BCEG Environmental Remediation Co. Ltd. (300958) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of BCEG Environmental Remediation Co. Ltd. ¥3.88, price ¥12.37, upside -68.6%, quality 49 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥9.59 – ¥45.73 · fair‑value band ¥3.41 – ¥4.57 · the ¥12.37 price screens above the ¥3.88 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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BCEG Environmental Remediation Co., Ltd. provides environmental restoration services. The company offers soil remediation, pesticide contaminated site restoration, coking site restoration, petrochemical site restoration, and related services.
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BCEG Environmental Remediation Co., Ltd. provides environmental restoration services. The company offers soil remediation, pesticide contaminated site restoration, coking site restoration, petrochemical site restoration, and related services. It also provides site and groundwater restoration, mine repair, farmland improvement and restoration, and water body and heavy metal repair services. The company was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.
Stock analysis
BCEG Environmental Remediation Co. Ltd. (300958) currently trades at ¥12.37, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥3.88, implying the stock looks roughly 218.8% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of ¥5.26 per share, and 0 of the 10 models we run sit above the ¥12.37 price.
Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at ¥3.72, and 10 of the 10 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: ¥3.41 (bear) to ¥4.57 (bull), the price of ¥12.37 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
BCEG Environmental Remediation Co. Ltd. reported revenue of 602M CNY in FY2025 versus 1.1B CNY in FY2021, a compound −13.6%/yr. Reported net income was −84.2M CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 1.9B CNY (≈ $289M) · P/S ratio 3.04 · EPS (TTM) ¥−0.6200 · Dividend yield 0.2% · Net margin −14.0% · Return on equity −9.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.2% · Operating margin −81.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 44 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 16% below its 52-week high and 18% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −18% fair-value upside, at −69%, 300958 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ¥3.41Fair Value ¥3.88Bull ¥4.57
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.18/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−28.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−22.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−10.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−9.8%
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
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’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
10.3% (2020) → −1.3% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+34.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +32.7% a year for the price.
Compare BCEG Environmental Remediation Co. Ltd. with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Waste Management · 168 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score49 · Below median
Fair Value upside−68% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−3% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−14% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−81% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−62% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.2% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.09× · Lowest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Waste Management median · lower = cheaper
P/B0.23× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM)0.48× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF9.3× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA0.9× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 20
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 20
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 26
HEALTH (low debt)95· sector 81
DIVIDEND (yield)5· sector 44
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is BCEG Environmental Remediation Co. Ltd. (300958) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥3.88 versus a price of ¥12.37, about −69% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300958?
Our model-based fair value for BCEG Environmental Remediation Co. Ltd. is ¥3.88 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥12.37.
What is the quality score of 300958?
BCEG Environmental Remediation Co. Ltd. has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for BCEG Environmental Remediation Co. Ltd. (300958)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥3.88 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 10 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥3.41, optimistic scenario ¥4.57. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the BCEG Environmental Remediation Co. Ltd. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥3.88, about −69% upside versus a price of ¥12.37 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥3.41, optimistic scenario ¥4.57. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of BCEG Environmental Remediation Co. Ltd. (300958)?
BCEG Environmental Remediation Co. Ltd. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 602M CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does BCEG Environmental Remediation Co. Ltd. pay a dividend?
BCEG Environmental Remediation Co. Ltd. currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.23% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into BCEG Environmental Remediation Co. Ltd. (300958)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, BCEG Environmental Remediation Co. Ltd. would have to grow free cash flow by +34.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.9 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -10.3 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 300958 use?
