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Wuxi Xinan Technology Co (301170) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · CN · Market cap 2.4B CNY

WX Wuxi Xinan Technology Co 301170 · SHE
Price¥23.08
Fair Value¥18.43
Upside-20.2%
Quality36/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 8.6% net margin
negative free cash flow
1.04% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (5/12)
Narrow moat 38/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥13.67 – ¥23.20 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 9, 2026

From 14 valuation models · updated 32 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 9, 2026, revised from ¥18.72 to ¥18.43 (−1.5%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +6.0% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 20% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Weak quality (36/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • Our model range runs from ¥13.67 (bear) to ¥23.20 (bull), base ¥18.43. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 36/100 (below-average quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
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Price vs Fair Value (3 years)

¥42.73 ¥17.03 Fair Value ¥18.43 Jun 2023 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

How to read this chart

37‑month range ¥17.03 – ¥42.73 · fair‑value band ¥13.67 – ¥23.20 · the ¥23.08 price screens above the ¥18.43 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

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Analysis

Wuxi Xinan Technology Co (301170) currently trades at ¥23.08, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥18.43, implying the stock looks roughly 20.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Wuxi Xinan Technology Co generated revenue of 1.2B CNY at a net margin of 8.6%. Revenue grew 11.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.6%. Net debt stands at 63.2M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥13.67 (bear case) to ¥23.20 (bull case); at ¥23.08, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 27% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -44% fair-value upside, at -20%, 301170 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥13.76 ¥14.01 ¥13.68 76
Growth-Adj P/E ¥14.12 ¥20.17 ¥26.22 68
ROIC Compounder ¥9.57 ¥10.77 ¥11.81 67
All 14 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥6.90 ¥23.08 ¥30.91 54
Lynch FV ¥5.25 ¥7.49 ¥9.74 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥5.25 ¥7.49 ¥9.74 46
EPV ¥9.57 ¥10.77 ¥11.81 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥16.73 ¥22.31 ¥27.89 63
P/S Multiple ¥10.11 ¥13.48 ¥16.84 58
P/B Multiple ¥12.93 ¥17.24 ¥21.55 55
EV/EBIT ¥16.27 ¥21.03 ¥25.80 53
EV/EBITDA ¥16.48 ¥21.32 ¥26.15 54
EV/Revenue ¥11.40 ¥15.44 ¥19.48 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥8.95 ¥11.99 ¥17.90 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥13.76 ¥14.01 ¥13.68 76
ROIC Compounder ¥9.57 ¥10.77 ¥11.81 67
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥14.12 ¥20.17 ¥26.22 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥20.17) versus Earnings-Based (¥7.49). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 1.2B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +11.4%
Net margin 8.6%
Return on equity 5.6%
Free cash flow −118M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 24.3
More key figures
Operating margin 10.1%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.9900
Dividend yield 1.0%
EPS growth (YoY) -9.4%
Net debt 63.2M CNY FY2022

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 36/100

Of which business quality 40 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 34

Profitability 35
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 46
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 16
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 87
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 3
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 83
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 16
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 8
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 40
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Wuxi Xinan Technology Co., Ltd. engages in the research, development, production, and sale of aluminum alloy auto parts for commercial vehicles and passenger cars in China. The company offers turbocharger compressor housing products; focuses on the new energy vehicle drive motor housing and other key components; and water-cooled pressure shells.

Full company description

Wuxi Xinan Technology Co., Ltd. engages in the research, development, production, and sale of aluminum alloy auto parts for commercial vehicles and passenger cars in China. The company offers turbocharger compressor housing products; focuses on the new energy vehicle drive motor housing and other key components; and water-cooled pressure shells. Its products are used in terminal OEM customers. The company was founded in 1994 and is based in Wuxi, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Wuxi Xinan Technology Co reported revenue of ¥1.1B in FY2025 versus ¥759M in FY2021, a compound +10.3%/yr. Reported net income was ¥101M in FY2025, compounding +6.1%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
1.1B CNY
Latest YoY
+5.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.7%
Revenue +10.3%/yr
FY21 ¥759M
FY22 ¥875M
FY23 ¥1.0B
FY24 ¥1.1B
FY25 ¥1.1B
Net income +6.1%/yr
FY21 ¥80.1M
FY22 ¥91.6M
FY23 ¥93.2M
FY24 ¥110M
FY25 ¥101M

301170 screens 20% overvalued. Compare with Hyundai Mobis Co →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Wuxi Xinan Technology Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/301170

Peer Group

Auto Parts · 642 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 36 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −20% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 6% · Below median
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 9% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 10% · Above median
Revenue growth 11% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.0% · Below median

Valuation Multiples vs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 24.3× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.34× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 2.09× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 13.9× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 7 · sector 16
FUTURE 57 · sector 23
PAST 22 · sector 26
HEALTH 0 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 21 · sector 30

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Auto Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 9, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Hyundai Mobis Co 012330 482,000 KRW 678,420 KRW +41%
Magna International Inc MGAN 1,122 MXN 1,172 MXN +4%
Samvardhana Motherson International Limited MOTHERSON ₹144.17 ₹80.63 -44%
Bosch Limited BOSCHLTD ₹41,110 ₹14,004 -66%
Bharat Forge Limited BHARATFORG ₹2,117 ₹441.74 -79%
Uno Minda Limited UNOMINDA ₹1,158 ₹426.57 -63%
Schaeffler India Limited SCHAEFFLER ₹4,135 ₹1,412 -66%
Hankook Tire & Technology Co 161390 73,600 KRW 196,479 KRW +167%
MRF Limited MRF ₹131,025 ₹125,849 -4%
Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited SONACOMS ₹792.00 ₹207.06 -74%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Wuxi Xinan Technology Co (301170) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥18.43 versus a price of ¥23.08, about −20% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 301170?
Our model-based fair value for Wuxi Xinan Technology Co is ¥18.43 (as of Jul 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥23.08.
What is the quality score of 301170?
Wuxi Xinan Technology Co has a Quality Score of 36/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Wuxi Xinan Technology Co (301170)?
Wuxi Xinan Technology Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.2B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 9, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 301170?
The net profit margin of Wuxi Xinan Technology Co is about 8.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 8.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Wuxi Xinan Technology Co pay a dividend?
Wuxi Xinan Technology Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.04% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 9, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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