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Beijing Jiaman Dress Co (301276) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · CN · Market cap 3.3B CNY

BJ Beijing Jiaman Dress Co 301276 · SHE
Price¥20.48
Fair Value¥11.50
Upside-43.9%
Quality52/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 9.5% net margin
generates free cash flow
1.60% dividend yield
Trails peers (4/13)
Moderate moat 48/100
Evidence: High Range ¥9.95 – ¥13.46 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 9, 2026

From 22 valuation models · updated 32 days ago

Share price −17.6% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 44% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥13.46). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (52/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (4 years)

¥31.20 ¥12.72 Fair Value ¥11.50 Sep 2022 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

How to read this chart

47‑month range ¥12.72 – ¥31.20 · fair‑value band ¥9.95 – ¥13.46 · the ¥20.48 price screens above the ¥11.50 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

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Analysis

Beijing Jiaman Dress Co (301276) currently trades at ¥20.48, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥11.50, implying the stock looks roughly 43.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Beijing Jiaman Dress Co generated revenue of 1.2B CNY at a net margin of 9.5%. Revenue grew 16.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.2%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 30.0. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥9.95 (bear case) to ¥13.46 (bull case); at ¥20.48, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high and 20% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 1% fair-value upside, at -44%, 301276 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥12.35 ¥12.40 ¥11.62 76
Growth DCF ¥4.82 ¥6.04 ¥8.17 72
Growth-Adj P/E ¥9.47 ¥13.53 ¥17.59 68
All 22 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥4.67 ¥5.93 ¥8.33 38
Owner Earnings ¥10.04 ¥13.12 ¥18.97 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥6.46 ¥9.42 ¥13.82 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥10.47 ¥16.27 ¥24.09 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥9.42 ¥14.47 ¥20.60 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥5.53 ¥7.83 ¥10.43 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥8.11 ¥12.13 ¥16.68 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥7.48 ¥11.00 ¥14.55 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥5.54 ¥8.17 ¥9.66 54
EPV ¥10.65 ¥12.18 ¥13.50 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥13.44 ¥17.92 ¥22.39 63
P/S Multiple ¥7.77 ¥10.35 ¥12.94 58
P/B Multiple ¥10.38 ¥13.84 ¥17.30 55
EV/EBIT ¥19.18 ¥25.25 ¥31.33 53
EV/EBITDA ¥16.41 ¥21.56 ¥26.71 54
EV/Revenue ¥8.20 ¥11.30 ¥14.41 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥8.19 ¥10.97 ¥16.37 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥4.82 ¥6.04 ¥8.17 72
Rev-Margin DCF ¥6.46 ¥9.51 ¥13.26 67
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥12.35 ¥12.40 ¥11.62 76
ROIC Compounder ¥10.65 ¥12.18 ¥13.50 67
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥9.47 ¥13.53 ¥17.59 68

Widest divergence: Multiples (¥13.84) versus Growth DCF (¥6.04). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 1.2B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +16.6%
Net margin 9.5%
Return on equity 5.2%
Free cash flow 51.1M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 30.0
More key figures
Operating margin 19.4%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.8600
Dividend yield 1.6%
EPS growth (YoY) +14.7%

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 52/100

Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 37

Profitability 37
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 33
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 33
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 83
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 86
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 52
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 30
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 33
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 42
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Beijing Jiaman Dress Co.,Ltd. engages in the research and development, design, production and sells children's, men's, and women's clothing in China.

Full company description

Beijing Jiaman Dress Co.,Ltd. engages in the research and development, design, production and sells children's, men's, and women's clothing in China. The company provides dresses, suits, down jackets, windbreakers, jackets, t-shirts, shirts, vests, autumn clothes, sweaters, pants, skirts, underwear, underwear, and socks under the Hush Puppies, Water Child, Haggis, EMPORIO, ARMANI, HUGO, BOSS, KENZO, KIDS, Chlo, etc. brand names. It also provides supply chain management and brand operation and promotion services, as well as home textile products. The company sells its products through direct and franchise stores, online, and e-commerce platforms. Beijing Jiaman Dress Co.,Ltd. was founded in 1992 and is based in Beijing, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Beijing Jiaman Dress Co reported revenue of ¥1.1B in FY2025 versus ¥1.2B in FY2021, a compound −2.0%/yr. Reported net income was ¥106M in FY2025, compounding −14.2%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
1.1B CNY
Latest YoY
+1.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−0.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+1.4%
Avg. growth/yr (6Y)
+3.8%
Revenue −2.0%/yr
FY21 ¥1.2B
FY22 ¥1.1B
FY23 ¥1.2B
FY24 ¥1.1B
FY25 ¥1.1B
Net income −14.2%/yr
FY21 ¥195M
FY22 ¥166M
FY23 ¥180M
FY24 ¥171M
FY25 ¥106M

301276 screens 44% overvalued. Compare with H & M Hennes & Mauritz AB →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Beijing Jiaman Dress Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/301276

Peer Group

Apparel Manufacturing · 212 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 52 · Below median
Fair Value upside −44% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 5% · Above median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 10% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 19% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 17% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.6% · Below median

Valuation Multiples vs Apparel Manufacturing median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 30.0× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.58× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 2.87× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 9.7× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 21.8× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 33
FUTURE 83 · sector 4
PAST 21 · sector 21
HEALTH 0 · sector 98
DIVIDEND 32 · sector 49

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Apparel Manufacturing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 9, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
H & M Hennes & Mauritz AB HMB kr 163.45 kr 165.47 +1%
Ralph Lauren Corporation RL $374.08 $224.21 -40%
Moncler S.p.A MONC €52.08 €50.69 -3%
LPP SA LPP 19,380 PLN 17,754 PLN -8%
Bosideng International Holdings 3998 HK$4.88 HK$5.92 +21%
Youngor Fashion Co 600177 ¥7.57 ¥5.59 -26%
Page Industries Limited PAGEIND ₹39,900 ₹12,395 -69%
Hla Group 600398 ¥6.05 ¥9.92 +64%
Eclat Textile Co 1476 333.50 TWD 357.81 TWD +7%
Youngone Corporation 111770 87,600 KRW 196,629 KRW +124%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Beijing Jiaman Dress Co (301276) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥11.50 versus a price of ¥20.48, about −44% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 301276?
Our model-based fair value for Beijing Jiaman Dress Co is ¥11.50 (as of Jul 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥20.48.
What is the quality score of 301276?
Beijing Jiaman Dress Co has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Beijing Jiaman Dress Co (301276)?
Beijing Jiaman Dress Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.2B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 9, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 301276?
The net profit margin of Beijing Jiaman Dress Co is about 9.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 9.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Beijing Jiaman Dress Co pay a dividend?
Beijing Jiaman Dress Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.60% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 9, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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