Xiamen Jiarong Technology Corp. Ltd. (301148) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Xiamen Jiarong Technology Corp. Ltd. is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Structural break:
The valuation model sees a lasting decline in earnings power for this stock, the confidence band is broken. Treat the target with caution.
Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.
!Fair value ¥6.98 · Strongly overvalued (−88%)
!Quality 54/100
!Weak Growth(revenue 5y −3.2 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 8.0% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
·0.67% dividend yield
!Trails peers(2/13)
!Narrow moat26/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
53‑month range ¥11.60 – ¥79.76 · fair‑value band ¥4.89 – ¥8.70 · the ¥58.60 price screens above the ¥6.98 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
Xiamen Jiarong Technology Corp.,Ltd. manufactures and sells environmental protection equipment. It offers containerized systems, DTRO and STRO skid mounted systems, tubular ultra-filtration membrane systems, disc type/spiral tube modules, AMS membrane, and I-FLASH MVR. The company was founded in 2005 and is headquartered in Xiamen, China.
Stock analysis
Xiamen Jiarong Technology Corp. Ltd. (301148) currently trades at ¥58.60, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥6.98, implying the stock looks roughly 739.6% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of ¥10.12 per share, and 0 of the 22 models we run sit above the ¥58.60 price.
Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at ¥1.13, and 22 of the 22 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ¥4.89 (bear) to ¥8.70 (bull), the price of ¥58.60 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Xiamen Jiarong Technology Corp. Ltd. reported revenue of 508M CNY in FY2025 versus 675M CNY in FY2021, a compound −6.9%/yr. Reported net income was 51.2M CNY in FY2025, compounding −23.4%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 6.8B CNY (≈ $1.0B) · P/E ratio 167.4 · P/S ratio 16.9 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.3500 · Dividend yield 0.7% · Net margin 10.1% · Return on equity 2.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 33% below its 52-week high and 157% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −46% fair-value upside, at −88%, 301148 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (¥0.9200 to ¥16.00). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear ¥4.89Fair Value ¥6.98Bull ¥8.70
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.26/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−8.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−12.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.2%
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.1%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−23.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−23.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.7%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.30% → 20%
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
more than +80 %
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
Compare Xiamen Jiarong Technology Corp. Ltd. with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Industrial Machinery · 831 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score54 · Below median
Fair Value upside−83% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)2% · Below median
Return on assets1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)8% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)−1% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−4% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)0.7% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.07× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)167.4× · Priciest 25%
P/B3.65× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM)12.72× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF118.7× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 21
PAST (return on equity)9· sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)97· sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)13· sector 24
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
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Is Xiamen Jiarong Technology Corp. Ltd. (301148) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥6.98 versus a price of ¥58.60, about −88% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 301148?
Our model-based fair value for Xiamen Jiarong Technology Corp. Ltd. is ¥6.98 (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥58.60.
What is the quality score of 301148?
Xiamen Jiarong Technology Corp. Ltd. has a Quality Score of 54/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Xiamen Jiarong Technology Corp. Ltd. (301148)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥6.98 (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 22 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥4.89, optimistic scenario ¥8.70. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Xiamen Jiarong Technology Corp. Ltd. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥6.98, about −88% upside versus a price of ¥58.60 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥4.89, optimistic scenario ¥8.70. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Xiamen Jiarong Technology Corp. Ltd. (301148)?
Xiamen Jiarong Technology Corp. Ltd. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 505M CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
Does Xiamen Jiarong Technology Corp. Ltd. pay a dividend?
Xiamen Jiarong Technology Corp. Ltd. currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.67% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 13, 2026).
What growth is priced into Xiamen Jiarong Technology Corp. Ltd. (301148)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Xiamen Jiarong Technology Corp. Ltd. would have to grow free cash flow by more than 80 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -3.2 % per year. As of Sep 13, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 301148 use?
