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Ado Optronics (3516) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Ado Optronics TWD 5.08, price TWD 25.10, upside -79.8%, quality 37 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Consumer Cyclical · TW · ISIN TW0003516001

AO Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Ado Optronics

3516 · TWO

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value 5.08 TWD · Strongly overvalued (−80%)
!Quality 37/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +8.4 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 3.5% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
·0.80% dividend yield
!Trails peers (4/13)
!Narrow moat 28/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 11 out of 100
!Weak on dividend: 16 out of 100

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

33.70 TWD 13.29 TWD Fair Value 5.08 TWD Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 13.29 TWD – 33.70 TWD · fair‑value band 3.56 TWD – 6.60 TWD · the 25.10 TWD price screens above the 5.08 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

ADO Optronics Corporation engages in the manufacturing, processing, and trading of various connectors, plugs, electronic components, and lighting products. It operates through Lighting Source and Connecting Cable Operation; Energy Generation Operation; and Plastic Injection (PR) Operation segments.

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ADO Optronics Corporation engages in the manufacturing, processing, and trading of various connectors, plugs, electronic components, and lighting products. It operates through Lighting Source and Connecting Cable Operation; Energy Generation Operation; and Plastic Injection (PR) Operation segments. The company assembles and sells lighting sources and connecting cables. It also produces and manufactures in-mold decorative inlay injection products. In addition, the company engages in the production and sales of renewable energy self-use power generation and thermal energy supply. ADO Optronics Corporation was founded in 1991 and is based in Taoyuan City, Taiwan.

Stock analysis

Ado Optronics (3516) currently trades at 25.10 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 5.08 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 394.1% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of 17.03 TWD per share, and 0 of the 10 models we run sit above the 25.10 TWD price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 1.75 TWD, and 10 of the 10 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: 3.56 TWD (bear) to 6.60 TWD (bull), the price of 25.10 TWD sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Ado Optronics reported revenue of 1.0B TWD in FY2025 versus 1.1B TWD in FY2021, a compound −0.7%/yr. Reported net income was 16.4M TWD in FY2025, compounding −21.7%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 1.5B TWD (≈ $47.1M) · P/E ratio 36.9 · P/S ratio 0.58 · EPS (TTM) 0.6800 TWD · Dividend yield 0.8% · Net margin 1.6% · Return on equity 2.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.0%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and 41% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 1% fair-value upside, at −80%, 3516 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (1.75 TWD to 17.03 TWD). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear 3.56 TWD Fair Value 5.08 TWD Bull 6.60 TWD
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.3524 TWD per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income 17.13 TWD 15.81 TWD 11.36 TWD 76
Growth-Adj P/E 3.56 TWD 5.08 TWD 6.60 TWD 67
Graham-Dodd 1.87 TWD 5.70 TWD 7.56 TWD 65
All 10 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 1.87 TWD 5.70 TWD 7.56 TWD 65
Lynch FV 1.22 TWD 1.75 TWD 2.27 TWD 61
PEG = 1.0 1.22 TWD 1.75 TWD 2.27 TWD 57
Multiples
P/E Multiple 4.33 TWD 5.77 TWD 7.22 TWD 63
P/S Multiple 3.51 TWD 4.67 TWD 5.84 TWD 58
P/B Multiple 3.51 TWD 4.67 TWD 5.84 TWD 55
EV/EBITDA n/a 2.37 TWD 4.96 TWD 62
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 12.71 TWD 17.03 TWD 25.42 TWD 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income 17.13 TWD 15.81 TWD 11.36 TWD 76
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 3.56 TWD 5.08 TWD 6.60 TWD 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 37/100

Of which business quality 38 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 66

Profitability 17
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 30
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 32
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 48
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 50
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 78
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 59
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 63
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 61
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 33/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−14.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 8 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.5%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in TWD ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in TWD: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−3.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−4.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.8%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.3% → −5%

3516 screens 394% overvalued. Compare with Midea Group →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances · 316 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 37 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −80% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 3% · Below median
Return on assets 0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 3% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 9% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 24% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.8% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.50× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 36.9× · Pricier than median
P/B 0.99× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 1.28× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 22.1× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 33
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 0
PAST (return on equity)11 · sector 19
HEALTH (low debt)75 · sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)16 · sector 62

