Niko Semiconductor Co Ltd (3317) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 22, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Niko Semiconductor Co Ltd stock TWD 47.71, price TWD 59.40, upside -19.7%, quality 63 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Fair value above price?No
Good quality?Yes
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 32.85 TWD – 105.50 TWD · fair‑value band 43.26 TWD – 54.40 TWD · the 59.40 TWD price screens above the 47.71 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 23, 2026.
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Niko Semiconductor Co., Ltd. engages in the research, design, development, and sale of analog IC products in Taiwan, China, and internationally.
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It offers Power MOSFET, linear regulator, and switching regulator and control ICs. The company develops, manufactures, and sells metal oxide semiconductors; provides quality control and testing services; and sells self-produced products, as well as integrated circuit design services.
Its products are used in main-boards, VGA cards, LCD TVs and monitors, power adapters, laptop computers, telecom and network equipment, etc. The company was formerly known as Super Gem and changed its name to Niko Semiconductor Co., Ltd. in April 2001.
The company was incorporated in 1998 and is headquartered in New Taipei City, Taiwan.
Stock analysis
Niko Semiconductor Co Ltd (3317) currently trades at 59.40 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 47.71 TWD, 19.7% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 62.10 TWD per share, and 5 of the 24 models we run sit above the 59.40 TWD price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 15.32 TWD, and 19 of the 24 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: 43.26 TWD (bear) to 54.40 TWD (bull), the price of 59.40 TWD sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Niko Semiconductor Co Ltd reported revenue of 2.7B TWD in FY2025 versus 2.9B TWD in FY2021, a compound −1.4%/yr. Reported net income was 149M TWD in FY2025, compounding −19.4%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 5.3B TWD (≈ $164M) Micro · P/E ratio 29.7 · P/S ratio 1.90 · EPS (TTM) 2.00 TWD · Dividend yield 0.8% · Net margin 6.4% · Return on equity 5.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 10.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 40 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 44% below its 52-week high and 34% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −6% fair-value upside, at −20%, 3317 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear43.26 TWDFair Value 47.71 TWDBull54.40 TWD
Price 59.40 TWD · Upside -19.7%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (1.23 TWD per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
+9.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +2.9% a year
Revenue growth 16 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.6%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in TWD ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis. Measured in TWD: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+1.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+0.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.8%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−9.1% vs 9.5%, slowing
Profit margin 2019 to 2024 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.9% → 9%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 2.5%/yr over ~10Y (margins intact) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+10.4%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Taiwan: IMF forecast 1.6% a year to 2030, 1.5% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +8.7% a year for the price.
Compare Niko Semiconductor Co Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Semiconductors · 347 stocks
Beats the industry median on 9/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score63 · Above median
Fair Value upside−19.7% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)5.6% · Below median
Return on assets3.8% · Above median
Net margin (12 months)6.4% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months)12.6% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)4.0% · Below median
Dividend yield (12 months)0.8% · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Semiconductors median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Niko Semiconductor Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/3317.TWO
Frequently asked questions
Is Niko Semiconductor Co Ltd (3317) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 47.71 TWD versus a price of 59.40 TWD, about −20% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 3317?
Our model-based fair value for Niko Semiconductor Co Ltd is 47.71 TWD (as of Oct 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 59.40 TWD.
What is the quality score of 3317?
Niko Semiconductor Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Niko Semiconductor Co Ltd (3317)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 47.71 TWD (as of Oct 23, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario 43.26 TWD, optimistic scenario 54.40 TWD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Niko Semiconductor Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 47.71 TWD, about −20% upside versus a price of 59.40 TWD (overvalued). Cautious scenario 43.26 TWD, optimistic scenario 54.40 TWD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Niko Semiconductor Co Ltd (3317)?
Niko Semiconductor Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.8B TWD (latest available figure, as of Oct 23, 2026).
Does Niko Semiconductor Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Niko Semiconductor Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 0.84% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Niko Semiconductor Co Ltd (3317)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Niko Semiconductor Co Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +10.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 14.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +1.8 % per year. As of Oct 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 3317 use?
