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Sanhe Tongfei Refrigeration Co (300990) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 15.7B CNY

ST Sanhe Tongfei Refrigeration Co 300990 · SHE
Price¥73.85
Fair Value¥26.62
Upside-64.0%
Quality67/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 8.4% net margin
generates free cash flow
0.56% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (6/13)
Moderate moat 54/100
Evidence: High Range ¥20.20 – ¥39.94 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 9, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 32 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 9, 2026, revised from ¥28.31 to ¥26.62 (−6.0%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −26.9% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 64% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥39.94). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (67/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (¥20.20 to ¥39.94) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥109.80 ¥17.47 Fair Value ¥26.62 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥17.47 – ¥109.80 · fair‑value band ¥20.20 – ¥39.94 · the ¥73.85 price screens above the ¥26.62 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

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Analysis

Sanhe Tongfei Refrigeration Co (300990) currently trades at ¥73.85, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥26.62, implying the stock looks roughly 64.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Sanhe Tongfei Refrigeration Co generated revenue of 3.0B CNY at a net margin of 8.4%. Revenue grew 21.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 12.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 160M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥20.20 (bear case) to ¥39.94 (bull case); at ¥73.85, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 31% below its 52-week high and 70% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -64%, 300990 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥11.32 ¥13.56 ¥29.85 76
Growth DCF ¥17.87 ¥32.73 ¥57.08 72
Growth-Adj P/E ¥46.74 ¥66.77 ¥86.80 68
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥18.82 ¥28.02 ¥57.32 38
Owner Earnings ¥29.30 ¥63.13 ¥134.16 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥19.03 ¥31.94 ¥59.03 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥21.72 ¥37.38 ¥68.13 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥24.74 ¥53.94 ¥94.08 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥18.61 ¥39.91 ¥54.20 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥21.24 ¥45.71 ¥88.94 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥23.44 ¥52.21 ¥100.32 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥10.04 ¥70.05 ¥98.30 54
Lynch FV ¥35.63 ¥50.90 ¥66.17 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥35.63 ¥50.90 ¥66.17 46
EPV ¥16.59 ¥18.89 ¥20.90 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥23.26 ¥31.02 ¥38.77 63
P/S Multiple ¥18.83 ¥25.11 ¥31.39 58
P/B Multiple ¥18.83 ¥25.11 ¥31.39 55
EV/EBIT ¥23.32 ¥30.16 ¥37.01 53
EV/EBITDA ¥22.05 ¥28.47 ¥34.89 54
EV/Revenue ¥17.44 ¥23.72 ¥30.00 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥6.09 ¥8.17 ¥12.19 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥17.87 ¥32.73 ¥57.08 72
Rev-Margin DCF ¥20.79 ¥36.11 ¥68.10 67
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥11.32 ¥13.56 ¥29.85 76
ROIC Compounder ¥21.20 ¥29.74 ¥36.58 67
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥46.74 ¥66.77 ¥86.80 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥66.77) versus Asset-Based (¥8.17). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 3.0B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +21.8%
Net margin 8.4%
Return on equity 12.3%
Free cash flow 163M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 62.2
More key figures
Operating margin 9.5%
EPS (TTM) ¥1.47
Dividend yield 0.6%
EPS growth (YoY) -2.8%
Net cash 160M CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 67/100

Of which business quality 66 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 54

Profitability 55
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 71
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 43
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 92
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 63
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 49
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 68
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 74
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Sanhe Tongfei Refrigeration Co., Ltd. research, develops, produce, and sells of industrial temperature control equipment in China.

