Yangzhou Seashine New Materials Co (300885) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Yangzhou Seashine New Materials Co ¥4.51, price ¥18.90, upside -76.1%, quality 63 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥5.19 – ¥35.38 · fair‑value band ¥3.51 – ¥5.58 · the ¥18.90 price screens above the ¥4.51 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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Yangzhou Seashine New Materials Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, development, production, and sale of powder metallurgy products in China and internationally.
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Yangzhou Seashine New Materials Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, development, production, and sale of powder metallurgy products in China and internationally. It offers power tool parts, including gears, bearings, structural components, and gearboxes; and automotive parts, such as CVVL systems, engine inner and outer rotors, mechanical vacuum pumps, oil pump rotors, gear hubs, sprockets, shock absorbers, charging guns, scroll wheel knobs, brake friction pads, and oil-impregnated bearings, as well as drive, electronic handbrake, electric drive shaft, and input gears. The company also provides home appliance parts comprising valve seats, uninstallers, positioning circles, and counterweight products; one-way bearings; front and back panels; magnetic rings; shuttles; and gearbox rotor assembly. In addition, it is involved in manufacturing and sale of core radio frequency components and related modules; technical services; wholesale trade; and investment activities. The company's products are used in power tools, automobiles, office equipment, home appliances, and construction machinery applications. It exports its products. The company was founded in 2001 and is headquartered in Yangzhou, China.
Stock analysis
Yangzhou Seashine New Materials Co (300885) currently trades at ¥18.90, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥4.51, implying the stock looks roughly 319.1% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ¥4.70 per share, and 0 of the 26 models we run sit above the ¥18.90 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ¥1.53, and 26 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: ¥3.51 (bear) to ¥5.58 (bull), the price of ¥18.90 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Yangzhou Seashine New Materials Co reported revenue of 265M CNY in FY2025 versus 315M CNY in FY2021, a compound −4.2%/yr. Reported net income was 55.2M CNY in FY2025, compounding −10.1%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 6.4B CNY (≈ $946M) · P/E ratio 75.6 · P/S ratio 15.7 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.2500 · Dividend yield 0.4% · Net margin 20.8% · Return on equity 7.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 47% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −52% fair-value upside, at −76%, 300885 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ¥3.51Fair Value ¥4.51Bull ¥5.58
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.1255 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.66/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−10.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.8%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−6.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−6.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.4%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−6.8% vs 1.9%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.32% → 18%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+39.2%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +36.9% a year for the price.
Compare Yangzhou Seashine New Materials Co with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Metal Fabrication · 261 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score63 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−76.1% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)7.9% · Above median
Return on assets4.2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)17.5% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)26.1% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth123.3% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.4% · Bottom 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Metal Fabrication median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)75.6× · Priciest 25%
P/B7.13× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)18.00× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF18.4× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA65.9× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 36
PAST (return on equity)32· sector 20
HEALTH (low debt)0· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)9· sector 24
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Yangzhou Seashine New Materials Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300885
Frequently asked questions
Is Yangzhou Seashine New Materials Co (300885) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥4.51 versus a price of ¥18.90, about −76% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300885?
Our model-based fair value for Yangzhou Seashine New Materials Co is ¥4.51 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥18.90.
What is the quality score of 300885?
Yangzhou Seashine New Materials Co has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Yangzhou Seashine New Materials Co (300885)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥4.51 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥3.51, optimistic scenario ¥5.58. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Yangzhou Seashine New Materials Co stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥4.51, about −76% upside versus a price of ¥18.90 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥3.51, optimistic scenario ¥5.58. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Yangzhou Seashine New Materials Co (300885)?
Yangzhou Seashine New Materials Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 353M CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
Does Yangzhou Seashine New Materials Co pay a dividend?
Yangzhou Seashine New Materials Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.43% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 27, 2026).
What growth is priced into Yangzhou Seashine New Materials Co (300885)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Yangzhou Seashine New Materials Co would have to grow free cash flow by +39.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +4.2 % per year. As of Sep 27, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 300885 use?
