PARKSON Retail Group Ltd (3368) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · HK · Market cap HK$440M
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 13 valuation models · updated 3 days ago
Below-average quality, and screening another 31% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.1168). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (49/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.0587 – HK$0.2090 · fair‑value band HK$0.0839 – HK$0.1168 · the HK$0.1690 price screens above the HK$0.1168 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
PARKSON Retail Group Ltd (3368) currently trades at HK$0.1690, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.1168, implying the stock looks roughly 30.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, PARKSON Retail Group Ltd generated revenue of HK$3.5B at a net margin of -4.3%. Revenue declined 6.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -5.2%. Net debt stands at HK$5.1B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.0839 (bear case) to HK$0.1168 (bull case); at HK$0.1690, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 23% below its 52-week high and 129% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 25% fair-value upside, at -31%, 3368 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 13 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF (HK$1.22) versus Dividend Discount (HK$0.1700). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 69
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Parkson Retail Group Limited, an investment holding company, operates as a lifestyle retail operator in the People's Republic of China. The company operates and manages department stores, shopping malls, city outlets, concept stores, and supermarkets.
Full company description
Parkson Retail Group Limited, an investment holding company, operates as a lifestyle retail operator in the People's Republic of China. The company operates and manages department stores, shopping malls, city outlets, concept stores, and supermarkets. It offers fashion and lifestyle related merchandise focusing on four categories, including fashion and apparel, cosmetics and accessories, household and electrical products, and groceries and perishables targeting the young and contemporary market. The company also provides food and beverages management, property management, and consultancy and management services, as well as money lending and credit services. In addition, it engages in domestic and cross-border trading; sale of apparel; and wholesale and retail trade activities. The company was incorporated in 2005 and is headquartered in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
PARKSON Retail Group Ltd reported revenue of HK$3.0B in FY2025 versus HK$4.6B in FY2021, a compound −10.3%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$181M in FY2025.
3368 screens 31% overvalued. Compare with Falabella S.A →
Peer Group
Department Stores · 127 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Department Stores median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Department Stores stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Falabella S.A FALABELLA | 6,380 CLP | 8,005 CLP | +25% |
| El Puerto de Liverpool, S.A. LIVEPOLC1 | 99.62 MXN | 220.59 MXN | +121% |
| 99 Speed Mart Retail Holdings 5326 | 3.65 MYR | 1.59 MYR | -56% |
| Cencosud S.A CENCOSUD | 1,949 CLP | 2,425 CLP | +24% |
| Vishal Mega Mart Limited VMM | ₹107.00 | ₹30.46 | -72% |
| SHINSEGAE Inc 004170 | 399,000 KRW | 177,841 KRW | -55% |
| Organización Soriana, S. A. B. de C. V., SORIANAB | 30.04 MXN | 54.64 MXN | +82% |
| Lotte Shopping Co 023530 | 97,300 KRW | 76,636 KRW | -21% |
| La Comer, S.A. LACOMERUBC | 34.37 MXN | 44.99 MXN | +31% |
| Lojas Renner S.A LREN3 | R$11.74 | R$33.36 | +184% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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