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Anhui Sentai WPC Group (301429) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · CN · Market cap 2.1B CNY

AS Anhui Sentai WPC Group 301429 · SHE
Price¥16.91
Fair Value¥8.55
Upside-49.4%
Quality43/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 5.2% net margin
negative free cash flow
1.71% dividend yield
Trails peers (3/12)
Narrow moat 30/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥7.14 – ¥9.69 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 9, 2026

From 14 valuation models · updated 32 days ago

Share price +5.7% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 49% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥9.69). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (43/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
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Price vs Fair Value (3 years)

¥31.07 ¥10.68 Fair Value ¥8.55 Apr 2023 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

How to read this chart

40‑month range ¥10.68 – ¥31.07 · fair‑value band ¥7.14 – ¥9.69 · the ¥16.91 price screens above the ¥8.55 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

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Analysis

Anhui Sentai WPC Group (301429) currently trades at ¥16.91, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥8.55, implying the stock looks roughly 49.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Anhui Sentai WPC Group generated revenue of 988M CNY at a net margin of 5.2%. Revenue grew 0.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.4%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 42.8. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥7.14 (bear case) to ¥9.69 (bull case); at ¥16.91, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 28% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 16% fair-value upside, at -49%, 301429 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥8.47 ¥8.29 ¥7.18 76
Growth-Adj P/E ¥5.22 ¥7.45 ¥9.69 68
ROIC Compounder ¥5.49 ¥5.88 ¥6.22 67
All 14 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥2.94 ¥11.55 ¥15.68 54
Lynch FV ¥2.85 ¥4.07 ¥5.29 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥2.85 ¥4.07 ¥5.29 46
EPV ¥5.49 ¥5.88 ¥6.22 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥7.14 ¥9.53 ¥11.91 63
P/S Multiple ¥5.52 ¥7.36 ¥9.20 58
P/B Multiple ¥5.52 ¥7.36 ¥9.20 55
EV/EBIT ¥7.69 ¥9.25 ¥10.82 53
EV/EBITDA ¥10.27 ¥12.70 ¥15.13 54
EV/Revenue ¥6.15 ¥7.51 ¥8.87 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥5.82 ¥7.80 ¥11.65 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥8.47 ¥8.29 ¥7.18 76
ROIC Compounder ¥5.49 ¥5.88 ¥6.22 67
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥5.22 ¥7.45 ¥9.69 68

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (¥7.80) versus Earnings-Based (¥4.07). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 988M CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +0.8%
Net margin 5.2%
Return on equity 1.4%
Free cash flow −11.3M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 42.8
More key figures
Operating margin 6.8%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.4200
Dividend yield 1.7%
EPS growth (YoY) -13.6%

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 43/100

Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 35

Profitability 31
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 57
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 41
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 93
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 12
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 71
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 24
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 12
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 40
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Anhui Sentai WPC Group Share Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, researches, develops, manufactures, and markets wood-plastic composite materials in China, Europe, the United States, and internationally. Its products are used in outdoor facilities, architectural decoration, indoor homes, municipal gardens, tourism facilities and other fields.

Full company description

Anhui Sentai WPC Group Share Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, researches, develops, manufactures, and markets wood-plastic composite materials in China, Europe, the United States, and internationally. Its products are used in outdoor facilities, architectural decoration, indoor homes, municipal gardens, tourism facilities and other fields. The company was incorporated in 2006 and is based in Xuancheng, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Anhui Sentai WPC Group reported revenue of ¥969M in FY2025 versus ¥915M in FY2021, a compound +1.5%/yr. Reported net income was ¥51.2M in FY2025, compounding −15.5%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 46/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
969M CNY
Latest YoY
+8.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.9%
Revenue +1.5%/yr
FY21 ¥915M
FY22 ¥821M
FY23 ¥616M
FY24 ¥894M
FY25 ¥969M
Net income −15.5%/yr
FY21 ¥100M
FY22 ¥84.5M
FY23 ¥47.6M
FY24 ¥63.3M
FY25 ¥51.2M

301429 screens 49% overvalued. Compare with Midea Group →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Anhui Sentai WPC Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/301429

Peer Group

Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances · 311 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 43 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −49% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 1% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 5% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 7% · Above median
Revenue growth 1% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.7% · Below median

Valuation Multiples vs Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 42.8× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 1.54× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 2.15× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 24.7× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 22
FUTURE 4 · sector 0
PAST 6 · sector 19
HEALTH 0 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 34 · sector 55

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 9, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Midea Group 000333 ¥82.71 ¥107.22 +30%
Gree Electric Appliances, Inc 000651 ¥38.25 ¥88.02 +130%
Haier Smart Home Co 600690 ¥21.46 ¥36.04 +68%
King Slide Works Co 2059 8,655 TWD 1,917 TWD -78%
Guangdong Songfa Ceramics Co 603268 ¥155.59 ¥38.95 -75%
SharkNinja, Inc SN $154.53 $89.07 -42%
Hisense Home Appliances Group 000921 ¥26.33 ¥48.03 +82%
Zhejiang Supor Co 002032 ¥43.85 ¥44.84 +2%
COWAY Co 021240 96,700 KRW 112,530 KRW +16%
Ecovacs Robotics Co 603486 ¥50.13 ¥54.11 +8%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Anhui Sentai WPC Group (301429) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥8.55 versus a price of ¥16.91, about −49% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 301429?
Our model-based fair value for Anhui Sentai WPC Group is ¥8.55 (as of Jul 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥16.91.
What is the quality score of 301429?
Anhui Sentai WPC Group has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Anhui Sentai WPC Group (301429)?
Anhui Sentai WPC Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 988M CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 9, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 301429?
The net profit margin of Anhui Sentai WPC Group is about 5.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 5.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Anhui Sentai WPC Group pay a dividend?
Anhui Sentai WPC Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.71% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 9, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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