Guangdong Shenling Environmental Systems Co. Ltd. (301018) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 30, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Guangdong Shenling Environmental Systems Co. Ltd. stock ¥12.16, price ¥59.15, upside -79.4%, quality 49 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Oct 30, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥10.92 – ¥125.00 · fair‑value band ¥9.12 – ¥15.94 · the ¥59.15 price screens above the ¥12.16 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Oct 30, 2026.
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Guangdong Shenling Environmental Systems Co., Ltd. research, develops, designs, manufactures, and markets air conditioning equipment in China and internationally.
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It offers industrial and special, as well as public and commercial air conditioning units for industrial and research process, public and commercial buildings, and other applications.
In addition, the company offers data service products, such as cloud data and computing centers, communication infrastructure, computer technology services, precision electronic instrument production, and other fields.
The company serves power grids, chemical, metallurgy, food and beverages, pharmaceuticals, machinery and equipment, cement, automobiles, railways, subways, airports, nuclear power, aerospace, environmental management, hospitals, military, defense, and other sectors.
Guangdong Shenling Environmental Systems Co., Ltd. was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in Foshan, China.
Stock analysis
Guangdong Shenling Environmental Systems Co. Ltd. (301018) currently trades at ¥59.15, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥12.16, 79.4% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ¥16.13 per share, and 0 of the 16 models we run sit above the ¥59.15 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥1.69, and 16 of the 16 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: ¥9.12 (bear) to ¥15.94 (bull), the price of ¥59.15 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Guangdong Shenling Environmental Systems Co. Ltd. reported revenue of 4.2B CNY in FY2025 versus 1.8B CNY in FY2021, a compound +23.7%/yr. Reported net income was 217M CNY in FY2025, compounding +11.5%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 22.1B CNY (≈ $3.3B) Mid · P/E ratio 190.8 · P/S ratio 5.14 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.3100 · Dividend yield 0.3% · Net margin 2.8% · Return on equity 4.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 33 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 53% below its 52-week high and 65% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −28% fair-value upside, at −79%, 301018 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (¥1.69 to ¥30.92). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear¥9.12Fair Value ¥12.16Bull¥15.94
Price ¥59.15 · Upside -79.4%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.1091 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.58/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+39.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+23.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+23.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +17.5% a year
Revenue growth 11 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+17.3%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
+0.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+0.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.3%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.4.0% vs 7.6%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.10% → 9%
2025 sits 90% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Compare Guangdong Shenling Environmental Systems Co. Ltd. with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Building Products & Equipment · 261 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score49 · Below median
Fair Value upside−79.4% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)4.7% · Below median
Return on assets3.4% · Above median
Net margin (12 months)2.8% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months)3.4% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)8.1% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months)0.3% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.19× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Building Products & Equipment median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)190.8× · Priciest 25%
P/B8.08× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months)5.14× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA83.4× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 15
FUTURE (revenue growth)41· sector 21
PAST (return on equity)19· sector 24
HEALTH (low debt)91· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)6· sector 44
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Guangdong Shenling Environmental Systems Co. Ltd. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/301018
Frequently asked questions
Is Guangdong Shenling Environmental Systems Co. Ltd. (301018) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 30, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥12.16 versus a price of ¥59.15, about −79% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 301018?
Our model-based fair value for Guangdong Shenling Environmental Systems Co. Ltd. is ¥12.16 (as of Oct 30, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥59.15.
What is the quality score of 301018?
Guangdong Shenling Environmental Systems Co. Ltd. has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Guangdong Shenling Environmental Systems Co. Ltd. (301018)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥12.16 (as of Oct 30, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥9.12, optimistic scenario ¥15.94. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Guangdong Shenling Environmental Systems Co. Ltd. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥12.16, about −79% upside versus a price of ¥59.15 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥9.12, optimistic scenario ¥15.94. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Guangdong Shenling Environmental Systems Co. Ltd. (301018)?
Guangdong Shenling Environmental Systems Co. Ltd. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 4.3B CNY (latest available figure, as of Oct 30, 2026).
Does Guangdong Shenling Environmental Systems Co. Ltd. pay a dividend?
Guangdong Shenling Environmental Systems Co. Ltd. currently shows a dividend yield of 0.30% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 30, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Guangdong Shenling Environmental Systems Co. Ltd. (301018)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Guangdong Shenling Environmental Systems Co. Ltd. it is ¥12.16 per share (as of Oct 30, 2026), against a price of ¥59.15. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Guangdong Shenling Environmental Systems Co. Ltd. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 30, 2026, 301018 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥59.15, fair value ¥12.16, a gap of about −79% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 301018?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥59.15); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥12.16). For Guangdong Shenling Environmental Systems Co. Ltd. the two are ¥46.99 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Guangdong Shenling Environmental Systems Co. Ltd. worth?
