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Xinlei Compressor Co. Ltd. A (301317) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 22, 2026: fair value of Xinlei Compressor Co. Ltd. A ¥13.91, price ¥50.63, upside -72.5%, quality 31 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Industrials · CN · ISIN CNE100006566

XC Thin data Sep 23, 2026

Xinlei Compressor Co. Ltd. A

301317 · SHE

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value ¥13.91 · Strongly overvalued (−73%)
!Quality 31/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 3y +7.6 %/yr)
!Loss over the last twelve months · -13.8% net margin (TTM) · fiscal year 2025 31.7%
!negative free cash flow
·1.19% dividend yield
!Trails peers (3/10)
!Narrow moat 16/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!The models disagree: range ¥10.42 to ¥35.86
!Weak on dividend: 24 out of 100

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥81.38 ¥10.28 Fair Value ¥13.91 Jan 2023 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

44‑month range ¥10.28 – ¥81.38 · fair‑value band ¥10.42 – ¥35.86 · the ¥50.63 price screens above the ¥13.91 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Xinlei Compressor Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, manufacture, and sale of air compressors and blowers in China. The company offers centrifugal blowers, screw air compressors, vehicle-mounted air compressors, small piston air compressors, magnetic suspension air compressors, and air conditioning heat pumps.

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Xinlei Compressor Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, manufacture, and sale of air compressors and blowers in China. The company offers centrifugal blowers, screw air compressors, vehicle-mounted air compressors, small piston air compressors, magnetic suspension air compressors, and air conditioning heat pumps. Its products have applications in the machinery manufacturing, petrochemical, chemical, mining and metallurgy, textiles and clothing, medical treatment, food, cement, sewage treatment, electric power, aquaculture, electroplating, and other industries, as well as household and commercial places field. The company was founded in 2006 and is headquartered in Taizhou, China.

Stock analysis

Xinlei Compressor Co. Ltd. A (301317) currently trades at ¥50.63, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥13.91, implying the stock looks roughly 264.0% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ¥28.42 per share, and 0 of the 9 models we run sit above the ¥50.63 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥5.29, and 9 of the 9 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: ¥10.42 (bear) to ¥35.86 (bull), the price of ¥50.63 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 31/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Xinlei Compressor Co. Ltd. A reported revenue of 888M CNY in FY2025 versus 821M CNY in FY2021, a compound +2.0%/yr. Reported net income was 281M CNY in FY2025, compounding +46.9%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 10.1B CNY (≈ $1.5B) · P/S ratio 10.5 · EPS (TTM) ¥−0.7900 · Dividend yield 1.2% · Net margin 31.7% · Return on equity −9.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.6% · Operating margin −8.2%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high and 76% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −49% fair-value upside, at −73%, 301317 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ¥10.42 Fair Value ¥13.91 Bull ¥35.86
Model Each model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence Evidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Owner Earnings ¥6.35 ¥8.31 ¥12.28 71
Growth-Adj P/E ¥19.89 ¥28.42 ¥36.95 65
Graham-Dodd ¥12.16 ¥19.94 ¥24.14 64
All 9 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings ¥6.35 ¥8.31 ¥12.28 71
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥12.16 ¥19.94 ¥24.14 64
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥28.17 ¥37.56 ¥46.95 63
P/S Multiple ¥8.48 ¥11.30 ¥14.13 58
P/B Multiple ¥22.81 ¥30.41 ¥38.01 55
EV/EBITDA ¥4.43 ¥5.68 ¥6.93 64
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥3.95 ¥5.29 ¥7.90 51
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥11.72 ¥15.65 ¥72.88 61
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥19.89 ¥28.42 ¥36.95 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 31/100

Of which business quality 38 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 43

Profitability 58
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 41
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 71
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 0
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 21
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 46
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 64
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 40
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality Growth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 31/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−4.2%
Revenue growth 3 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.6%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) What the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
+6.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+5.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.2%
Profit margin 2021 to 2025 Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.9% → 0%
2025 sits 354% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.

301317 screens 264% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →

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Peer GroupHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Industrial Machinery · 832 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 31 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −73% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −14% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −8% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 54% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.2% · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.21× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 1.58× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 22
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)24 · sector 24

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
GE Vernova Inc GEV $950.28 $194.25 −80%
SIE SIE €273.85 €150.21 −45%
Eaton Corporation ETN $442.49 $172.75 −61%
Parker-Hannifin Corporation PH $964.85 $418.76 −57%
Cummins Inc CMI $526.13 $359.38 −32%
Illinois Tool Works Inc ITW $270.47 $151.39 −44%
Emerson Electric Co EMR $154.19 $62.15 −60%
AMETEK, Inc AME $245.41 $125.80 −49%
Rockwell Automation, Inc ROK $427.19 $138.24 −68%
Sandvik AB SAND kr 385.10 kr 199.07 −48%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Xinlei Compressor Co. Ltd. A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/301317