Full company description

Sanhe Tongfei Refrigeration Co., Ltd. research, develops, produce, and sells of industrial temperature control equipment in China. The company offers smart equipment manufacturing, including MCO/MCOI chiller, MCW/MCWI water chiller, MCS immersion chiller, MWA air/water heat exchanger, MEO oil/air heat exchanger, MCA temperature and humidity conditioner, MEA heat exchanger for electrical cabinet, and HE/HS electrophoretic special heat exchanger; renewable energy storage, such as LCI inverter liquid cooling unit, ECA wall mounted industrial air conditioner, ECA cabinet-in mounted industrial air conditioner, LCI PCS-specific cooling equipment, LCI high voltage cascaded/central cooling, and ECH industrial dehumidifier; and power transmission and distribution electric comprising HWA air/water heat exchanger, and LWA/LWW pure water cooling unit. It also provides intelligent computing center, including DWW cabinet CDU, DWW in rack CDU, DMF manifold, DTK TANK, DHWA dry cooler, DCW integrated chiller, DWA mini fan wall, DWA chilled water rear door heat exchanger, DCA external cabinet backpack aircon, DCA built-in integrated precision aircon, DCA DX rack aircon, DCA DX small precision aircon, DCA DX computer room precision aircon, DCA DX in row precision aircon, DCA DX small precision aircon, DCA DX computer room precision aircon, DCA DX in row precision aircon, single rack/single-row modular data center, single rack/single-double-row modular date center, and DMDC container. In addition, the company offers semiconductor manufacturing; hydrogen energy; and lasers products. Sanhe Tongfei Refrigeration Co., Ltd. was founded in 2001 and is headquartered in Sanhe, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Sanhe Tongfei Refrigeration Co reported revenue of ¥2.9B in FY2025 versus ¥829M in FY2021, a compound +36.4%/yr. Reported net income was ¥253M in FY2025, compounding +20.5%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 90/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
2.9B CNY
Latest YoY
+32.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+41.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+36.2%
Avg. growth/yr (8Y)
+30.8%
Revenue +36.4%/yr
FY21 ¥829M
FY22 ¥1.0B
FY23 ¥1.8B
FY24 ¥2.2B
FY25 ¥2.9B
Net income +20.5%/yr
FY21 ¥120M
FY22 ¥128M
FY23 ¥182M
FY24 ¥153M
FY25 ¥253M

300990 screens 64% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sanhe Tongfei Refrigeration Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300990

Peer Group

Specialty Industrial Machinery · 809 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 67 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −64% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 12% · Above median
Return on assets 6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 8% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 10% · Above median
Revenue growth 22% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.6% · Below median

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 62.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 7.50× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 5.23× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 14.2× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 47.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 23
PAST 49 · sector 28
HEALTH 0 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 11 · sector 24

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 9, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
GE Vernova Inc 1GEV €887.60 €186.93 -79%
1SIE 1SIE €273.20 €91.93 -66%
SMNS SMNS C$31.76 C$22.68 -29%
Eaton Corporation ETN $407.28 $171.92 -58%
Atlas Copco AB ATCOA kr 195.15 kr 112.59 -42%
Sandvik AB SAND kr 384.10 kr 193.01 -50%
Doosan Enerbility Co 034020 76,400 KRW 7,938 KRW -90%
Vestas Wind Systems A/S VWS kr 178.10 kr 124.54 -30%
Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co 002050 ¥43.20 ¥22.68 -48%
NARI Technology Co 600406 ¥22.19 ¥18.71 -16%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Sanhe Tongfei Refrigeration Co (300990) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥26.62 versus a price of ¥73.85, about −64% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300990?
Our model-based fair value for Sanhe Tongfei Refrigeration Co is ¥26.62 (as of Jul 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥73.85.
What is the quality score of 300990?
Sanhe Tongfei Refrigeration Co has a Quality Score of 67/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Sanhe Tongfei Refrigeration Co (300990)?
Sanhe Tongfei Refrigeration Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 3.0B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 9, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 300990?
The net profit margin of Sanhe Tongfei Refrigeration Co is about 8.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 8.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Sanhe Tongfei Refrigeration Co pay a dividend?
Sanhe Tongfei Refrigeration Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.56% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 9, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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