Agile Group Holdings Ltd (3383) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · HK · Market cap HK$722M
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 2 valuation models · updated 3 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from HK$0.1558 to HK$0.1555 (−0.2%) since Aug 6, 2026. Share price +21.2% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 15% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Weak quality (24/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- A fairly wide model range (HK$0.1037 to HK$0.2020) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
- As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.1410 – HK$11.79 · fair‑value band HK$0.1037 – HK$0.2020 · the HK$0.1830 price screens above the HK$0.1555 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Agile Group Holdings Ltd (3383) currently trades at HK$0.1830, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.1555, implying the stock looks roughly 15.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 24/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, Agile Group Holdings Ltd generated revenue of HK$27.9B at a net margin of -77.2%. Revenue declined 35.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -75.5%. Net debt stands at HK$57.7B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.1037 (bear case) to HK$0.2020 (bull case); at HK$0.1830, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 67% below its 52-week high and 33% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 15% fair-value upside, at -15%, 3383 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 2 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 22 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 12
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Agile Group Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the real estate business in Mainland China. It operates through three segments: Property Development, Property Management, and Other Businesses.
Full company description
Agile Group Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the real estate business in Mainland China. It operates through three segments: Property Development, Property Management, and Other Businesses. The company develops and sells properties; and provides property construction, ecological landscaping, intelligent home and decoration, environmental protection, and commercial management services. It also engages in city sanitation and cleaning services, as well as hotel operations and property investment. In addition, the company operates ecological industrial parks and offers industrial hazardous waste and wastewater treatment services. Further, the company provides management consulting and commercial property operation services, as well as engages in commercial and hotel management, and owns a portfolio of shopping malls, hotels, and community/neighborhood businesses. The company was formerly known as Agile Property Holdings Limited and changed its name to Agile Group Holdings Limited in July 2016. Agile Group Holdings Limited was founded in 1992 and is headquartered in Guangzhou, the People's Republic of China. Agile Group Holdings Limited operates as a subsidiary of Top Coast Investment Limited.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Agile Group Holdings Ltd reported revenue of HK$27.9B in FY2025 versus HK$73.0B in FY2021, a compound −21.4%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$21.5B in FY2025.
3383 screens 15% overvalued. Compare with DLF Limited →
Peer Group
Real Estate - Development · 591 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Real Estate - Development stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| DLF Limited DLF | ₹661.75 | ₹146.13 | -78% |
| Lodha Developers Limited LODHA | ₹1,209 | ₹583.43 | -52% |
| PT Pantai Indah Kapuk Dua Tbk, PANI | 6,150 IDR | 1,330 IDR | -78% |
| PT Jaya Real Property, Tbk., JRPT | 1,080 IDR | 1,674 IDR | +55% |
| PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk, BSDE | 595.00 IDR | 1,488 IDR | +150% |
| PT Sentul City Tbk, BKSL | 73.00 IDR | 84.16 IDR | +15% |
| PT Ciputra Development Tbk, CTRA | 610.00 IDR | 1,525 IDR | +150% |
| Khang Dien House Trading and Investment Joint Stock Company KDH | 18,150 VND | 20,338 VND | +12% |
| PT Duta Pertiwi Tbk DUTI | 4,300 IDR | 6,239 IDR | +45% |
| PT Puradelta Lestari Tbk DMAS | 147.00 IDR | 164.33 IDR | +12% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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