The market values Guangdong Shenling Environmental Systems Co. Ltd. at about 22.1B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Oct 30, 2026). Per share that is ¥59.15; our models calculate a fair value of ¥12.16 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 301018?
Our models span a range for Guangdong Shenling Environmental Systems Co. Ltd.: cautious scenario ¥9.12, base ¥12.16, optimistic ¥15.94 per share (as of Oct 30, 2026, price ¥59.15). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 301018?
Guangdong Shenling Environmental Systems Co. Ltd. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 190.8 (as of Oct 30, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥12.16 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 8.1, P/S 5.1, EV/EBITDA 83.4.
How solid is the balance sheet of Guangdong Shenling Environmental Systems Co. Ltd. (301018)?
Balance-sheet figures for Guangdong Shenling Environmental Systems Co. Ltd. (as of Oct 30, 2026): return on equity 4.7%, debt of 0.19 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 49/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 301018 from its 52-week high?
Guangdong Shenling Environmental Systems Co. Ltd. trades at ¥59.15, about 53% below its 52-week high of ¥125.00 and 65% above the low of ¥35.88 (as of Oct 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥12.16 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Guangdong Shenling Environmental Systems Co. Ltd.?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Trane Technologies plc, Johnson Controls International plc, Carrier Global Corporation, Compagnie de Saint-Gobain S.A, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Guangdong Shenling Environmental Systems Co. Ltd. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 30, 2026: price ¥59.15, calculated fair value ¥12.16 (−79%), Quality Score 49/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 301018 calculated?
We run Guangdong Shenling Environmental Systems Co. Ltd. through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥12.16, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.4 % above its aggregate fair value. Guangdong Shenling Environmental Systems Co. Ltd. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Guangdong Shenling Environmental Systems Co. Ltd. (301018)?
The closing price on Oct 30, 2026 was ¥59.15. Our model-based fair value is ¥12.16, about −79% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Guangdong Shenling Environmental Systems Co. Ltd. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥15.94). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (49/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Where does the earnings growth of Guangdong Shenling Environmental Systems Co. Ltd. (301018) come from?
Earnings per share at Guangdong Shenling Environmental Systems Co. Ltd. grew +6.4 % a year from 2014 to 2024. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +10.3 %, EBIT margin +0.5 %, tax rate +1.1 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −5.0 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Guangdong Shenling Environmental Systems Co. Ltd.
How large is the market capitalisation of Guangdong Shenling Environmental Systems Co. Ltd. (301018)?
The market capitalisation of Guangdong Shenling Environmental Systems Co. Ltd. is 22.1B CNY (≈ $3.3B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Guangdong Shenling Environmental Systems Co. Ltd. (301018)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Guangdong Shenling Environmental Systems Co. Ltd. is 5.14 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Guangdong Shenling Environmental Systems Co. Ltd. (301018)?
Earnings per share at Guangdong Shenling Environmental Systems Co. Ltd. are ¥0.3100 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 190.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Guangdong Shenling Environmental Systems Co. Ltd. (301018)?
The dividend yield of Guangdong Shenling Environmental Systems Co. Ltd. is 0.3% (payout 57.7%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Guangdong Shenling Environmental Systems Co. Ltd. (301018)?
The net margin of Guangdong Shenling Environmental Systems Co. Ltd. is 2.8% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Guangdong Shenling Environmental Systems Co. Ltd. (301018)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Guangdong Shenling Environmental Systems Co. Ltd. is 4.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Guangdong Shenling Environmental Systems Co. Ltd. (301018)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Guangdong Shenling Environmental Systems Co. Ltd. is 4.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Guangdong Shenling Environmental Systems Co. Ltd. (301018)?
The operating margin of Guangdong Shenling Environmental Systems Co. Ltd. is 3.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Guangdong Shenling Environmental Systems Co. Ltd. (301018)?
Revenue at Guangdong Shenling Environmental Systems Co. Ltd. is growing +8.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +23.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Guangdong Shenling Environmental Systems Co. Ltd. (301018)?
Earnings per share at Guangdong Shenling Environmental Systems Co. Ltd. are growing −75.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Guangdong Shenling Environmental Systems Co. Ltd. (301018) generate?
The free cash flow of Guangdong Shenling Environmental Systems Co. Ltd. is −50.4M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Guangdong Shenling Environmental Systems Co. Ltd. (301018) carry?
The net debt of Guangdong Shenling Environmental Systems Co. Ltd. is 428M CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Oct 30, 2026