Zhuhai Raysharp Technology Co (301042) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 7.0B CNY
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 13 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from ¥5.57 to ¥7.80 (+40.0%) since Jul 9, 2026. Share price −50.9% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 77% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥9.58). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (57/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥13.21 – ¥82.03 · fair‑value band ¥5.85 – ¥9.58 · the ¥33.88 price screens above the ¥7.80 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Zhuhai Raysharp Technology Co (301042) currently trades at ¥33.88, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥7.80, implying the stock looks roughly 77.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Zhuhai Raysharp Technology Co generated revenue of 546M CNY at a net margin of 5.7%. Revenue grew 76.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.9%. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥5.85 (bear case) to ¥9.58 (bull case); at ¥33.88, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 61% below its 52-week high and 28% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 6% fair-value upside, at -77%, 301042 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 13 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥10.28) versus Earnings-Based (¥2.31). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 37
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Zhuhai Raysharp Technology Co.,Ltd. engages in the research and development, production, and sale of software and hardware of security video surveillance products. It offers front-end cameras and back-end hard disk recorders; and series of network HD cameras, coaxial HD cameras, network HD DVRs, and coaxial HD DVRs.
Full company description
Zhuhai Raysharp Technology Co.,Ltd. engages in the research and development, production, and sale of software and hardware of security video surveillance products. It offers front-end cameras and back-end hard disk recorders; and series of network HD cameras, coaxial HD cameras, network HD DVRs, and coaxial HD DVRs. The company's products are primarily used in consumer fields, such as homes, communities, enterprises, shops, vehicles, as well as engineering markets such as government agencies, public security, finance, electricity, education, utilities, and large commercial complexes. It operates in North America, Europe, and Asia, as well as to Oceania, South America, and Africa. The company was founded in 2007 and is based in Zhuhai, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Zhuhai Raysharp Technology Co reported revenue of ¥469M in FY2025 versus ¥868M in FY2021, a compound −14.2%/yr. Reported net income was ¥26.9M in FY2025, compounding −21.9%/yr from FY2021.
301042 screens 77% overvalued. Compare with ASSA ABLOY AB →
Peer Group
Security & Protection Services · 113 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Security & Protection Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Security & Protection Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| ASSA ABLOY AB ASSAB | kr 360.50 | kr 269.97 | -25% |
| Verisure plc VSURE | €9.33 | €12.40 | +33% |
| Allegion plc ALLE | $166.11 | $127.80 | -23% |
| Securitas AB SECUB | kr 147.90 | kr 186.34 | +26% |
| Zhejiang Dahua Technology Co 002236 | ¥16.46 | ¥31.47 | +91% |
| MSA Safety Incorporated MSA | $192.04 | $116.42 | -39% |
| ADT Inc ADT | $7.31 | $16.68 | +128% |
| The Brink's Company BCO | $113.96 | $121.18 | +6% |
| Brady Corporation BRC | $95.12 | $72.32 | -24% |
| The GEO Group GEO | $31.45 | $25.50 | -19% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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