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Hunan Airbluer Environmental Protection Technology Co. Ltd. (301259) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 6.0B CNY (≈ $895M) · ISIN CNE100005CQ6

HA Hunan Airbluer Environmental Protection Technology Co. Ltd. 301259 · SHE
Price¥22.43
Fair Value¥2.26
Upside-89.9%
Quality56/100

Structural break: The valuation model sees a lasting decline in earnings power for this stock, the confidence band is broken. Treat the target with caution.

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Strengths

Solidly profitable · 12.2% net margin

Risks

!Trades 892% ABOVE our fair value of ¥2.26
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −11.3 %/yr)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (4/12)
Weak Growth (revenue 5y −11.3 %/yr)
Solidly profitable · 12.2% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
0.16% dividend yield
Trails peers (4/12)
Narrow moat 41/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥1.70 – ¥2.83 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 28, 2026

From 12 valuation models · updated today

Share price +7.7% over the past month.

A solid business, but trading 892% above our fair value.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

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What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥2.83). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (56/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (4 years)

¥39.38 ¥8.83 Fair Value ¥2.26 Apr 2022 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 28, 2026.

How to read this chart

52‑month range ¥8.83 – ¥39.38 · fair‑value band ¥1.70 – ¥2.83 · the ¥22.43 price screens above the ¥2.26 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 28, 2026.

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Analysis

Hunan Airbluer Environmental Protection Technology Co. Ltd. (301259) currently trades at ¥22.43, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥2.26, implying the stock looks roughly 89.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Hunan Airbluer Environmental Protection Technology Co. Ltd. generated revenue of 256M CNY at a net margin of 12.2%. Revenue declined 24.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.1%. Net debt stands at 114M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 28, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥1.70 (bear case) to ¥2.83 (bull case); at ¥22.43, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 47% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -35% fair-value upside, at -90%, 301259 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥2.79 ¥2.71 ¥2.31 76
ROIC Compounder ¥0.3200 ¥0.4500 ¥0.5600 72
Growth-Adj P/E ¥1.48 ¥2.11 ¥2.75 68
All 12 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥0.9000 ¥1.11 ¥1.24 54
EPV ¥0.3200 ¥0.4500 ¥0.5600 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥2.10 ¥2.79 ¥3.49 63
P/S Multiple ¥1.70 ¥2.26 ¥2.83 58
P/B Multiple ¥1.70 ¥2.26 ¥2.83 55
EV/EBIT ¥0.9600 ¥1.45 ¥1.94 53
EV/EBITDA ¥2.28 ¥3.21 ¥4.14 54
EV/Revenue ¥0.5400 ¥0.9900 ¥1.44 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥1.93 ¥2.59 ¥3.86 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥2.79 ¥2.71 ¥2.31 76
ROIC Compounder ¥0.3200 ¥0.4500 ¥0.5600 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥1.48 ¥2.11 ¥2.75 68

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (¥2.59) versus Earnings-Based (¥0.4500). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 160.2
P/S ratio 17.9 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) ¥0.1400 price ÷ EPS = P/E 160.2
Dividend yield 0.2% payout 25.6%
Net margin 11.1% FY2025
Return on equity 4.1% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 3.5% avg 5y
Operating margin 37.9% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) 256M CNY TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) -24.1% 3y avg -17.2%
EPS growth (YoY) +13.3%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow −11.2M CNY FY2025
Net debt 114M CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 28, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 56/100

Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 26

Profitability 23
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 68
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 51
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 61
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 60
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 48
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 23
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 7
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Hunan Airbluer Environmental Protection Technology Co., Ltd. provides environmental protection services in China. The company offers sewage, solid waste, and soil pollution solutions; and agricultural source pollution control, contaminated farmland control and restoration, domestic sewage treatment, domestic garbage treatment, and rural aquatic ecology and …

Full company description

Hunan Airbluer Environmental Protection Technology Co., Ltd. provides environmental protection services in China. The company offers sewage, solid waste, and soil pollution solutions; and agricultural source pollution control, contaminated farmland control and restoration, domestic sewage treatment, domestic garbage treatment, and rural aquatic ecology and ecological treatment solutions. The company was founded in 2013 and is based in Changsha, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Hunan Airbluer Environmental Protection Technology Co. Ltd. reported revenue of ¥270M in FY2025 versus ¥522M in FY2021, a compound −15.2%/yr. Reported net income was ¥30.1M in FY2025, compounding −19.2%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 19/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
270M CNY
Latest YoY
+46.3%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−17.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−11.3%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (6Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−7.8%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
−25.5% (-25.7 + 0.2)
Revenue −15.2%/yr
FY21 ¥522M
FY22 ¥476M
FY23 ¥178M
FY24 ¥185M
FY25 ¥270M
Net income −19.2%/yr
FY21 ¥70.6M
FY22 ¥74.0M
FY23 −¥27.6M
FY24 −¥30.8M
FY25 ¥30.1M

301259 screens 90% overvalued. Compare with Waste Management, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hunan Airbluer Environmental Protection Technology Co. Ltd. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/301259

Peer Group

Waste Management · 168 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 56 · Above median
Fair Value upside −90% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 4% · Below median
Return on assets 0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 12% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 38% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -24% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.2% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.29× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Waste Management median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 160.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 6.88× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 23.43× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 4
FUTURE0 · sector 20
PAST16 · sector 26
HEALTH86 · sector 83
DIVIDEND4 · sector 44

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Waste Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 28, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Waste Management, Inc WM $221.24 $128.02 -42%
Republic Services, Inc RSG $222.18 $120.63 -46%
Waste Connections, Inc WCN C$230.52 C$78.67 -66%
Veolia Environnement SA VIE €32.58 €23.26 -29%
Clean Harbors, Inc CLH $316.65 $154.01 -51%
GFL Environmental Inc GFL C$57.62 C$44.27 -23%
Fomento de Construcciones y Contratas, S.A FCC €11.30 €7.30 -35%
GEM Co 002340 ¥6.75 ¥5.27 -22%
Zhejiang Weiming Environment Protection Co 603568 ¥15.68 ¥20.95 +34%
Cleanaway Waste Management Limited CWY A$2.56 A$1.18 -54%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Hunan Airbluer Environmental Protection Technology Co. Ltd. (301259) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 28, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥2.26 versus a price of ¥22.43, about −90% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 301259?
Our model-based fair value for Hunan Airbluer Environmental Protection Technology Co. Ltd. is ¥2.26 (as of Aug 28, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥22.43.
What is the quality score of 301259?
Hunan Airbluer Environmental Protection Technology Co. Ltd. has a Quality Score of 56/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Hunan Airbluer Environmental Protection Technology Co. Ltd. (301259)?
Hunan Airbluer Environmental Protection Technology Co. Ltd. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 256M CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 28, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 301259?
The net profit margin of Hunan Airbluer Environmental Protection Technology Co. Ltd. is about 12.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 12.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Hunan Airbluer Environmental Protection Technology Co. Ltd. pay a dividend?
Hunan Airbluer Environmental Protection Technology Co. Ltd. currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.16% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 28, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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