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Haiwan International Development Co (3252) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · TW · Market cap 861M TWD

HI Haiwan International Development Co 3252 · TWO
Price16.40 TWD
Fair Value2.77 TWD
Upside-83.1%
Quality48/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 1.4% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (4/13)
Narrow moat 32/100
Evidence: High Range 1.66 TWD – 3.58 TWD Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 23, 2026

From 13 valuation models · updated 18 days ago

Share price −7.3% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 83% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (3.58 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (48/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (1.66 TWD to 3.58 TWD) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

27.30 TWD 14.75 TWD Fair Value 2.77 TWD Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 14.75 TWD – 27.30 TWD · fair‑value band 1.66 TWD – 3.58 TWD · the 16.40 TWD price screens above the 2.77 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 23, 2026.

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Analysis

Haiwan International Development Co (3252) currently trades at 16.40 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 2.77 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 83.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Haiwan International Development Co generated revenue of 505M TWD at a net margin of 1.4%. Revenue grew 6.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.2%. Net debt stands at 1.2B TWD. Fundamentals as of Jul 23, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 1.66 TWD (bear case) to 3.58 TWD (bull case); at 16.40 TWD, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 11% fair-value upside, at -83%, 3252 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Note: the current price implies far more future growth than the conservative anchors of our models allow (base growth is deliberately capped, we do not regard such extreme rates as sustainable). Our models are not designed for expectations this high; that is why the individual models scatter extremely (0.0700 TWD to 26.22 TWD). Read the values as a conservative anchor, not as a price target.
Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income 24.50 TWD 21.55 TWD 13.73 TWD 76
Gordon GGM 0.0600 TWD 0.0700 TWD 0.0800 TWD 70
Growth-Adj P/E 1.51 TWD 2.16 TWD 2.81 TWD 68
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
5Y EBITDA Exit 2.77 TWD 14.91 TWD 41
10Y EBITDA Exit 2.20 TWD 37
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 0.8800 TWD 1.51 TWD 1.85 TWD 54
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 0.0600 TWD 0.0700 TWD 0.0800 TWD 70
DDM Multi-Stage 0.0600 TWD 0.0700 TWD 0.0900 TWD 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 2.15 TWD 2.86 TWD 3.58 TWD 63
P/S Multiple 1.66 TWD 2.21 TWD 2.76 TWD 58
P/B Multiple 1.66 TWD 2.21 TWD 2.76 TWD 55
EV/EBIT 6.90 TWD 13.83 TWD 53
EV/EBITDA 5.53 TWD 14.31 TWD 23.09 TWD 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 19.56 TWD 26.22 TWD 39.13 TWD 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income 24.50 TWD 21.55 TWD 13.73 TWD 76
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 1.51 TWD 2.16 TWD 2.81 TWD 68

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (26.22 TWD) versus Dividend Discount (0.0700 TWD). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 505M TWD
Revenue growth (YoY) +6.9%
Net margin 1.4%
Return on equity 1.2%
Free cash flow 19.3M TWD FY2025
P/E ratio 136.9
More key figures
Operating margin 21.3%
EPS (TTM) 0.1300 TWD
EPS growth (YoY) +19.7%
Net debt 1.2B TWD FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 23, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 48/100

Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 42

Profitability 12
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 54
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 55
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 31
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 67
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 96
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 26
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 7
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Haiwan International Development Co., Ltd engages in the residential building development business in Taiwan. It engages in land development and real estate trading business; parking lot rental business; and provides hotel and restaurant services and catering services, and labor services. The company was formerly known as Haewan International Development Co.

Full company description

Haiwan International Development Co., Ltd engages in the residential building development business in Taiwan. It engages in land development and real estate trading business; parking lot rental business; and provides hotel and restaurant services and catering services, and labor services. The company was formerly known as Haewan International Development Co., Ltd and changed its name to Haiwan International Development Co., Ltd. in 2014. Haiwan International Development Co., Ltd was founded in 1983 and is based in Taichung, Taiwan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Haiwan International Development Co reported revenue of 496M TWD in FY2025 versus 446M TWD in FY2021, a compound +2.7%/yr. Reported net income was 6.5M TWD in FY2025, compounding −34.6%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
496M TWD
Latest YoY
−3.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−4.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+11.9%
Avg. growth/yr (8Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.2%
Revenue +2.7%/yr
FY21 446M TWD
FY22 575M TWD
FY23 539M TWD
FY24 515M TWD
FY25 496M TWD
Net income −34.6%/yr
FY21 35.7M TWD
FY22 4.6M TWD
FY23 513K TWD
FY24 −15.4M TWD
FY25 6.5M TWD

3252 screens 83% overvalued. Compare with Las Vegas Sands Corp →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Haiwan International Development Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/3252

Peer Group

Resorts & Casinos · 76 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 48 · Below median
Fair Value upside −83% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 1% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 21% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 7% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.57× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Resorts & Casinos median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 131.9× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 0.44× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 1.71× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 1.4× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 17.1× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 18
FUTURE 35 · sector 33
PAST 5 · sector 19
HEALTH 71 · sector 84
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 52

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Gambling

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Resorts & Casinos stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 23, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Las Vegas Sands Corp LVS $44.79 $52.27 +17%
Galaxy Entertainment Group 0027 HK$34.20 HK$41.44 +21%
Sands China Ltd 1928 HK$13.08 HK$2.05 -84%
MGM Resorts International, through its subsidiaries, MGM $46.13 $13.70 -70%
Wynn Resorts, Limited WYNN $97.05 $69.39 -29%
Red Rock Resorts, Inc RRR $64.75 $17.09 -74%
Boyd Gaming Corporation BYD $87.64 $151.24 +73%
Caesars Entertainment, Inc CZR $29.91 $80.92 +171%
Genting Singapore Limited G13 0.6200 SGD 0.6900 SGD +11%
Vail Resorts, Inc MTN $150.14 $125.02 -17%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Haiwan International Development Co (3252) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 2.77 TWD versus a price of 16.40 TWD, about −83% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 3252?
Our model-based fair value for Haiwan International Development Co is 2.77 TWD (as of Jul 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 16.40 TWD.
What is the quality score of 3252?
Haiwan International Development Co has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Haiwan International Development Co (3252)?
Haiwan International Development Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 505M TWD (latest available figure, as of Jul 23, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 3252?
The net profit margin of Haiwan International Development Co is about 1.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 1.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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