Xinlei Compressor Co (301317) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 10.1B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 9, 2026
From 9 valuation models · updated 32 days ago
Share price −19.2% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 56% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥38.01). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (31/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The model range is unusually wide (¥12.16 to ¥38.01). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
Price vs Fair Value (4 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.
How to read this chart
43‑month range ¥10.34 – ¥81.82 · fair‑value band ¥12.16 – ¥38.01 · the ¥45.82 price screens above the ¥19.94 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.
Analysis
Xinlei Compressor Co (301317) currently trades at ¥45.82, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥19.94, implying the stock looks roughly 56.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 31/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Xinlei Compressor Co generated revenue of 957M CNY at a net margin of -13.8%. Revenue grew 53.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -9.6%. Net debt stands at 123M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥12.16 (bear case) to ¥38.01 (bull case); at ¥45.82, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 48% below its 52-week high and 59% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -56%, 301317 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 9 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥28.42) versus Asset-Based (¥5.29). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 38 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 47
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Xinlei Compressor Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, manufacture, and sale of air compressors and blowers in China. The company offers centrifugal blowers, screw air compressors, vehicle-mounted air compressors, small piston air compressors, magnetic suspension air compressors, and air conditioning heat pumps.
Full company description
Xinlei Compressor Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, manufacture, and sale of air compressors and blowers in China. The company offers centrifugal blowers, screw air compressors, vehicle-mounted air compressors, small piston air compressors, magnetic suspension air compressors, and air conditioning heat pumps. Its products have applications in the machinery manufacturing, petrochemical, chemical, mining and metallurgy, textiles and clothing, medical treatment, food, cement, sewage treatment, electric power, aquaculture, electroplating, and other industries, as well as household and commercial places field. The company was founded in 2006 and is headquartered in Taizhou, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Xinlei Compressor Co reported revenue of ¥888M in FY2025 versus ¥821M in FY2021, a compound +2.0%/yr. Reported net income was ¥281M in FY2025, compounding +46.9%/yr from FY2021.
301317 screens 56% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →
Peer Group
Specialty Industrial Machinery · 809 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 9, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| GE Vernova Inc 1GEV | €887.60 | €186.93 | -79% |
| 1SIE 1SIE | €273.20 | €91.93 | -66% |
| SMNS SMNS | C$31.76 | C$22.68 | -29% |
| Eaton Corporation ETN | $407.28 | $171.92 | -58% |
| Atlas Copco AB ATCOA | kr 195.15 | kr 112.59 | -42% |
| Sandvik AB SAND | kr 384.10 | kr 193.01 | -50% |
| Doosan Enerbility Co 034020 | 76,400 KRW | 7,938 KRW | -90% |
| Vestas Wind Systems A/S VWS | kr 178.10 | kr 124.54 | -30% |
| Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co 002050 | ¥43.20 | ¥22.68 | -48% |
| NARI Technology Co 600406 | ¥22.19 | ¥18.71 | -16% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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