Our models discount Niko Semiconductor Co Ltd at 14.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 1.31, country premium for Taiwan. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Niko Semiconductor Co Ltd that is +10.4 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (14.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Niko Semiconductor Co Ltd (3317) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Niko Semiconductor Co Ltd grew +1.8 % a year. The price currently implies +10.4 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Niko Semiconductor Co Ltd (3317) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +10.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Niko Semiconductor Co Ltd (+10.4 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Niko Semiconductor Co Ltd (3317)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 5.90 %: that much free cash flow Niko Semiconductor Co Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (14.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Niko Semiconductor Co Ltd (3317)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Niko Semiconductor Co Ltd it is 47.71 TWD per share (as of Oct 23, 2026), against a price of 59.40 TWD. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Niko Semiconductor Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 23, 2026, 3317 trades above its calculated fair value: price 59.40 TWD, fair value 47.71 TWD, a gap of about −20% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 3317?
No. The price is what the market pays today (59.40 TWD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (47.71 TWD). For Niko Semiconductor Co Ltd the two are 11.69 TWD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Niko Semiconductor Co Ltd worth?
The market values Niko Semiconductor Co Ltd at about 5.3B TWD (market capitalisation, as of Oct 23, 2026). Per share that is 59.40 TWD; our models calculate a fair value of 47.71 TWD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 3317?
Our models span a range for Niko Semiconductor Co Ltd: cautious scenario 43.26 TWD, base 47.71 TWD, optimistic 54.40 TWD per share (as of Oct 23, 2026, price 59.40 TWD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 3317?
Niko Semiconductor Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 29.7 (as of Oct 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 47.71 TWD is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.7, P/S 1.9, EV/EBITDA 8.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of Niko Semiconductor Co Ltd (3317)?
Balance-sheet figures for Niko Semiconductor Co Ltd (as of Oct 23, 2026): return on equity 5.6%. They feed the Quality Score of 63/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 3317 from its 52-week high?
Niko Semiconductor Co Ltd trades at 59.40 TWD, about 44% below its 52-week high of 105.50 TWD and 34% above the low of 44.20 TWD (as of Oct 22, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 47.71 TWD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Niko Semiconductor Co Ltd?
From the same area (Technology) we also value NVIDIA Corporation, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Broadcom Inc, Micron Technology, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Niko Semiconductor Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 23, 2026: price 59.40 TWD, calculated fair value 47.71 TWD (−20%), Quality Score 63/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 3317 calculated?
We run Niko Semiconductor Co Ltd through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 47.71 TWD, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 12.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Niko Semiconductor Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Niko Semiconductor Co Ltd (3317)?
The closing price on Oct 22, 2026 was 59.40 TWD. Our model-based fair value is 47.71 TWD, about −20% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Niko Semiconductor Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (54.40 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (63/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Where does the earnings growth of Niko Semiconductor Co Ltd (3317) come from?
Earnings per share at Niko Semiconductor Co Ltd grew +35.7 % a year from 2013 to 2023. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −1.0 %, EBIT margin +31.0 %, tax rate +1.8 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +2.9 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Niko Semiconductor Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Niko Semiconductor Co Ltd (3317)?
The market capitalisation of Niko Semiconductor Co Ltd is 5.3B TWD (≈ $164M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Niko Semiconductor Co Ltd (3317)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Niko Semiconductor Co Ltd is 1.90 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Niko Semiconductor Co Ltd (3317)?
Earnings per share at Niko Semiconductor Co Ltd are 2.00 TWD (price ÷ EPS = P/E 29.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Niko Semiconductor Co Ltd (3317)?
The dividend yield of Niko Semiconductor Co Ltd is 0.8% (payout 25.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Niko Semiconductor Co Ltd (3317)?
The net margin of Niko Semiconductor Co Ltd is 6.4% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Niko Semiconductor Co Ltd (3317)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Niko Semiconductor Co Ltd is 5.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Niko Semiconductor Co Ltd (3317)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Niko Semiconductor Co Ltd is 10.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Niko Semiconductor Co Ltd (3317)?
The operating margin of Niko Semiconductor Co Ltd is 12.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Niko Semiconductor Co Ltd (3317)?
Revenue at Niko Semiconductor Co Ltd is growing +4.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +1.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Niko Semiconductor Co Ltd (3317)?
Earnings per share at Niko Semiconductor Co Ltd are growing +34.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Niko Semiconductor Co Ltd (3317) hold?
Niko Semiconductor Co Ltd holds more cash than debt, 1.4B TWD net (fiscal year 2023). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Broad data
Oct 23, 2026