Lingbao Gold Co Ltd (3330) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · HK · Market cap HK$18.7B
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 17 valuation models · updated 3 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from HK$24.30 to HK$24.32 (+0.1%) since Aug 6, 2026. Share price +40.6% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 14% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- Our model range runs from HK$17.48 (bear) to HK$30.67 (bull), base HK$24.32. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 50/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.7223 – HK$29.73 · fair‑value band HK$17.48 – HK$30.67 · the HK$21.42 price screens below the HK$24.32 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Lingbao Gold Co Ltd (3330) currently trades at HK$21.42, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$24.32, implying the stock looks roughly 13.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Lingbao Gold Co Ltd generated revenue of HK$13.1B at a net margin of 11.7%. Revenue declined 29.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 39.8%. Net debt stands at HK$1.3B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$17.48 (bear case) to HK$30.67 (bull case); at HK$21.42, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 31% below its 52-week high and 136% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 1% fair-value upside, at 14%, 3330 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 17 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (HK$21.47) versus Asset-Based (HK$2.73). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 54
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Lingbao Gold Group Company Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, primarily engages in mining, processing, smelting, refining, and sale of gold products in the People's Republic of China. Its products include gold bullion and concentrates, silver, copper products, sulphuric acid, and others.
Full company description
Lingbao Gold Group Company Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, primarily engages in mining, processing, smelting, refining, and sale of gold products in the People's Republic of China. Its products include gold bullion and concentrates, silver, copper products, sulphuric acid, and others. The company holds 34 mining and exploration rights with an area of 187.47 square kilometers. It is also involved in the sale of mineral products, jewelry, machinery, equipment, and components for gold processing; mine engineering construction; development of mining and exploration of mineral reserves technology; design of mineral engineering; and recycling and disposal of wastes from mining and smelting activities, as well as geological exploration of mineral reserves. In addition, it imports and exports gold products. The company was formerly known as Lingbao Gold Company Ltd. and changed its name to Lingbao Gold Group Company Ltd. in May 2017. Lingbao Gold Group Company Ltd. was incorporated in 2002 and is based in Lingbao, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Lingbao Gold Co Ltd reported revenue of HK$13.1B in FY2025 versus HK$5.3B in FY2021, a compound +25.3%/yr. Reported net income was HK$1.5B in FY2025, compounding +85.6%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Gold · 247 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Gold median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Gold stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Newmont Corporation NEMCL | $112.00 | $112.82 | +1% |
| Zijin Mining Group 601899 | ¥32.21 | ¥39.42 | +22% |
| Agnico Eagle Mines Limited AEM | C$257.82 | C$154.33 | -40% |
| Barrick Mining Corporation B | $41.23 | $50.66 | +23% |
| Wheaton Precious Metals Corp WPM | C$187.84 | C$52.47 | -72% |
| Franco-Nevada Corporation FNV | C$334.84 | C$97.76 | -71% |
| AngloGold Ashanti plc AU | $97.92 | $88.63 | -9% |
| Gold Fields Limited GFI | $40.73 | $59.06 | +45% |
| Zijin Gold International Company 2259 | HK$135.60 | HK$96.81 | -29% |
| Kinross Gold Corporation KGC | $27.48 | $34.62 | +26% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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