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Agile Group Holdings Ltd (3383) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Agile Group Holdings Ltd is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.

Valuation from Aug 20, 2026. With the latest figures (losses, negative cash flow), a fair value can no longer be calculated.
  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Industrials · HK · ISIN KYG011981035

AG Agile Group Holdings Ltd logo Thin data Aug 20, 2026

Agile Group Holdings Ltd

3383 · HK

Cheap, value-trap riskThe stock looks deeply undervalued, but low quality raises value-trap risk.

✓Fair value HK$0.2096 · Strongly undervalued (+60.0%)
!Quality 24/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −19.1 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -77.2% net margin (TTM)
!Negative equity (buybacks among others) · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (2/7)
!Narrow moat 6/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

HK$10.78 HK$0.1310 Fair Value HK$0.2096 May 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.1310 – HK$10.78 · fair‑value band HK$0.1396 – HK$0.2723 · the HK$0.1310 price screens below the HK$0.2096 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.

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Company profile

Agile Group Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the real estate business in Mainland China. It operates through three segments: Property Development, Property Management, and Other Businesses.

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Agile Group Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the real estate business in Mainland China. It operates through three segments: Property Development, Property Management, and Other Businesses. The company develops and sells properties; and provides property construction, ecological landscaping, intelligent home and decoration, environmental protection, and commercial management services. It also engages in city sanitation and cleaning services, as well as hotel operations and property investment. In addition, the company operates ecological industrial parks and offers industrial hazardous waste and wastewater treatment services. Further, the company provides management consulting and commercial property operation services, as well as engages in commercial and hotel management, and owns a portfolio of shopping malls, hotels, and community/neighborhood businesses. The company was formerly known as Agile Property Holdings Limited and changed its name to Agile Group Holdings Limited in July 2016. Agile Group Holdings Limited was founded in 1992 and is headquartered in Guangzhou, the People's Republic of China. Agile Group Holdings Limited operates as a subsidiary of Top Coast Investment Limited.

Stock analysis

Agile Group Holdings Ltd (3383) currently trades at HK$0.1310, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.2096, implying the stock looks roughly 37.5% undervalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 2 models at a data quality of 82/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: HK$0.1396 (bear) to HK$0.2723 (bull), the price of HK$0.1310 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 24/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Agile Group Holdings Ltd reported revenue of 27.9B CNY in FY2025 versus 73.0B CNY in FY2021, a compound −21.4%/yr. Reported net income was −21.5B CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap HK$722M (≈ $92.0M) · P/S ratio 0.03 · EPS (TTM) HK$−1.59 · Net margin −77.2% · Return on equity −75.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) −1.0% · Operating margin −8.6% · Revenue (TTM) 27.9B CNY.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 22 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 70% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 62% fair-value upside, at 60%, 3383 screens richer than that median.

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 24/100

Of which business quality 22 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 13

Profitability 1
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 34
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 4
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 29
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 10
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 40
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−35.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−19.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−19.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −4.2% a year
Revenue growth 21 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.1%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
20.5% (2019) → −7.3% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Marine Shipping · 226 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/7 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 22 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +60.0% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Return on assets −1.0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −77.2% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −8.6% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −35.7% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.

Valuation Multiplesvs Marine Shipping median · lower = cheaper

P/B Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
PEG 0.66× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 35
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 43
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 31
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 89
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 52

PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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10 more Marine Shipping stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

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COSCO SHIPPING Holdings 601919 ¥16.30 ¥40.37 +148%
Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft, HLAG €134.60 €88.00 −35%
Shanghai International Port (Group) Co 600018 ¥5.36 ¥6.41 +20%
Evergreen Marine Corporation 2603 243.00 TWD 582.03 TWD +140%
HMM Co 011200 20,800 KRW 33,795 KRW +62%
Wan Hai Lines Ltd 2615 115.50 TWD 191.50 TWD +66%
Ningbo Zhoushan Port Company 601018 ¥3.40 ¥5.58 +64%
Qingdao Port International Co 601298 ¥9.75 ¥15.59 +60%
China Merchants Port Holdings 0144 HK$16.89 HK$24.25 +44%

