Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd. (301219) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd. stock ¥26.38, price ¥32.29, that is 18.3% below the price, quality 60 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 25 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 8, 2026.
How to read this chart
56‑month range ¥26.61 – ¥88.77 · fair‑value band ¥15.14 – ¥32.98 · the ¥32.29 price screens above the ¥26.38 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 8, 2026.
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Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, development, production, and sale of cobalt and copper products in China and internationally.
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The company offers cobalt sulfate, cobalt chloride, and electrodeposited cobalt; electrodeposited copper products; nickel; lithium; and battery material precursors. It is also involved in general trade; and engineering construction.
The company's products are used in cathode materials of lithium-ion batteries, electroplating, alkaline batteries, pigments, catalysts, analytical reagents, additives, and adhesives, as well as electrical, light, machinery, construction, national defense, and other industries.
It exports its products. The company was founded in 2004 and is headquartered in Ganzhou, China.
Stock analysis
Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd. (301219) currently trades at ¥32.29, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥26.38, 18% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ¥86.18 per share, and 19 of the 25 models we run sit above the ¥32.29 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥13.74, and 6 of the 25 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: ¥15.14 (bear) to ¥32.98 (bull), the price of ¥32.29 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd. reported revenue of 8.3B CNY in FY2025 versus 4.2B CNY in FY2021, a compound +19.0%/yr. Reported net income was 1.1B CNY in FY2025, compounding −0.9%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 12.4B CNY (≈ $1.9B) Small · P/E ratio 8.3 · P/S ratio 1.13 · EPS (TTM) ¥3.90 · Dividend yield 3.3% · Net margin 14.0% · Return on equity 15.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 13.1% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 56 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 64% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −8% fair-value upside, at −18%, 301219 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear¥15.14Fair Value ¥26.38Bull¥32.98
Price ¥32.29 · Downside -18.3%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥2.42 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCF¥14.37¥16.62¥23.3382
Growth DCF¥14.05¥17.07¥22.6080
Residual Income¥21.16¥23.64¥29.5976
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF¥14.37¥16.62¥23.3382
5Y Revenue Exit¥27.77¥45.15¥81.8570
5Y EBITDA Exit¥35.42¥60.59¥110.1472
5Y P/E Exit¥36.31¥76.56¥132.5568
10Y Revenue Exit¥22.40¥46.08¥63.6666
10Y EBITDA Exit¥28.30¥60.96¥120.8764
10Y P/E Exit¥28.90¥62.71¥120.7060
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd¥19.73¥137.60¥193.1063
Lynch FV¥50.78¥72.54¥94.3061
PEG = 1.0¥50.78¥72.54¥94.3057
EPV¥33.33¥36.54¥39.2071
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM¥8.78¥15.65¥21.3468
DDM Multi-Stage¥8.78¥14.38¥16.7367
Multiples
P/E Multiple¥36.99¥49.33¥61.6663
P/S Multiple¥24.51¥32.68¥40.8558
P/B Multiple¥54.62¥72.83¥91.0455
EV/EBIT¥40.35¥53.83¥67.3166
EV/EBITDA¥35.59¥47.48¥59.3867
EV/Revenue¥22.78¥32.58¥42.3953
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)¥9.07¥13.74¥17.1854
Growth DCF
Growth DCF¥14.05¥17.07¥22.6080
Rev-Margin DCF¥27.77¥50.22¥92.3669
Economic Profit
Residual Income¥21.16¥23.64¥29.5976
ROIC Compounder¥38.63¥50.68¥59.3572
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E¥60.32¥86.18¥112.0367
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for a cyclical peak year.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+27.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+20.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+36.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+29.9%
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
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’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
+7.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+4.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.3%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.23% → 18%
2025 sits 194% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Growth Forecast
Price in line with expectations
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+38.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +36.2% a year for the price.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 371 stocks
Beats the industry median on 13/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score60 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−18.3% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)15.8% · Top 25%
Return on assets8.5% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months)14.0% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months)11.9% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)70.4% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)3.3% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.01× · Lowest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/301219
Frequently asked questions
Is Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd. (301219) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥26.38 versus a price of ¥32.29, about 18% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 301219?
