Lingbao Gold Co Ltd (3330) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of Lingbao Gold Co Ltd HK$24.29, price HK$19.85, upside +22.4%, quality 49 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 30, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.7223 – HK$29.73 · fair‑value band HK$17.58 – HK$30.67 · the HK$19.85 price screens below the HK$24.29 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 30, 2026.
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Lingbao Gold Group Company Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, primarily engages in mining, processing, smelting, refining, and sale of gold products in the People's Republic of China. Its products include gold bullion and concentrates, silver, copper products, sulphuric acid, and others.
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Lingbao Gold Group Company Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, primarily engages in mining, processing, smelting, refining, and sale of gold products in the People's Republic of China. Its products include gold bullion and concentrates, silver, copper products, sulphuric acid, and others. The company holds 34 mining and exploration rights with an area of 187.47 square kilometers. It is also involved in the sale of mineral products, jewelry, machinery, equipment, and components for gold processing; mine engineering construction; development of mining and exploration of mineral reserves technology; design of mineral engineering; and recycling and disposal of wastes from mining and smelting activities, as well as geological exploration of mineral reserves. In addition, it imports and exports gold products. The company was formerly known as Lingbao Gold Company Ltd. and changed its name to Lingbao Gold Group Company Ltd. in May 2017. Lingbao Gold Group Company Ltd. was incorporated in 2002 and is based in Lingbao, China.
Stock analysis
Lingbao Gold Co Ltd (3330) currently trades at HK$19.85, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$24.29, implying the stock looks roughly 18.3% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of HK$25.09 per share, and 8 of the 17 models we run sit above the HK$19.85 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at HK$3.19, and 9 of the 17 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: HK$17.58 (bear) to HK$30.67 (bull), the price of HK$19.85 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Lingbao Gold Co Ltd reported revenue of 13.1B CNY in FY2025 versus 5.3B CNY in FY2021, a compound +25.3%/yr. Reported net income was 1.5B CNY in FY2025, compounding +85.6%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap HK$26.5B (≈ $3.4B) · P/E ratio 11.9 · P/S ratio 1.40 · Dividend yield 0.3% · Net margin 11.7% · Return on equity 28.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 10.8% · Operating margin 18.7%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 33% below its 52-week high and 64% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 22%, 3330 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear HK$17.58Fair Value HK$24.29Bull HK$30.67
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+10.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+18.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +8.6% a year
Revenue growth 23 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.7%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
+63.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+63.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.3%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.56.9% vs 39.4%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.5% → 17%
2025 sits 273% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (13 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Gold · 233 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score49 · Above median
Fair Value upside+22.4% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)28.1% · Top 25%
Return on assets13.3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)13.9% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)18.7% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth2.5% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)0.3% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.16× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Gold median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Lingbao Gold Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/3330
Frequently asked questions
Is Lingbao Gold Co Ltd (3330) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 30, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$24.29 versus a price of HK$19.85, about +22% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 3330?
Our model-based fair value for Lingbao Gold Co Ltd is HK$24.29 (as of Sep 30, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$19.85.
What is the quality score of 3330?
Lingbao Gold Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Lingbao Gold Co Ltd (3330)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$24.29 (as of Sep 30, 2026) from 17 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$17.58, optimistic scenario HK$30.67. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Lingbao Gold Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$24.29, about +22% upside versus a price of HK$19.85 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$17.58, optimistic scenario HK$30.67. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Lingbao Gold Co Ltd (3330)?
Lingbao Gold Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 13.3B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 30, 2026).
Does Lingbao Gold Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Lingbao Gold Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.25% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 30, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Lingbao Gold Co Ltd (3330)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Lingbao Gold Co Ltd it is HK$24.29 per share (as of Sep 30, 2026), against a price of HK$19.85. It is the blended result of 17 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Lingbao Gold Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 30, 2026, 3330 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$19.85, fair value HK$24.29, a gap of about +22% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 3330?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$19.85); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$24.29). For Lingbao Gold Co Ltd the two are HK$4.44 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Lingbao Gold Co Ltd worth?
The market values Lingbao Gold Co Ltd at about HK$26.5B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 30, 2026). Per share that is HK$19.85; our models calculate a fair value of HK$24.29 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 3330?
Our models span a range for Lingbao Gold Co Ltd: cautious scenario HK$17.58, base HK$24.29, optimistic HK$30.67 per share (as of Sep 30, 2026, price HK$19.85). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 3330?
Lingbao Gold Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 11.9 (as of Sep 30, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of HK$24.29 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.6, P/B 4.6, P/S 1.7, EV/EBITDA 6.8.
What is the PEG ratio of 3330?
The PEG ratio of Lingbao Gold Co Ltd is 0.60 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 30, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Lingbao Gold Co Ltd (3330)?
Balance-sheet figures for Lingbao Gold Co Ltd (as of Sep 30, 2026): return on equity 28.1%, debt of 0.16 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 49/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 3330 from its 52-week high?
Lingbao Gold Co Ltd trades at HK$19.85, about 33% below its 52-week high of HK$29.73 and 64% above the low of HK$12.08 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$24.29 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Lingbao Gold Co Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Newmont Corporation, Zijin Mining Group, Agnico Eagle Mines Limited, Wheaton Precious Metals Corp, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Lingbao Gold Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 30, 2026: price HK$19.85, calculated fair value HK$24.29 (+22%), Quality Score 49/100, from 17 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 3330 calculated?
We run Lingbao Gold Co Ltd through 17 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$24.29, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.7 % above its aggregate fair value. Lingbao Gold Co Ltd currently trades 18 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Lingbao Gold Co Ltd (3330)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was HK$19.85. Our model-based fair value is HK$24.29, about +22% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Lingbao Gold Co Ltd right now?
Solid quality (49/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.
Key figures of Lingbao Gold Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Lingbao Gold Co Ltd (3330)?
The market capitalisation of Lingbao Gold Co Ltd is HK$26.5B (≈ $3.4B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Lingbao Gold Co Ltd (3330)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Lingbao Gold Co Ltd is 1.40 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the dividend yield of Lingbao Gold Co Ltd (3330)?
The dividend yield of Lingbao Gold Co Ltd is 0.3%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Lingbao Gold Co Ltd (3330)?
The net margin of Lingbao Gold Co Ltd is 11.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Lingbao Gold Co Ltd (3330)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Lingbao Gold Co Ltd is 28.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Lingbao Gold Co Ltd (3330)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Lingbao Gold Co Ltd is 10.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Lingbao Gold Co Ltd (3330)?
The operating margin of Lingbao Gold Co Ltd is 18.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Lingbao Gold Co Ltd (3330)?
Revenue at Lingbao Gold Co Ltd is growing +2.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +9.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Lingbao Gold Co Ltd (3330)?
Earnings per share at Lingbao Gold Co Ltd are growing +38.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Lingbao Gold Co Ltd (3330) generate?
The free cash flow of Lingbao Gold Co Ltd is −57.3M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Lingbao Gold Co Ltd (3330) carry?
The net debt of Lingbao Gold Co Ltd is 1.3B CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Sep 30, 2026