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Colorlight Cloud Tech Ltd. A (301391) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Colorlight Cloud Tech Ltd. A is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Technology · CN · ISIN CNE100005WR2

CC Some data Sep 13, 2026

Colorlight Cloud Tech Ltd. A

301391 · SHE

Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.

!Fair value ¥12.15 · Strongly overvalued (−71%)
Quality 65/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +7.9 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 4.0% net margin (TTM)
Low debt · generates free cash flow
!Trails peers (3/13)
!Narrow moat 27/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 4 out of 100
!Weak on dividend: 4 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥100.26 ¥27.95 Fair Value ¥12.15 Dec 2022 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

45‑month range ¥27.95 – ¥100.26 · fair‑value band ¥10.69 – ¥12.15 · the ¥41.81 price screens above the ¥12.15 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

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Company profile

Colorlight Cloud Tech Ltd engages in the research and development, manufacture, and sale of LED display control systems, video processing equipment, play servers, and cloud network players worldwide.

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Colorlight Cloud Tech Ltd engages in the research and development, manufacture, and sale of LED display control systems, video processing equipment, play servers, and cloud network players worldwide. It offers Z-series super controllers, X-series controllers, S-series senders, receiving cards, distributed feedback laser diodes, multifunction cards, brightness sensors, and temperature and humidity sensors. The company also provides software products, such as LEDVISION to control and play LED screens; iSet that can adjust the display parameters, including brightness adjustment and chrome adjustment on the whole screen or partial screen; Calibration Pro for LED display systematic calibration in conjunction with Colorlight control systems; PlayerMaster, which offers program production, as well as allows automatic control of cloud-based and LAN-based schedules; LED Assistant_Android and LED Assistant_iOS that controls LED displays; Colorlightcloud that realizes screen management and control through various operating systems, and provides access to the secure and reliable cloud data center used in commercial digital billboards and smart city applications; and LEDUpgrade for upgrading hardware programs, such as sender, receiver card, play box, intelligent module, function card, and fiber transceiver. The company was founded in 2012 and is based in Shenzhen, China.

Stock analysis

Colorlight Cloud Tech Ltd. A (301391) currently trades at ¥41.81, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥12.15, implying the stock looks roughly 244.1% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of ¥19.87 per share, and 0 of the 19 models we run sit above the ¥41.81 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at ¥1.71, and 19 of the 19 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: ¥10.69 (bear) to ¥12.15 (bull), the price of ¥41.81 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Colorlight Cloud Tech Ltd. A reported revenue of 577M CNY in FY2025 versus 582M CNY in FY2021, a compound −0.2%/yr. Reported net income was 19.5M CNY in FY2025, compounding −34.7%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 6.3B CNY (≈ $940M) · P/E ratio 160.8 · P/S ratio 5.45 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.2600 · Dividend yield 0.2% · Net margin 3.4% · Return on equity 1.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.9%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 43 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 59% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −59% fair-value upside, at −71%, 301391 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ¥10.69 Fair Value ¥12.15 Bull ¥12.15
Model Each model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 8 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.1831 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence Evidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF ¥14.67 ¥19.58 ¥28.38 78
Growth DCF ¥15.24 ¥19.96 ¥27.80 77
Owner Earnings ¥5.10 ¥6.50 ¥9.02 75
All 19 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥14.67 ¥19.58 ¥28.38 78
Owner Earnings ¥5.10 ¥6.50 ¥9.02 75
5Y Revenue Exit ¥13.87 ¥19.55 ¥27.79 71
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥7.08 ¥7.80 ¥8.75 74
5Y P/E Exit ¥8.83 ¥10.82 ¥13.24 70
10Y Revenue Exit ¥13.76 ¥17.95 ¥22.42 66
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥10.07 ¥10.85 ¥11.50 68
10Y P/E Exit ¥11.10 ¥12.67 ¥14.07 63
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥1.40 ¥1.71 ¥1.92 65
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥4.32 ¥5.76 ¥7.20 63
P/S Multiple ¥2.62 ¥3.50 ¥4.37 58
P/B Multiple ¥2.62 ¥3.50 ¥4.37 55
EV/EBITDA ¥2.18 ¥2.49 ¥2.80 67
EV/Revenue ¥14.44 ¥20.09 ¥25.74 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥10.97 ¥14.70 ¥21.94 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥15.24 ¥19.96 ¥27.80 77
Rev-Margin DCF ¥13.87 ¥19.87 ¥27.24 71
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥14.72 ¥13.54 ¥9.62 74
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥3.02 ¥4.32 ¥5.61 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 65/100

Of which business quality 67 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 16

Profitability 18
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 34
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 95
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 81
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 99
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 33
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 10
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 6
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality Growth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−10.2%
Revenue growth 3 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−5.3%
Revenue growth 5 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.9%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) What the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−29.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−29.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.2%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.40% → −3%

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes This turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+21.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.

301391 screens 244% overvalued. Compare with Cisco Systems, Inc →

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Peer GroupHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Communication Equipment · 301 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 64 · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 1% · Below median
Return on assets 0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 4% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 23% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.2% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.04× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Communication Equipment median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 160.8× · Priciest 25%
P/B 3.02× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 10.48× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF 6.8× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 34
PAST (return on equity)4 · sector 15
HEALTH (low debt)98 · sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)4 · sector 24