Our models discount Xiamen Jiarong Technology Corp. Ltd. at 11.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.95, country premium for China. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Xiamen Jiarong Technology Corp. Ltd. that is more than 80 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Xiamen Jiarong Technology Corp. Ltd. (301148) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Xiamen Jiarong Technology Corp. Ltd. grew -3.2 % a year. The price currently implies more than 80 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Xiamen Jiarong Technology Corp. Ltd. (301148) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Xiamen Jiarong Technology Corp. Ltd. (more than 80 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Xiamen Jiarong Technology Corp. Ltd. (301148)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.12 %: that much free cash flow Xiamen Jiarong Technology Corp. Ltd. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Xiamen Jiarong Technology Corp. Ltd. (301148)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Xiamen Jiarong Technology Corp. Ltd. it is ¥6.98 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of ¥58.60. It is the blended result of 22 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Xiamen Jiarong Technology Corp. Ltd. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, 301148 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥58.60, fair value ¥6.98, a gap of about −88% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 301148?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥58.60); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥6.98). For Xiamen Jiarong Technology Corp. Ltd. the two are ¥51.62 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Xiamen Jiarong Technology Corp. Ltd. worth?
The market values Xiamen Jiarong Technology Corp. Ltd. at about 6.8B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is ¥58.60; our models calculate a fair value of ¥6.98 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 301148?
Our models span a range for Xiamen Jiarong Technology Corp. Ltd.: cautious scenario ¥4.89, base ¥6.98, optimistic ¥8.70 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price ¥58.60). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 301148?
Xiamen Jiarong Technology Corp. Ltd. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 167.4 (as of Sep 13, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥6.98 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 3.7, P/S 12.7.
How solid is the balance sheet of Xiamen Jiarong Technology Corp. Ltd. (301148)?
Balance-sheet figures for Xiamen Jiarong Technology Corp. Ltd. (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity 2.3%, debt of 0.07 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 54/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 301148 from its 52-week high?
Xiamen Jiarong Technology Corp. Ltd. trades at ¥58.60, about 33% below its 52-week high of ¥87.00 and 157% above the low of ¥22.78 (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥6.98 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Xiamen Jiarong Technology Corp. Ltd.?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value GE Vernova Inc, SIE, Eaton Corporation, Parker-Hannifin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Xiamen Jiarong Technology Corp. Ltd. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price ¥58.60, calculated fair value ¥6.98 (−88%), Quality Score 54/100, from 22 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 301148 calculated?
We run Xiamen Jiarong Technology Corp. Ltd. through 22 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥6.98, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Xiamen Jiarong Technology Corp. Ltd. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Xiamen Jiarong Technology Corp. Ltd. (301148)?
The closing price on Sep 17, 2026 was ¥58.60. Our model-based fair value is ¥6.98, about −88% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Xiamen Jiarong Technology Corp. Ltd. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥8.70). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (54/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of Xiamen Jiarong Technology Corp. Ltd.
How large is the market capitalisation of Xiamen Jiarong Technology Corp. Ltd. (301148)?
The market capitalisation of Xiamen Jiarong Technology Corp. Ltd. is 6.8B CNY (≈ $1.0B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Xiamen Jiarong Technology Corp. Ltd. (301148)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Xiamen Jiarong Technology Corp. Ltd. is 16.9 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Xiamen Jiarong Technology Corp. Ltd. (301148)?
Earnings per share at Xiamen Jiarong Technology Corp. Ltd. are ¥0.3500 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 167.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Xiamen Jiarong Technology Corp. Ltd. (301148)?
The dividend yield of Xiamen Jiarong Technology Corp. Ltd. is 0.7% (payout 111%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Xiamen Jiarong Technology Corp. Ltd. (301148)?
The net margin of Xiamen Jiarong Technology Corp. Ltd. is 10.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Xiamen Jiarong Technology Corp. Ltd. (301148)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Xiamen Jiarong Technology Corp. Ltd. is 2.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Xiamen Jiarong Technology Corp. Ltd. (301148)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Xiamen Jiarong Technology Corp. Ltd. is 5.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Xiamen Jiarong Technology Corp. Ltd. (301148)?
The operating margin of Xiamen Jiarong Technology Corp. Ltd. is −0.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Xiamen Jiarong Technology Corp. Ltd. (301148)?
Revenue at Xiamen Jiarong Technology Corp. Ltd. is growing −3.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg −12.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Xiamen Jiarong Technology Corp. Ltd. (301148)?
Earnings per share at Xiamen Jiarong Technology Corp. Ltd. are growing −85.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Xiamen Jiarong Technology Corp. Ltd. (301148) carry?
The net debt of Xiamen Jiarong Technology Corp. Ltd. is 60.4M CNY (fiscal year 2024, ≈ 7.5 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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