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Agile Group Holdings Ltd · Fair Value
HK$0.2096 +38%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Agile Group Holdings Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/3383

Frequently asked questions

Is Agile Group Holdings Ltd (3383) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 20, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.2096 versus a price of HK$0.1310, about +60% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 3383?
Our model-based fair value for Agile Group Holdings Ltd is HK$0.2096 (as of Aug 20, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.1310.
What is the quality score of 3383?
Agile Group Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 24/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Agile Group Holdings Ltd (3383)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.2096 (as of Aug 20, 2026) from 2 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.1396, optimistic scenario HK$0.2723. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Agile Group Holdings Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.2096, about +60% upside versus a price of HK$0.1310 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.1396, optimistic scenario HK$0.2723. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Agile Group Holdings Ltd (3383)?
Agile Group Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 27.9B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 20, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Agile Group Holdings Ltd (3383)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Agile Group Holdings Ltd it is HK$0.2096 per share (as of Aug 20, 2026), against a price of HK$0.1310. It is the blended result of 2 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Agile Group Holdings Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Aug 20, 2026, 3383 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$0.1310, fair value HK$0.2096, a gap of about +60% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 3383?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.1310); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.2096). For Agile Group Holdings Ltd the two are HK$0.0786 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Agile Group Holdings Ltd worth?
The market values Agile Group Holdings Ltd at about HK$722M (market capitalisation, as of Aug 20, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.1310; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.2096 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 3383?
Our models span a range for Agile Group Holdings Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.1396, base HK$0.2096, optimistic HK$0.2723 per share (as of Aug 20, 2026, price HK$0.1310). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of 3383?
The PEG ratio of Agile Group Holdings Ltd is 0.66 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Aug 20, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Agile Group Holdings Ltd (3383)?
Balance-sheet figures for Agile Group Holdings Ltd (as of Aug 20, 2026): negative equity, so no return on equity and no debt-to-equity ratio. They feed the Quality Score of 24/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 3383 from its 52-week high?
Agile Group Holdings Ltd trades at HK$0.1310, about 70% below its 52-week high of HK$0.4300 and at the low of HK$0.1310 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.2096 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Agile Group Holdings Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited, COSCO SHIPPING Holdings, Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft,, Shanghai International Port (Group) Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Agile Group Holdings Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Aug 20, 2026: price HK$0.1310, calculated fair value HK$0.2096 (+60%), Quality Score 24/100, from 2 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 3383 calculated?
We run Agile Group Holdings Ltd through 2 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.2096, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.7 % above its aggregate fair value. Agile Group Holdings Ltd currently trades 38 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Agile Group Holdings Ltd (3383)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was HK$0.1310. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.2096, about +60% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Agile Group Holdings Ltd right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (24/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.1396). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (HK$0.1396 to HK$0.2723) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Agile Group Holdings Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Agile Group Holdings Ltd (3383)?
The market capitalisation of Agile Group Holdings Ltd is HK$722M (≈ $92.0M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Agile Group Holdings Ltd (3383)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Agile Group Holdings Ltd is 0.03 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Agile Group Holdings Ltd (3383)?
Earnings per share at Agile Group Holdings Ltd are HK$−1.59. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Agile Group Holdings Ltd (3383)?
The net margin of Agile Group Holdings Ltd is −77.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Agile Group Holdings Ltd (3383)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Agile Group Holdings Ltd is −75.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Agile Group Holdings Ltd (3383)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Agile Group Holdings Ltd is −1.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Agile Group Holdings Ltd (3383)?
The operating margin of Agile Group Holdings Ltd is −8.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Agile Group Holdings Ltd (3383)?
Revenue at Agile Group Holdings Ltd is growing −35.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg −19.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Agile Group Holdings Ltd (3383)?
Earnings per share at Agile Group Holdings Ltd are growing −54.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Agile Group Holdings Ltd (3383) generate?
The free cash flow of Agile Group Holdings Ltd is −1.9B CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Agile Group Holdings Ltd (3383) carry?
The net debt of Agile Group Holdings Ltd is 57.7B CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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