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Communication Equipment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Cisco Systems, Inc CSCO $112.13 $123.06 +10%
Zhongji Innolight Co 300308 ¥926.00 ¥378.08 −59%
Foxconn Industrial Internet Co 601138 ¥64.07 ¥15.33 −76%
Eoptolink Technology Inc 300502 ¥423.00 ¥353.98 −16%
Nokia Oyj NOK $11.13 $3.79 −66%
Motorola Solutions, Inc MSI $466.16 $236.33 −49%
Ciena Corporation CIEN $349.54 $48.80 −86%
Yangtze Optical Fibre And Cable Joint Stock Limited 601869 ¥473.99 ¥59.92 −87%
Suzhou TFC Optical Communication Co 300394 ¥261.96 ¥87.34 −67%
Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson (publ), ERIC $10.31 $19.47 +89%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Colorlight Cloud Tech Ltd. A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/301391

Frequently asked questions

Is Colorlight Cloud Tech Ltd. A (301391) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥12.15 versus a price of ¥41.81, about −71% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 301391?
Our model-based fair value for Colorlight Cloud Tech Ltd. A is ¥12.15 (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥41.81.
What is the quality score of 301391?
Colorlight Cloud Tech Ltd. A has a Quality Score of 65/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Colorlight Cloud Tech Ltd. A (301391)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥12.15 (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 19 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥10.69, optimistic scenario ¥12.15. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Colorlight Cloud Tech Ltd. A stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥12.15, about −71% upside versus a price of ¥41.81 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥10.69, optimistic scenario ¥12.15. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Colorlight Cloud Tech Ltd. A (301391)?
Colorlight Cloud Tech Ltd. A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 601M CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
Does Colorlight Cloud Tech Ltd. A pay a dividend?
Colorlight Cloud Tech Ltd. A currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.21% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 13, 2026).
What growth is priced into Colorlight Cloud Tech Ltd. A (301391)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Colorlight Cloud Tech Ltd. A would have to grow free cash flow by +21.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.9 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +7.9 % per year. As of Sep 13, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 301391 use?
Our models discount Colorlight Cloud Tech Ltd. A at 11.9 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.99, country premium for China. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Colorlight Cloud Tech Ltd. A that is +21.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.9 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Colorlight Cloud Tech Ltd. A (301391) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Colorlight Cloud Tech Ltd. A grew +7.9 % a year. The price currently implies +21.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Colorlight Cloud Tech Ltd. A (301391) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.1 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Colorlight Cloud Tech Ltd. A (+21.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Colorlight Cloud Tech Ltd. A (301391)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.47 %: that much free cash flow Colorlight Cloud Tech Ltd. A produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.9 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Colorlight Cloud Tech Ltd. A (301391)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Colorlight Cloud Tech Ltd. A it is ¥12.15 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of ¥41.81. It is the blended result of 19 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Colorlight Cloud Tech Ltd. A stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, 301391 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥41.81, fair value ¥12.15, a gap of about −71% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 301391?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥41.81); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥12.15). For Colorlight Cloud Tech Ltd. A the two are ¥29.66 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Colorlight Cloud Tech Ltd. A worth?
The market values Colorlight Cloud Tech Ltd. A at about 6.3B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is ¥41.81; our models calculate a fair value of ¥12.15 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 301391?
Our models span a range for Colorlight Cloud Tech Ltd. A: cautious scenario ¥10.69, base ¥12.15, optimistic ¥12.15 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price ¥41.81). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 301391?
Colorlight Cloud Tech Ltd. A trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 160.8 (as of Sep 13, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥12.15 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 3.0, P/S 10.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of Colorlight Cloud Tech Ltd. A (301391)?
Balance-sheet figures for Colorlight Cloud Tech Ltd. A (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity 1.1%, debt of 0.04 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 65/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 301391 from its 52-week high?
Colorlight Cloud Tech Ltd. A trades at ¥41.81, about 59% below its 52-week high of ¥101.73 and 10% above the low of ¥38.00 (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥12.15 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Colorlight Cloud Tech Ltd. A?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Cisco Systems, Inc, Zhongji Innolight Co, Foxconn Industrial Internet Co, Eoptolink Technology Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Colorlight Cloud Tech Ltd. A stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price ¥41.81, calculated fair value ¥12.15 (−71%), Quality Score 65/100, from 19 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 301391 calculated?
We run Colorlight Cloud Tech Ltd. A through 19 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥12.15, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.8 % above its aggregate fair value. Colorlight Cloud Tech Ltd. A itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What should I pay attention to with Colorlight Cloud Tech Ltd. A right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥12.15). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (65/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. The models converge in a tight band (¥10.69 to ¥12.15), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.

Key figures of Colorlight Cloud Tech Ltd. A

How large is the market capitalisation of Colorlight Cloud Tech Ltd. A (301391)?
The market capitalisation of Colorlight Cloud Tech Ltd. A is 6.3B CNY (≈ $940M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Colorlight Cloud Tech Ltd. A (301391)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Colorlight Cloud Tech Ltd. A is 5.45 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Colorlight Cloud Tech Ltd. A (301391)?
Earnings per share at Colorlight Cloud Tech Ltd. A are ¥0.2600 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 160.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Colorlight Cloud Tech Ltd. A (301391)?
The dividend yield of Colorlight Cloud Tech Ltd. A is 0.2% (payout 33.4%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Colorlight Cloud Tech Ltd. A (301391)?
The net margin of Colorlight Cloud Tech Ltd. A is 3.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Colorlight Cloud Tech Ltd. A (301391)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Colorlight Cloud Tech Ltd. A is 1.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Colorlight Cloud Tech Ltd. A (301391)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Colorlight Cloud Tech Ltd. A is 5.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Colorlight Cloud Tech Ltd. A (301391)?
The operating margin of Colorlight Cloud Tech Ltd. A is 2.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Colorlight Cloud Tech Ltd. A (301391)?
Revenue at Colorlight Cloud Tech Ltd. A is growing +23.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg −5.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Colorlight Cloud Tech Ltd. A (301391)?
Earnings per share at Colorlight Cloud Tech Ltd. A are growing +167% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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