J.Pond Precision Technology Co (301326) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 10.9B CNY
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 6 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from ¥11.31 to ¥22.55 (+99.4%) since Jul 9, 2026. Share price −15.3% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 77% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥29.57). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (44/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range (¥15.51 to ¥29.57) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (4 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
47‑month range ¥16.90 – ¥193.54 · fair‑value band ¥15.51 – ¥29.57 · the ¥99.77 price screens above the ¥22.55 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
J.Pond Precision Technology Co (301326) currently trades at ¥99.77, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥22.55, implying the stock looks roughly 77.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, J.Pond Precision Technology Co generated revenue of 1.4B CNY at a net margin of -3.5%. Revenue grew 86.3% year over year. Net debt stands at 203M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥15.51 (bear case) to ¥29.57 (bull case); at ¥99.77, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 50% below its 52-week high and 51% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -59% fair-value upside, at -77%, 301326 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 6 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (¥15.59) versus Earnings-Based (¥8.78). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (72).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 41
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
J.Pond Precision Technology Co., Ltd. engaged in the research and development, production and sales of precision functional and structural parts.
Full company description
J.Pond Precision Technology Co., Ltd. engaged in the research and development, production and sales of precision functional and structural parts. The company offers flexible multi-function keyboard-fixing heat dissipation adhesive pad, a flexible multifunctional cushioning shield, multi-layer structural heat sinks, flare 3d appearance dust mesh, motherboard shield brackets, dedicated keyboard package adhesives, motherboard pin masking insulation gasket, the back cover of the computer host shields the shock absorber used in consumer electronics fields such as tablet computers, laptops, all-in-one equipment, smart homes, 3D printers, etc., and are an indispensable and important part of the production and manufacturing of electronic products and electronic products. The company was founded in 2007 and is based in Dongguan, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
J.Pond Precision Technology Co reported revenue of ¥1.3B in FY2025 versus ¥1.0B in FY2021, a compound +6.8%/yr. Reported net income was −¥46.7M in FY2025.
301326 screens 77% overvalued. Compare with Carpenter Technology Corporation →
Peer Group
Metal Fabrication · 251 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Metal Fabrication median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Metal Fabrication stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carpenter Technology Corporation CRS | $528.64 | $101.35 | -81% |
| ATI Inc ATI | $230.43 | $35.74 | -84% |
| Mueller Industries, Inc MLI | $68.28 | $59.33 | -13% |
| China International Marine Containers (Group) Co 000039 | ¥8.87 | ¥3.39 | -62% |
| JL Mag Rare-Earth Co 300748 | ¥27.08 | ¥8.34 | -69% |
| Ningbo Zhenyu Technology Co 300953 | ¥104.36 | ¥44.23 | -58% |
| Western Superconducting Technologies Co 688122 | ¥52.92 | ¥24.43 | -54% |
| Anhui Yingliu Electromechanical Co 603308 | ¥48.40 | ¥8.07 | -83% |
| Xiamen Voke Mold & Plastic Engineering Co 301196 | ¥86.20 | ¥42.71 | -50% |
| SINOMACH HEAVY EQUIPMENT GROUP CO.,LTD researches, 601399 | ¥3.32 | ¥1.35 | -59% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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