Our models discount BCEG Environmental Remediation Co. Ltd. at 11.9 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.55, country premium for China. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For BCEG Environmental Remediation Co. Ltd. that is +34.9 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.9 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has BCEG Environmental Remediation Co. Ltd. (300958) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at BCEG Environmental Remediation Co. Ltd. grew -10.3 % a year. The price currently implies +34.9 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of BCEG Environmental Remediation Co. Ltd. (300958) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into BCEG Environmental Remediation Co. Ltd. (+34.9 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of BCEG Environmental Remediation Co. Ltd. (300958)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.60 %: that much free cash flow BCEG Environmental Remediation Co. Ltd. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.9 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of BCEG Environmental Remediation Co. Ltd. (300958)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For BCEG Environmental Remediation Co. Ltd. it is ¥3.88 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥12.37. It is the blended result of 10 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is BCEG Environmental Remediation Co. Ltd. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 300958 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥12.37, fair value ¥3.88, a gap of about −69% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 300958?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥12.37); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥3.88). For BCEG Environmental Remediation Co. Ltd. the two are ¥8.49 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is BCEG Environmental Remediation Co. Ltd. worth?
The market values BCEG Environmental Remediation Co. Ltd. at about 1.9B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥12.37; our models calculate a fair value of ¥3.88 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 300958?
Our models span a range for BCEG Environmental Remediation Co. Ltd.: cautious scenario ¥3.41, base ¥3.88, optimistic ¥4.57 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ¥12.37). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of BCEG Environmental Remediation Co. Ltd. (300958)?
Balance-sheet figures for BCEG Environmental Remediation Co. Ltd. (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −9.4%, debt of 0.09 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 49/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 300958 from its 52-week high?
BCEG Environmental Remediation Co. Ltd. trades at ¥12.37, about 16% below its 52-week high of ¥14.80 and 18% above the low of ¥10.48 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥3.88 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to BCEG Environmental Remediation Co. Ltd.?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Waste Management, Inc, Republic Services, Inc, Waste Connections, Inc, Veolia Environnement SA, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is BCEG Environmental Remediation Co. Ltd. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥12.37, calculated fair value ¥3.88 (−69%), Quality Score 49/100, from 10 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 300958 calculated?
We run BCEG Environmental Remediation Co. Ltd. through 10 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥3.88, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. BCEG Environmental Remediation Co. Ltd. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of BCEG Environmental Remediation Co. Ltd. (300958)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was ¥12.37. Our model-based fair value is ¥3.88, about −69% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with BCEG Environmental Remediation Co. Ltd. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥4.57). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (49/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of BCEG Environmental Remediation Co. Ltd.
How large is the market capitalisation of BCEG Environmental Remediation Co. Ltd. (300958)?
The market capitalisation of BCEG Environmental Remediation Co. Ltd. is 1.9B CNY (≈ $289M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of BCEG Environmental Remediation Co. Ltd. (300958)?
The price-to-sales ratio of BCEG Environmental Remediation Co. Ltd. is 3.04 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of BCEG Environmental Remediation Co. Ltd. (300958)?
Earnings per share at BCEG Environmental Remediation Co. Ltd. are ¥−0.6200. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of BCEG Environmental Remediation Co. Ltd. (300958)?
The dividend yield of BCEG Environmental Remediation Co. Ltd. is 0.2%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of BCEG Environmental Remediation Co. Ltd. (300958)?
The net margin of BCEG Environmental Remediation Co. Ltd. is −14.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of BCEG Environmental Remediation Co. Ltd. (300958)?
The return on equity (ROE) of BCEG Environmental Remediation Co. Ltd. is −9.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of BCEG Environmental Remediation Co. Ltd. (300958)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of BCEG Environmental Remediation Co. Ltd. is 3.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of BCEG Environmental Remediation Co. Ltd. (300958)?
The operating margin of BCEG Environmental Remediation Co. Ltd. is −81.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at BCEG Environmental Remediation Co. Ltd. (300958)?
Revenue at BCEG Environmental Remediation Co. Ltd. is growing −61.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg −22.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at BCEG Environmental Remediation Co. Ltd. (300958)?
Earnings per share at BCEG Environmental Remediation Co. Ltd. are growing −58.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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