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

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Gree Electric Appliances, Inc 000651 ¥38.18 ¥97.62 +156%
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King Slide Works Co 2059 12,350 TWD 4,427 TWD −64%
SharkNinja, Inc SN $169.01 $100.78 −40%
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Mohawk Industries, Inc MHK $121.23 $119.26 −2%
Hisense Home Appliances Group 000921 ¥26.70 ¥50.62 +90%
Alliance Laundry Holdings ALH $21.59 $10.76 −50%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Ado Optronics Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/3516

Frequently asked questions

Is Ado Optronics (3516) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 5.08 TWD versus a price of 25.10 TWD, about −80% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 3516?
Our model-based fair value for Ado Optronics is 5.08 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 25.10 TWD.
What is the quality score of 3516?
Ado Optronics has a Quality Score of 37/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Ado Optronics (3516)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 5.08 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 10 valuation models. Cautious scenario 3.56 TWD, optimistic scenario 6.60 TWD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Ado Optronics stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 5.08 TWD, about −80% upside versus a price of 25.10 TWD (overvalued). Cautious scenario 3.56 TWD, optimistic scenario 6.60 TWD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Ado Optronics (3516)?
Ado Optronics reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.2B TWD (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Ado Optronics pay a dividend?
Ado Optronics currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.80% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Ado Optronics (3516)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Ado Optronics it is 5.08 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 25.10 TWD. It is the blended result of 10 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Ado Optronics stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 3516 trades above its calculated fair value: price 25.10 TWD, fair value 5.08 TWD, a gap of about −80% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 3516?
No. The price is what the market pays today (25.10 TWD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (5.08 TWD). For Ado Optronics the two are 20.02 TWD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Ado Optronics worth?
The market values Ado Optronics at about 1.5B TWD (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 25.10 TWD; our models calculate a fair value of 5.08 TWD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 3516?
Our models span a range for Ado Optronics: cautious scenario 3.56 TWD, base 5.08 TWD, optimistic 6.60 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 25.10 TWD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 3516?
Ado Optronics trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 36.9 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 5.08 TWD is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.0, P/S 1.3, EV/EBITDA 22.1.
How solid is the balance sheet of Ado Optronics (3516)?
Balance-sheet figures for Ado Optronics (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 2.9%, debt of 0.50 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 37/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 3516 from its 52-week high?
Ado Optronics trades at 25.10 TWD, about 14% below its 52-week high of 29.30 TWD and 41% above the low of 17.80 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 5.08 TWD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Ado Optronics?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Midea Group, Gree Electric Appliances, Inc, Haier Smart Home Co, King Slide Works Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Ado Optronics stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 25.10 TWD, calculated fair value 5.08 TWD (−80%), Quality Score 37/100, from 10 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 3516 calculated?
We run Ado Optronics through 10 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 5.08 TWD, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Ado Optronics itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Ado Optronics (3516)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 25.10 TWD. Our model-based fair value is 5.08 TWD, about −80% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Ado Optronics right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (6.60 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (37/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (3.56 TWD to 6.60 TWD) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Ado Optronics

How large is the market capitalisation of Ado Optronics (3516)?
The market capitalisation of Ado Optronics is 1.5B TWD (≈ $47.1M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Ado Optronics (3516)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Ado Optronics is 0.58 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Ado Optronics (3516)?
Earnings per share at Ado Optronics are 0.6800 TWD (price ÷ EPS = P/E 36.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Ado Optronics (3516)?
The dividend yield of Ado Optronics is 0.8% (payout 29.4%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Ado Optronics (3516)?
The net margin of Ado Optronics is 1.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Ado Optronics (3516)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Ado Optronics is 2.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Ado Optronics (3516)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Ado Optronics is 1.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Ado Optronics (3516)?
The operating margin of Ado Optronics is 9.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Ado Optronics (3516)?
Revenue at Ado Optronics is growing +23.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +2.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Ado Optronics (3516)?
Earnings per share at Ado Optronics are growing +28.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Ado Optronics (3516) generate?
The free cash flow of Ado Optronics is −427M TWD (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Ado Optronics (3516) carry?
The net debt of Ado Optronics is 579M TWD (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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