Qingdao Greensum Ecology Co. Ltd. (300948) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Qingdao Greensum Ecology Co. Ltd. is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily, free.
Compare price with fair valuebelow fair value = cheap, above = expensive
Check the quality50 and up solid, 75 and up strong
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Below-average quality, and trading another 487% above our fair value of ¥3.36.
As of Sep 6, 2026, the fair value of Qingdao Greensum Ecology Co. Ltd. is ¥3.36 per share against a price of ¥19.70, so the fair value sits 83% below the price. A model estimate from reported figures, not an analyst target.
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −12.0 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (2/11)
!Narrow moat 23/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on future: 7 out of 100
!Weak on dividend: 1 out of 100
Evidence: LowRange ¥2.21 to ¥4.19
Fair value as of: Sep 6, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated 5 days ago
Share price −7.8% over the past month.
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What matters now
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥4.19). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
Weak quality (29/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
A fairly wide model range (¥2.21 to ¥4.19) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 6, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥7.63 – ¥37.70 · fair‑value band ¥2.21 – ¥4.19 · the ¥19.70 price screens above the ¥3.36 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 6, 2026.
Qingdao Greensum Ecology Co. Ltd. (300948) currently trades at ¥19.70, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥3.36, implying the stock looks roughly 486.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 29/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at 155M CNY. Revenue grew 1.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −5.3%. Net debt stands at 222M CNY. Fundamentals as of Sep 6, 2026
Scenario range: ¥2.21 (bear) to ¥4.19 (bull), the price of ¥19.70 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target. The share trades about 39% below its 52-week high and 101% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −35% fair-value upside, at −83%, 300948 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model values the company its own way; the fair value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0 to 100) shows how complete a model's inputs are. How we calculate →
ModelBear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) best evidence¥2.91¥3.91¥5.8354
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) best evidence¥2.91¥3.91¥5.8354
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Key figures & financial health
P/S ratio25.9TTM
EPS (TTM)¥−0.3300
Dividend yield0.1%
Net margin−33.2%FY2025
Return on equity−5.3%TTM
Return on assets (EBIT)3.0%avg 5y
More key figures
Profitability
Operating margin6.7%TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM)155M CNYTTM
Revenue growth (YoY)+1.3%3y avg −30.2%
EPS growth (YoY)−94.9%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow−64.0M CNYFY2025
Net debt222M CNYFY2024
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 6, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality29/100
Of which business quality 31
· Market factors (momentum, volatility) 48
Profitability2
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth38
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength82
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment50
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility30
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum46
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum72
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance19
Buybacks instead of dilution
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Qingdao Greensum Ecology Co., Ltd. engages in the ecological environment construction business in China and internationally.
Full company description
Qingdao Greensum Ecology Co., Ltd. engages in the ecological environment construction business in China and internationally. The company is involved in the vegetation restoration, water and soil conservation, sand prevention and control, soil restoration, and water environment management activities; and artificial environment ecological construction business, such as landscaping gardening, municipal engineering, sanitation and cleaning, etc. It also sells garden equipment, technology research and development, garden construction, flowers and seedlings etc.; Soil environmental pollution prevention and control services, soil pollution control and remediation services, and atmospheric environmental pollution prevention and control services; and offers technology development, transfer, promotion, and consultation services. The company was founded in 2000 and is based in Qingdao, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Qingdao Greensum Ecology Co. Ltd. reported revenue of 154M CNY in FY2025 versus 402M CNY in FY2021, a compound −21.3%/yr. Reported net income was −51.1M CNY in FY2025.
Growth Quality 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
154M CNY
Latest YoY
+6.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−30.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−12.0%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (6Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−9.3%
EBIT margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
26.2% (2020) → −13.3% (2025)
Value creation/yr ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
This stockSector peers
VALUE0· sector 6
FUTURE7· sector 19
PAST0· sector 26
HEALTH90· sector 83
DIVIDEND1· sector 45
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
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Is Qingdao Greensum Ecology Co. Ltd. (300948) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 6, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥3.36 versus a price of ¥19.70, about −83% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300948?
Our model-based fair value for Qingdao Greensum Ecology Co. Ltd. is ¥3.36 (as of Sep 6, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥19.70.
What is the quality score of 300948?
Qingdao Greensum Ecology Co. Ltd. has a Quality Score of 29/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Qingdao Greensum Ecology Co. Ltd. (300948)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥3.36 (as of Sep 6, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥2.21, optimistic scenario ¥4.19. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Qingdao Greensum Ecology Co. Ltd. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥3.36, about −83% upside versus a price of ¥19.70 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥2.21, optimistic scenario ¥4.19. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Qingdao Greensum Ecology Co. Ltd. (300948)?
Qingdao Greensum Ecology Co. Ltd. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 155M CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 6, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 300948?
The net profit margin of Qingdao Greensum Ecology Co. Ltd. is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Qingdao Greensum Ecology Co. Ltd. pay a dividend?
Qingdao Greensum Ecology Co. Ltd. currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.06% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 6, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Qingdao Greensum Ecology Co. Ltd. (300948)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Qingdao Greensum Ecology Co. Ltd. it is ¥3.36 per share (as of Sep 6, 2026), against a price of ¥19.70. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Qingdao Greensum Ecology Co. Ltd. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 6, 2026, 300948 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥19.70, fair value ¥3.36, a gap of about −83% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 300948?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥19.70); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥3.36). For Qingdao Greensum Ecology Co. Ltd. the two are ¥16.34 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Qingdao Greensum Ecology Co. Ltd. worth?
The market values Qingdao Greensum Ecology Co. Ltd. at about 4.0B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 6, 2026). Per share that is ¥19.70; our models calculate a fair value of ¥3.36 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 300948?
Our models span a range for Qingdao Greensum Ecology Co. Ltd.: cautious scenario ¥2.21, base ¥3.36, optimistic ¥4.19 per share (as of Sep 6, 2026, price ¥19.70). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Qingdao Greensum Ecology Co. Ltd. (300948)?
Balance-sheet figures for Qingdao Greensum Ecology Co. Ltd. (as of Sep 6, 2026): return on equity −5.3%, debt of 0.21 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 29/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 300948 from its 52-week high?
Qingdao Greensum Ecology Co. Ltd. trades at ¥19.70, about 39% below its 52-week high of ¥32.20 and 101% above the low of ¥9.80 (as of Sep 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥3.36 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Qingdao Greensum Ecology Co. Ltd.?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Waste Management, Inc, Republic Services, Inc, Waste Connections, Inc, Veolia Environnement SA, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Qingdao Greensum Ecology Co. Ltd. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 6, 2026: price ¥19.70, calculated fair value ¥3.36 (−83%), Quality Score 29/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 300948 calculated?
We run Qingdao Greensum Ecology Co. Ltd. through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥3.36, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 32.6 % above its aggregate fair value. Qingdao Greensum Ecology Co. Ltd. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on <a href="/is-it-worth-investing-now/">is it worth investing now</a>.
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