Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd. (301219) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 22, 2026: fair value of Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd. ¥41.55, price ¥41.61, upside -0.2%, quality 59 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
54‑month range ¥26.83 – ¥89.49 · fair‑value band ¥24.98 – ¥51.94 · the ¥41.61 price screens above the ¥41.55 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, development, production, and sale of cobalt and copper products in China and internationally.
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Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, development, production, and sale of cobalt and copper products in China and internationally. The company offers cobalt sulfate, cobalt chloride, and electrodeposited cobalt; electrodeposited copper products; nickel; lithium; and battery material precursors. It is also involved in general trade; and engineering construction. The company's products are used in cathode materials of lithium-ion batteries, electroplating, alkaline batteries, pigments, catalysts, analytical reagents, additives, and adhesives, as well as electrical, light, machinery, construction, national defense, and other industries. It exports its products. The company was founded in 2004 and is headquartered in Ganzhou, China.
Stock analysis
Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd. (301219) currently trades at ¥41.61, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥41.55, implying the stock looks roughly 0.2% fairly valued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ¥86.18 per share, and 19 of the 24 models we run sit above the ¥41.61 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥16.41, and 5 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: ¥24.98 (bear) to ¥51.94 (bull), the price of ¥41.61 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd. reported revenue of 8.3B CNY in FY2025 versus 4.2B CNY in FY2021, a compound +19.0%/yr. Reported net income was 1.1B CNY in FY2025, compounding −0.9%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 22.7B CNY (≈ $3.4B) · P/E ratio 10.5 · P/S ratio 1.40 · EPS (TTM) ¥3.96 · Dividend yield 3.7% · Net margin 13.3% · Return on equity 16.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 13.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 46 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 54% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 0%, 301219 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ¥24.98Fair Value ¥41.55Bull ¥51.94
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥1.77 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+27.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+20.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+36.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+29.9%
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’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
+8.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+4.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.7%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.23% → 18%
2025 sits 194% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+43.2%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +40.8% a year for the price.
Compare Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd. with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 458 stocks
Beats the industry median on 12/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score59 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside0% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)16% · Top 25%
Return on assets10% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)16% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)26% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth75% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)3.7% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.01× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/301219
Frequently asked questions
Is Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd. (301219) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥41.55 versus a price of ¥41.61, about −0% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 301219?
Our model-based fair value for Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd. is ¥41.55 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥41.61.
What is the quality score of 301219?
Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd. has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd. (301219)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥41.55 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥24.98, optimistic scenario ¥51.94. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥41.55, about −0% upside versus a price of ¥41.61 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario ¥24.98, optimistic scenario ¥51.94. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd. (301219)?
Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 9.4B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd. pay a dividend?
Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd. currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.70% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd. (301219)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd. would have to grow free cash flow by +43.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +36.1 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 301219 use?
Our models discount Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd. at 10.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 1.25, country premium for China. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd. that is +43.2 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd. (301219) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd. grew +36.1 % a year. The price currently implies +43.2 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd. (301219) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd. (+43.2 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd. (301219)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.84 %: that much free cash flow Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd. (301219)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd. it is ¥41.55 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥41.61. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 301219 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥41.61, fair value ¥41.55, a gap of about −0% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 301219?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥41.61); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥41.55). For Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd. the two are ¥0.0620 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd. worth?
The market values Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd. at about 22.7B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥41.61; our models calculate a fair value of ¥41.55 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 301219?
Our models span a range for Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd.: cautious scenario ¥24.98, base ¥41.55, optimistic ¥51.94 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ¥41.61). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 301219?
Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 10.5 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥41.55 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.4, P/S 2.4, EV/EBITDA 8.2.
How solid is the balance sheet of Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd. (301219)?
Balance-sheet figures for Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd. (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 16.0%, debt of 0.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 59/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 301219 from its 52-week high?
Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd. trades at ¥41.61, about 54% below its 52-week high of ¥89.49 and 2% above the low of ¥40.69 (as of Sep 22, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥41.55 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd.?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Vale S.A, Saudi Arabian Mining Company, CMOC Group, Fortescue Ltd, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥41.61, calculated fair value ¥41.55 (−0%), Quality Score 59/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 301219 calculated?
We run Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd. through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥41.55, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd. (301219)?
The closing price on Sep 22, 2026 was ¥41.61. Our model-based fair value is ¥41.55, about −0% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd. right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range (¥24.98 to ¥51.94) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd.
How large is the market capitalisation of Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd. (301219)?
The market capitalisation of Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd. is 22.7B CNY (≈ $3.4B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd. (301219)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd. is 1.40 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd. (301219)?
Earnings per share at Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd. are ¥3.96 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 10.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd. (301219)?
The dividend yield of Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd. is 3.7% (payout 38.9%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd. (301219)?
The net margin of Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd. is 13.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd. (301219)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd. is 16.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd. (301219)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd. is 13.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd. (301219)?
The operating margin of Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd. is 26.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd. (301219)?
Revenue at Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd. is growing +75.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +20.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd. (301219)?
Earnings per share at Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd. are growing +329% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd. (301219) carry?
The net debt of Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material Co. Ltd. is 36.6M CNY (fiscal year 2019, ≈ 0.3 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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