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Yunnan Botanee Bio-Technology Group (300957) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · CN · Market cap 14.1B CNY

YB Yunnan Botanee Bio-Technology Group 300957 · SHE
Price¥33.29
Fair Value¥25.07
Upside-24.7%
Quality63/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 9.8% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
1.91% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (7/14)
Moderate moat 46/100
Evidence: High Range ¥18.80 – ¥31.28 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 9, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 32 days ago

Share price +6.4% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 25% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥31.28). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (63/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥269.71 ¥30.17 Fair Value ¥25.07 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥30.17 – ¥269.71 · fair‑value band ¥18.80 – ¥31.28 · the ¥33.29 price screens above the ¥25.07 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

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Analysis

Yunnan Botanee Bio-Technology Group (300957) currently trades at ¥33.29, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥25.07, implying the stock looks roughly 24.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Yunnan Botanee Bio-Technology Group generated revenue of 5.5B CNY at a net margin of 9.8%. Revenue grew 17.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 1.1B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥18.80 (bear case) to ¥31.28 (bull case); at ¥33.29, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -26% fair-value upside, at -25%, 300957 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥21.47 ¥38.03 ¥64.17 80
Residual Income ¥12.18 ¥13.11 ¥15.64 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥19.08 ¥30.50 ¥46.42 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥21.91 ¥36.17 ¥71.94 38
Owner Earnings ¥13.29 ¥21.53 ¥37.34 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥19.08 ¥30.96 ¥47.80 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥22.36 ¥38.23 ¥59.24 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥22.80 ¥39.20 ¥59.14 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥19.42 ¥31.43 ¥51.52 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥22.12 ¥36.99 ¥61.80 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥22.42 ¥37.73 ¥61.71 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥8.12 ¥47.25 ¥65.76 54
Lynch FV ¥13.36 ¥19.09 ¥24.82 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥13.36 ¥19.09 ¥24.82 46
EPV ¥15.66 ¥17.39 ¥18.90 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥18.80 ¥25.07 ¥31.34 63
P/S Multiple ¥15.18 ¥20.24 ¥25.30 58
P/B Multiple ¥15.22 ¥20.30 ¥25.37 55
EV/EBIT ¥22.59 ¥28.35 ¥34.10 53
EV/EBITDA ¥23.46 ¥29.51 ¥35.56 54
EV/Revenue ¥17.64 ¥22.93 ¥28.21 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥7.27 ¥9.74 ¥14.54 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥21.47 ¥38.03 ¥64.17 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥19.08 ¥30.50 ¥46.42 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥12.18 ¥13.11 ¥15.64 76
ROIC Compounder ¥16.47 ¥21.50 ¥25.88 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥19.69 ¥28.13 ¥36.56 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥36.17) versus Asset-Based (¥9.74). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 5.5B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +17.8%
Net margin 9.8%
Return on equity 8.8%
Free cash flow 494M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 25.8
More key figures
Operating margin 7.4%
EPS (TTM) ¥1.29
Dividend yield 1.9%
EPS growth (YoY) +129%
Net cash 1.1B CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 63/100

Of which business quality 65 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 33

Profitability 52
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 29
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 59
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 99
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 69
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 75
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 20
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 8
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 76
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Yunnan Botanee Bio-Technology Group Co.LTD, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, development, production, and sale of cosmetics in China and internationally. It operates through Skin Care Products, Medical Instruments, and Makeup segments.

Full company description

Yunnan Botanee Bio-Technology Group Co.LTD, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, development, production, and sale of cosmetics in China and internationally. It operates through Skin Care Products, Medical Instruments, and Makeup segments. The company offers face creams, toners, masks, serums, and lotions; and makeup products, including primers, powders, BB creams, and makeup removers. It is also involved in the research, development, production, and sale of skincare related medical devices and electronic beauty instruments comprising hyaluronic acid repair bio membranes and hyaluronic acid repair dressings used for the protection and care of skin barrier damage after minimally invasive surgery; provision of provision of supply chain management, warehouse services, capital market, and consulting services. In addition, the company offers home-use electronic radiofrequency beauty devices. Further, it offers Qiumei App, an AI system for common skin problems; and medical cosmetic centers that provide vocational training, organization operation, member management, activity planning, and advertising support under the Vvym brand name. The company sells its products under Winona, Winona Baby, AOXMED, Beforteen, Za, and PURE&MILD brand names through offline and online channels, such as e-commerce platforms, retail, large key account (KA) clients, OTC chain clients, commercial companies, and regional distributors. Yunnan Botanee Bio-Technology Group Co.LTD was incorporated in 2010 and is headquartered in Kunming, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Yunnan Botanee Bio-Technology Group reported revenue of ¥5.4B in FY2025 versus ¥4.0B in FY2021, a compound +7.4%/yr. Reported net income was ¥506M in FY2025, compounding −12.5%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 84/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
5.4B CNY
Latest YoY
−6.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+2.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+15.2%
Avg. growth/yr (8Y)
+26.9%
Revenue +7.4%/yr
FY21 ¥4.0B
FY22 ¥5.0B
FY23 ¥5.7B
FY24 ¥5.7B
FY25 ¥5.4B
Net income −12.5%/yr
FY21 ¥863M
FY22 ¥1.1B
FY23 ¥757M
FY24 ¥503M
FY25 ¥506M

300957 screens 25% overvalued. Compare with The Procter & Gamble Company →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Yunnan Botanee Bio-Technology Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300957

Peer Group

Household & Personal Products · 244 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 63 · Above median
Fair Value upside −25% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 9% · Above median
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 10% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 7% · Above median
Revenue growth 18% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.9% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.03× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Household & Personal Products median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 25.8× · Pricier than median
P/B 2.29× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 2.55× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 4.2× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 18.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 28
FUTURE 89 · sector 4
PAST 35 · sector 26
HEALTH 98 · sector 98
DIVIDEND 38 · sector 50

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Household & Personal Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 9, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
The Procter & Gamble Company PG $146.80 $108.16 -26%
Unilever PLC ULN 1,080 MXN 1,273 MXN +18%
Hindustan Unilever Limited HINDUNILVR ₹2,144 ₹1,000 -53%
Essity AB ESSITYA kr 279.00 kr 250.02 -10%
Godrej Consumer Products Limited GODREJCP ₹1,088 ₹367.64 -66%
Marico Limited MARICO ₹846.75 ₹233.05 -72%
APR Co 278470 375,000 KRW 151,222 KRW -60%
Dabur India Limited DABUR ₹429.45 ₹181.60 -58%
Kimberly-Clark de México, S. A. B. de C. V., KIMBERA 38.07 MXN 50.09 MXN +32%
PT Unilever Indonesia Tbk UNVR 1,730 IDR 1,934 IDR +12%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Yunnan Botanee Bio-Technology Group (300957) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥25.07 versus a price of ¥33.29, about −25% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300957?
Our model-based fair value for Yunnan Botanee Bio-Technology Group is ¥25.07 (as of Jul 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥33.29.
What is the quality score of 300957?
Yunnan Botanee Bio-Technology Group has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Yunnan Botanee Bio-Technology Group (300957)?
Yunnan Botanee Bio-Technology Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 5.5B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 9, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 300957?
The net profit margin of Yunnan Botanee Bio-Technology Group is about 9.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 9.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Yunnan Botanee Bio-Technology Group pay a dividend?
Yunnan Botanee Bio-Technology Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.91% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 9, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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