Qingyan Environmental Technology Co (301288) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 2.1B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 9, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated 32 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 9, 2026, revised from ¥32.98 to ¥3.42 (−89.6%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +7.6% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 81% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥4.27). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (48/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (¥2.26 to ¥4.27) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (4 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.
How to read this chart
52‑month range ¥9.92 – ¥37.70 · fair‑value band ¥2.26 – ¥4.27 · the ¥17.71 price screens above the ¥3.42 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.
Analysis
Qingyan Environmental Technology Co (301288) currently trades at ¥17.71, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥3.42, implying the stock looks roughly 80.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, Qingyan Environmental Technology Co generated revenue of 190M CNY at a net margin of -16.7%. Revenue grew 124.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -5.0%. Net debt stands at 4.1M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥2.26 (bear case) to ¥4.27 (bull case); at ¥17.71, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 18% below its 52-week high and 49% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -40% fair-value upside, at -81%, 301288 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 1 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 56
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Qingyan Environmental Technology Co., Ltd. researches and develops environmental protection equipment in China. It offers rapid purification of sewage using sedimentation integrated rectangular airlift loop reactors (RPIR); three-dimensional biological immobilized curtain series rapid biochemical sewage treatment technology; a set of process technology and …
Full company description
Qingyan Environmental Technology Co., Ltd. researches and develops environmental protection equipment in China. It offers rapid purification of sewage using sedimentation integrated rectangular airlift loop reactors (RPIR); three-dimensional biological immobilized curtain series rapid biochemical sewage treatment technology; a set of process technology and equipment for high-concentration organic wastewater; and ammonia nitrogen degradation microbial agents. The company was founded in 2014 and is based in Shenzhen, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Qingyan Environmental Technology Co reported revenue of ¥178M in FY2025 versus ¥214M in FY2021, a compound −4.5%/yr. Reported net income was −¥22.3M in FY2025.
301288 screens 81% overvalued. Compare with Waste Management, Inc →
Peer Group
Waste Management · 166 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Waste Management median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Waste Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 9, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Waste Management, Inc WM | $233.33 | $128.02 | -45% |
| Republic Services, Inc RSG | $219.20 | $122.01 | -44% |
| Waste Connections, Inc WCN | C$242.43 | C$78.67 | -68% |
| Veolia Environnement SA VIE | €37.51 | €24.50 | -35% |
| Clean Harbors, Inc CLH | $303.64 | $155.37 | -49% |
| GFL Environmental Inc GFL | C$55.40 | C$94.12 | +70% |
| Fomento de Construcciones y Contratas, S.A FCC | €12.20 | €7.30 | -40% |
| GEM Co 002340 | ¥6.32 | ¥5.27 | -17% |
| Zhejiang Weiming Environment Protection Co 603568 | ¥16.18 | ¥20.91 | +29% |
| Cleanaway Waste Management Limited CWY | A$2.34 | A$1.18 | -50% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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