Our model-based fair value for Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd. is ¥26.38 (as of Nov 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥32.29.
What is the quality score of 301219?
Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd. has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd. (301219)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥26.38 (as of Nov 8, 2026) from 25 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥15.14, optimistic scenario ¥32.98. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥26.38, about 18% lower versus a price of ¥32.29 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥15.14, optimistic scenario ¥32.98. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd. (301219)?
Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 10.9B CNY (latest available figure, as of Nov 8, 2026).
Does Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd. pay a dividend?
Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd. currently shows a dividend yield of 3.31% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 8, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd. (301219) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd. pays a dividend of ¥1.07 per share a year, a dividend yield of 3.3%. The last ex-dividend date was Oct 16, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since at least 2022. The payout ratio is 27.4% of earnings. Free cash flow covers the dividend 0.33 times. Our assessment: Watch coverage. The dividend isn’t fully covered by free cash flow or earnings, part of it is funded from reserves or debt. Fine for now, but worth watching: if it stays uncovered, the dividend could be cut.
What growth is priced into Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd. (301219)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd. would have to grow free cash flow by +38.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.2 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +36.1 % per year. As of Nov 8, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 301219 use?
Our models discount Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd. at 11.2 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 1.30, country premium for China. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd. that is +38.5 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (11.2 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd. (301219) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd. grew +36.1 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +38.5 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd. (301219) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +9.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd. (+38.5 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd. (301219)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.09 %: that much free cash flow Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.2 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd. (301219)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd. it is ¥26.38 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026), against a price of ¥32.29. It is the blended result of 25 valuation models in 8 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 8, 2026, 301219 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥32.29, fair value ¥26.38, a gap of about −18% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 301219?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥32.29); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥26.38). For Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd. the two are ¥5.91 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd. worth?
The market values Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd. at about 12.4B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Nov 8, 2026). Per share that is ¥32.29; our models calculate a fair value of ¥26.38 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 301219?
Our models span a range for Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd.: cautious scenario ¥15.14, base ¥26.38, optimistic ¥32.98 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026, price ¥32.29). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 301219?
Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 8.3 (as of Nov 8, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥26.38 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.3, P/S 1.1, EV/EBITDA 3.8.
How solid is the balance sheet of Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd. (301219)?
Balance-sheet figures for Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd. (as of Nov 8, 2026): return on equity 15.8%, debt of 0.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 60/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 301219 from its 52-week high?
Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd. trades at ¥32.29, about 64% below its 52-week high of ¥88.77 and 9% above the low of ¥29.68 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥26.38 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd.?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value BHP Group, Saudi Arabian Mining Company, CMOC Group, Hindustan Zinc Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 8, 2026: price ¥32.29, calculated fair value ¥26.38 (−18%), Quality Score 60/100, from 25 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 301219 calculated?
We run Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd. through 25 models from 8 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of ¥26.38 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd. (301219)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was ¥32.29. Our model-based fair value is ¥26.38, about 18% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd. right now?
Solid but not exceptional quality (60/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (¥15.14 to ¥32.98) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd.
How large is the market capitalisation of Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd. (301219)?
The market capitalisation of Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd. is 12.4B CNY (≈ $1.9B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd. (301219)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd. is 1.13 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd. (301219)?
Earnings per share at Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd. are ¥3.90 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 8.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd. (301219)?
The dividend yield of Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd. is 3.3% (payout 27.4%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd. (301219)?
The net margin of Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd. is 14.0% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd. (301219)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd. is 15.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd. (301219)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd. is 13.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd. (301219)?
The operating margin of Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd. is 11.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd. (301219)?
Revenue at Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd. is growing +70.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +20.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd. (301219)?
Earnings per share at Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd. are growing +2.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd. (301219) carry?
The net debt of Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd. is 36.6M CNY (fiscal year 2019, ≈ 0.3 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Nov 8, 2026