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GPGI, Inc (GPGI) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $3.4B

Price$14.50
Fair Value$3.77
Upside-74.0%
Quality95/100
Evidence: Low Range $2.83 – $4.72

Analysis

GPGI, Inc (GPGI) currently trades at $14.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $3.77 — implying the stock looks roughly 74.0% overvalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

About the company

GPGI, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides sustainable injection molding solutions worldwide. The company's CompoSecure business provides metal payment cards, security, and authentication solutions. It offers engineered injection molding equipment and aftermarket tooling and services focuses on developing highly technical precision technologies instrumental in the delivery of food, beverages, medical devices, and other applications including general packaging and closures, thinwall packaging, and consumer products. The company was formerly known as CompoSecure, Inc. and changed its name to GPGI, Inc. in January 2026. GPGI, Inc. was founded in 2000 and is based in Somerset, New Jersey.

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How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.