Guangdong Shenling Environmental Systems Co. Ltd. (301018) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 41.2B CNY
Structural break: The valuation model sees a lasting decline in earnings power for this stock, the confidence band is broken. Treat the target with caution.
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 14 valuation models · updated 12 days ago
Share price +22.0% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and trading another 757% above our fair value.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥15.20). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (48/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥10.92 – ¥125.00 · fair‑value band ¥9.12 – ¥15.20 · the ¥104.20 price screens above the ¥12.16 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Guangdong Shenling Environmental Systems Co. Ltd. (301018) currently trades at ¥104.20, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥12.16, implying the stock looks roughly 88.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Guangdong Shenling Environmental Systems Co. Ltd. generated revenue of 4.2B CNY at a net margin of 4.6%. Revenue declined 1.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.5%. Net debt stands at 428M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥9.12 (bear case) to ¥15.20 (bull case); at ¥104.20, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and 332% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -44% fair-value upside, at -88%, 301018 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 14 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥16.13) versus Asset-Based (¥4.88). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 74
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Guangdong Shenling Environmental Systems Co., Ltd. research, develops, designs, manufactures, and markets air conditioning equipment in China and internationally. It offers industrial and special, as well as public and commercial air conditioning units for industrial and research process, public and commercial buildings, and other applications.
Full company description
Guangdong Shenling Environmental Systems Co., Ltd. research, develops, designs, manufactures, and markets air conditioning equipment in China and internationally. It offers industrial and special, as well as public and commercial air conditioning units for industrial and research process, public and commercial buildings, and other applications. In addition, the company offers data service products, such as cloud data and computing centers, communication infrastructure, computer technology services, precision electronic instrument production, and other fields. The company serves power grids, chemical, metallurgy, food and beverages, pharmaceuticals, machinery and equipment, cement, automobiles, railways, subways, airports, nuclear power, aerospace, environmental management, hospitals, military, defense, and other sectors. Guangdong Shenling Environmental Systems Co., Ltd. was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in Foshan, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Guangdong Shenling Environmental Systems Co. Ltd. reported revenue of ¥4.2B in FY2025 versus ¥1.8B in FY2021, a compound +23.7%/yr. Reported net income was ¥217M in FY2025, compounding +11.5%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +15.1 pp · buybacks/dilution −4.9 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
301018 screens 88% overvalued. Compare with Contemporary Amperex Technology Co →
Peer Group
Electrical Equipment & Parts · 552 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Electrical Equipment & Parts median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Electrical Equipment & Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Contemporary Amperex Technology Co 3750 | HK$652.50 | HK$394.19 | -40% |
| ABB Ltd ABBN | CHF 80.38 | CHF 28.31 | -65% |
| Delta Electronics (Thailand) Public Company TDED | 10.40 SGD | 1.47 SGD | -86% |
| Vertiv Holdings VRT | $288.36 | $63.13 | -78% |
| LG Energy Solution, Ltd 373220 | 365,500 KRW | 201,455 KRW | -45% |
| Prysmian S.p.A PRY | €131.40 | €84.15 | -36% |
| Legrand SA LR | €134.65 | €78.82 | -41% |
| Sungrow Power Supply Co 300274 | ¥117.53 | ¥123.83 | +5% |
| Hubbell Incorporated HUBB | $512.90 | $285.77 | -44% |
| Shenzhen Inovance Technology Co 300124 | ¥61.07 | ¥33.04 | -46% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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