Our models discount Yangzhou Seashine New Materials Co at 10.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.54, country premium for China. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Yangzhou Seashine New Materials Co that is +39.2 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Yangzhou Seashine New Materials Co (300885) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Yangzhou Seashine New Materials Co grew +4.2 % a year. The price currently implies +39.2 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Yangzhou Seashine New Materials Co (300885) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +5.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Yangzhou Seashine New Materials Co (+39.2 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Yangzhou Seashine New Materials Co (300885)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.10 %: that much free cash flow Yangzhou Seashine New Materials Co produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Yangzhou Seashine New Materials Co (300885)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Yangzhou Seashine New Materials Co it is ¥4.51 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of ¥18.90. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Yangzhou Seashine New Materials Co stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 300885 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥18.90, fair value ¥4.51, a gap of about −76% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 300885?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥18.90); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥4.51). For Yangzhou Seashine New Materials Co the two are ¥14.39 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Yangzhou Seashine New Materials Co worth?
The market values Yangzhou Seashine New Materials Co at about 6.4B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is ¥18.90; our models calculate a fair value of ¥4.51 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 300885?
Our models span a range for Yangzhou Seashine New Materials Co: cautious scenario ¥3.51, base ¥4.51, optimistic ¥5.58 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price ¥18.90). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 300885?
Yangzhou Seashine New Materials Co trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 75.6 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥4.51 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 7.1, P/S 18.0, EV/EBITDA 65.9.
How solid is the balance sheet of Yangzhou Seashine New Materials Co (300885)?
Balance-sheet figures for Yangzhou Seashine New Materials Co (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 7.9%. They feed the Quality Score of 63/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 300885 from its 52-week high?
Yangzhou Seashine New Materials Co trades at ¥18.90, about 47% below its 52-week high of ¥35.38 and 4% above the low of ¥18.21 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥4.51 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Yangzhou Seashine New Materials Co?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value ATI Inc, Carpenter Technology Corporation, Mueller Industries, Inc, Bharat Forge Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Yangzhou Seashine New Materials Co stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price ¥18.90, calculated fair value ¥4.51 (−76%), Quality Score 63/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 300885 calculated?
We run Yangzhou Seashine New Materials Co through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥4.51, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 16.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Yangzhou Seashine New Materials Co itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Yangzhou Seashine New Materials Co (300885)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was ¥18.90. Our model-based fair value is ¥4.51, about −76% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Yangzhou Seashine New Materials Co right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥5.58). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (63/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of Yangzhou Seashine New Materials Co
How large is the market capitalisation of Yangzhou Seashine New Materials Co (300885)?
The market capitalisation of Yangzhou Seashine New Materials Co is 6.4B CNY (≈ $946M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Yangzhou Seashine New Materials Co (300885)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Yangzhou Seashine New Materials Co is 15.7 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Yangzhou Seashine New Materials Co (300885)?
Earnings per share at Yangzhou Seashine New Materials Co are ¥0.2500 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 75.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Yangzhou Seashine New Materials Co (300885)?
The dividend yield of Yangzhou Seashine New Materials Co is 0.4% (payout 32.4%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Yangzhou Seashine New Materials Co (300885)?
The net margin of Yangzhou Seashine New Materials Co is 20.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Yangzhou Seashine New Materials Co (300885)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Yangzhou Seashine New Materials Co is 7.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Yangzhou Seashine New Materials Co (300885)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Yangzhou Seashine New Materials Co is 7.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Yangzhou Seashine New Materials Co (300885)?
The operating margin of Yangzhou Seashine New Materials Co is 26.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Yangzhou Seashine New Materials Co (300885)?
Revenue at Yangzhou Seashine New Materials Co is growing +123% versus a year earlier (3y avg +6.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Yangzhou Seashine New Materials Co (300885)?
Earnings per share at Yangzhou Seashine New Materials Co are growing +38.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Yangzhou Seashine New Materials Co (300885) hold?
Yangzhou Seashine New Materials Co holds more cash than debt, 362M CNY net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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