Frequently asked questions

Is Xinlei Compressor Co. Ltd. A (301317) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥13.91 versus a price of ¥50.63, about −73% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 301317?
Our model-based fair value for Xinlei Compressor Co. Ltd. A is ¥13.91 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥50.63.
What is the quality score of 301317?
Xinlei Compressor Co. Ltd. A has a Quality Score of 31/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Xinlei Compressor Co. Ltd. A (301317)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥13.91 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 9 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥10.42, optimistic scenario ¥35.86. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Xinlei Compressor Co. Ltd. A stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥13.91, about −73% upside versus a price of ¥50.63 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥10.42, optimistic scenario ¥35.86. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Xinlei Compressor Co. Ltd. A (301317)?
Xinlei Compressor Co. Ltd. A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 957M CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Xinlei Compressor Co. Ltd. A pay a dividend?
Xinlei Compressor Co. Ltd. A currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.19% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Xinlei Compressor Co. Ltd. A (301317)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Xinlei Compressor Co. Ltd. A it is ¥13.91 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of ¥50.63. It is the blended result of 9 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Xinlei Compressor Co. Ltd. A stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, 301317 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥50.63, fair value ¥13.91, a gap of about −73% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 301317?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥50.63); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥13.91). For Xinlei Compressor Co. Ltd. A the two are ¥36.72 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Xinlei Compressor Co. Ltd. A worth?
The market values Xinlei Compressor Co. Ltd. A at about 10.1B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is ¥50.63; our models calculate a fair value of ¥13.91 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 301317?
Our models span a range for Xinlei Compressor Co. Ltd. A: cautious scenario ¥10.42, base ¥13.91, optimistic ¥35.86 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price ¥50.63). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Xinlei Compressor Co. Ltd. A (301317)?
Balance-sheet figures for Xinlei Compressor Co. Ltd. A (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −9.6%. They feed the Quality Score of 31/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 301317 from its 52-week high?
Xinlei Compressor Co. Ltd. A trades at ¥50.63, about 38% below its 52-week high of ¥81.38 and 76% above the low of ¥28.73 (as of Sep 22, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥13.91 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Xinlei Compressor Co. Ltd. A?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value GE Vernova Inc, SIE, Eaton Corporation, Parker-Hannifin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Xinlei Compressor Co. Ltd. A stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price ¥50.63, calculated fair value ¥13.91 (−73%), Quality Score 31/100, from 9 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 301317 calculated?
We run Xinlei Compressor Co. Ltd. A through 9 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥13.91, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Xinlei Compressor Co. Ltd. A itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Xinlei Compressor Co. Ltd. A (301317)?
The closing price on Sep 22, 2026 was ¥50.63. Our model-based fair value is ¥13.91, about −73% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Xinlei Compressor Co. Ltd. A right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥35.86). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (31/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The model range is unusually wide (¥10.42 to ¥35.86). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Xinlei Compressor Co. Ltd. A

How large is the market capitalisation of Xinlei Compressor Co. Ltd. A (301317)?
The market capitalisation of Xinlei Compressor Co. Ltd. A is 10.1B CNY (≈ $1.5B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Xinlei Compressor Co. Ltd. A (301317)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Xinlei Compressor Co. Ltd. A is 10.5 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Xinlei Compressor Co. Ltd. A (301317)?
Earnings per share at Xinlei Compressor Co. Ltd. A are ¥−0.7900. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Xinlei Compressor Co. Ltd. A (301317)?
The dividend yield of Xinlei Compressor Co. Ltd. A is 1.2%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Xinlei Compressor Co. Ltd. A (301317)?
The net margin of Xinlei Compressor Co. Ltd. A is 31.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Xinlei Compressor Co. Ltd. A (301317)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Xinlei Compressor Co. Ltd. A is −9.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Xinlei Compressor Co. Ltd. A (301317)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Xinlei Compressor Co. Ltd. A is 5.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Xinlei Compressor Co. Ltd. A (301317)?
The operating margin of Xinlei Compressor Co. Ltd. A is −8.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Xinlei Compressor Co. Ltd. A (301317)?
Revenue at Xinlei Compressor Co. Ltd. A is growing +53.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +7.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Xinlei Compressor Co. Ltd. A (301317)?
Earnings per share at Xinlei Compressor Co. Ltd. A are growing +30.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Xinlei Compressor Co. Ltd. A (301317) generate?
The free cash flow of Xinlei Compressor Co. Ltd. A is −360M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Xinlei Compressor Co. Ltd. A (301317) carry?
The net debt of Xinlei Compressor Co. Ltd. A is 123M CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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