Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co (301219) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 22.7B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 9, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 32 days ago
Share price −4.4% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 16% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid but not exceptional quality (59/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- Our model range runs from ¥31.36 (bear) to ¥52.41 (bull), base ¥41.93. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 59/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (4 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.
How to read this chart
53‑month range ¥26.83 – ¥89.49 · fair‑value band ¥31.36 – ¥52.41 · the ¥50.06 price screens above the ¥41.93 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.
Analysis
Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co (301219) currently trades at ¥50.06, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥41.93, implying the stock looks roughly 16.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co generated revenue of 9.4B CNY at a net margin of 16.1%. Revenue grew 75.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 16.0%. Net debt stands at 36.6M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥31.36 (bear case) to ¥52.41 (bull case); at ¥50.06, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 46% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -34% fair-value upside, at -16%, 301219 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥86.18) versus Asset-Based (¥16.41). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 20
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, development, production, and sale of cobalt and copper products in China and internationally.
Full company description
Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, development, production, and sale of cobalt and copper products in China and internationally. The company offers cobalt sulfate, cobalt chloride, and electrodeposited cobalt; electrodeposited copper products; nickel; lithium; and battery material precursors. It is also involved in general trade; and engineering construction. The company's products are used in cathode materials of lithium-ion batteries, electroplating, alkaline batteries, pigments, catalysts, analytical reagents, additives, and adhesives, as well as electrical, light, machinery, construction, national defense, and other industries. It exports its products. The company was founded in 2004 and is headquartered in Ganzhou, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co reported revenue of ¥8.3B in FY2025 versus ¥4.2B in FY2021, a compound +19.0%/yr. Reported net income was ¥1.1B in FY2025, compounding −0.9%/yr from FY2021.
301219 screens 16% overvalued. Compare with BHP Group →
Peer Group
Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 476 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 9, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BHP Group BHPN | 1,425 MXN | 942.42 MXN | -34% |
| Rio Tinto Group RIO | A$164.89 | A$81.76 | -50% |
| Grupo México, S.A. GMEXICOB | 199.23 MXN | 187.72 MXN | -6% |
| Vale S.A VALE | $14.19 | $9.14 | -36% |
| Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 | 58.05 SAR | 33.87 SAR | -42% |
| CMOC Group 603993 | ¥18.20 | ¥16.15 | -11% |
| Fortescue Ltd FMG | A$18.47 | A$18.62 | +1% |
| China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 | ¥74.71 | ¥9.55 | -87% |
| Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC | ₹521.95 | ₹576.80 | +11% |
| China Northern Rare Earth (Group) High-Tech Co 600111 | ¥39.56 | ¥10.59 | -73% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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