879
Frequently asked questions
Is Ningbo Daye Garden Machinery Co Ltd (300879) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥4.04 versus a price of ¥15.29, about 74% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300879?
Our model-based fair value for Ningbo Daye Garden Machinery Co Ltd is ¥4.04 (as of Nov 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥15.29.
What is the quality score of 300879?
Ningbo Daye Garden Machinery Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 28/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Ningbo Daye Garden Machinery Co Ltd (300879)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥4.04 (as of Nov 8, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥3.77, optimistic scenario ¥4.26. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Ningbo Daye Garden Machinery Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥4.04, about 74% lower versus a price of ¥15.29 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥3.77, optimistic scenario ¥4.26. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Ningbo Daye Garden Machinery Co Ltd (300879)?
Ningbo Daye Garden Machinery Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 3.5B CNY (latest available figure, as of Nov 8, 2026).
Does Ningbo Daye Garden Machinery Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Ningbo Daye Garden Machinery Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 1.51% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 8, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Ningbo Daye Garden Machinery Co Ltd (300879)?
Ningbo Daye Garden Machinery Co Ltd has a dividend yield of 1.5%.
What is the intrinsic value of Ningbo Daye Garden Machinery Co Ltd (300879)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Ningbo Daye Garden Machinery Co Ltd it is ¥4.04 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026), against a price of ¥15.29. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models in 4 families (Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit).
Is Ningbo Daye Garden Machinery Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 8, 2026, 300879 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥15.29, fair value ¥4.04, a gap of about −74% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 300879?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥15.29); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥4.04). For Ningbo Daye Garden Machinery Co Ltd the two are ¥11.25 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Ningbo Daye Garden Machinery Co Ltd worth?
The market values Ningbo Daye Garden Machinery Co Ltd at about 3.1B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Nov 8, 2026). Per share that is ¥15.29; our models calculate a fair value of ¥4.04 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 300879?
Our models span a range for Ningbo Daye Garden Machinery Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥3.77, base ¥4.04, optimistic ¥4.26 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026, price ¥15.29). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Ningbo Daye Garden Machinery Co Ltd (300879)?
Balance-sheet figures for Ningbo Daye Garden Machinery Co Ltd (as of Nov 8, 2026): return on equity −18.5%, debt of 0.46 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 28/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 300879 from its 52-week high?
Ningbo Daye Garden Machinery Co Ltd trades at ¥15.29, about 50% below its 52-week high of ¥30.72 and 8% above the low of ¥14.12 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥4.04 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Ningbo Daye Garden Machinery Co Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Techtronic Industries Company, Snap-on Incorporated, Stanley Black & Decker, Inc, Lincoln Electric Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Ningbo Daye Garden Machinery Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 8, 2026: price ¥15.29, calculated fair value ¥4.04 (−74%), Quality Score 28/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 300879 calculated?
We run Ningbo Daye Garden Machinery Co Ltd through 6 models from 4 families: Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of ¥4.04 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Ningbo Daye Garden Machinery Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Ningbo Daye Garden Machinery Co Ltd (300879)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was ¥15.29. Our model-based fair value is ¥4.04, about 74% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Ningbo Daye Garden Machinery Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥4.26). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (28/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. The models converge in a tight band (¥3.77 to ¥4.26), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
Key figures of Ningbo Daye Garden Machinery Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Ningbo Daye Garden Machinery Co Ltd (300879)?
The market capitalisation of Ningbo Daye Garden Machinery Co Ltd is 3.1B CNY (≈ $464M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Ningbo Daye Garden Machinery Co Ltd (300879)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Ningbo Daye Garden Machinery Co Ltd is 0.98 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Ningbo Daye Garden Machinery Co Ltd (300879)?
Earnings per share at Ningbo Daye Garden Machinery Co Ltd are ¥−1.24. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Ningbo Daye Garden Machinery Co Ltd (300879)?
The dividend yield of Ningbo Daye Garden Machinery Co Ltd is 1.5%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Ningbo Daye Garden Machinery Co Ltd (300879)?
The net margin of Ningbo Daye Garden Machinery Co Ltd is −7.2% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Ningbo Daye Garden Machinery Co Ltd (300879)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Ningbo Daye Garden Machinery Co Ltd is −18.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Ningbo Daye Garden Machinery Co Ltd (300879)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Ningbo Daye Garden Machinery Co Ltd is −0.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Ningbo Daye Garden Machinery Co Ltd (300879)?
The operating margin of Ningbo Daye Garden Machinery Co Ltd is −2.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Ningbo Daye Garden Machinery Co Ltd (300879)?
Revenue at Ningbo Daye Garden Machinery Co Ltd is growing −6.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +36.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Ningbo Daye Garden Machinery Co Ltd (300879)?
Earnings per share at Ningbo Daye Garden Machinery Co Ltd are growing −87.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Ningbo Daye Garden Machinery Co Ltd (300879) generate?
The free cash flow of Ningbo Daye Garden Machinery Co Ltd is −257M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Ningbo Daye Garden Machinery Co Ltd (300879) carry?
The net debt of Ningbo Daye Garden Machinery Co Ltd is 650M CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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