Ever Reach Group (Holdings) Company (3616) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of Ever Reach Group (Holdings) Company HK$0.36, price HK$0.19, upside +91.7%, quality 45 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.1800 – HK$1.54 · fair‑value band HK$0.2374 – HK$0.5307 · the HK$0.1900 price screens below the HK$0.3642 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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Ever Reach Group (Holdings) Company Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the property development and investment activities in the People's Republic of China. The company develops and sells residential and commercial properties, car parking spaces, and storage facilities.
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Ever Reach Group (Holdings) Company Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the property development and investment activities in the People's Republic of China. The company develops and sells residential and commercial properties, car parking spaces, and storage facilities. It also provides trading; architectural engineering design and management; information consultation and sale; rental agency; and properties brokerage services. Ever Reach Group (Holdings) Company Limited was founded in 1992 and is headquartered in Xuchang, the People's Republic of China.
Stock analysis
Ever Reach Group (Holdings) Company (3616) currently trades at HK$0.1900, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.3642, implying the stock looks roughly 47.8% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of HK$1.53 per share, and 7 of the 7 models we run sit above the HK$0.1900 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at HK$0.8600, and 0 of the 7 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: HK$0.2374 (bear) to HK$0.5307 (bull), the price of HK$0.1900 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Weak Growth: Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.
Ever Reach Group (Holdings) Company reported revenue of 2.5B CNY in FY2025 versus 2.8B CNY in FY2021, a compound −2.1%/yr. Reported net income was −221M CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap HK$288M (≈ $36.7M) · P/S ratio 0.11 · EPS (TTM) HK$−0.1800 · Net margin −8.7% · Return on equity −15.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.8% · Operating margin −19.7% · Revenue (TTM) 2.5B CNY.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 53% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −16% fair-value upside, at 92%, 3616 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear HK$0.2374Fair Value HK$0.3642Bull HK$0.5307
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.25/100
Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.
Revenue growth 1 year
−8.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +9.3% a year
Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.3%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
21.5% (2020) → −6.1% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare Ever Reach Group (Holdings) Company with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate - Development · 575 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/9 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score47 · Below median
Fair Value upside+91.7% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets−1.3% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−8.7% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)−19.7% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−26.4% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.31× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Ever Reach Group (Holdings) Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/3616
Frequently asked questions
Is Ever Reach Group (Holdings) Company (3616) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.3642 versus a price of HK$0.1900, about +92% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 3616?
Our model-based fair value for Ever Reach Group (Holdings) Company is HK$0.3642 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.1900.
What is the quality score of 3616?
Ever Reach Group (Holdings) Company has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Ever Reach Group (Holdings) Company (3616)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.3642 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 7 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.2374, optimistic scenario HK$0.5307. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Ever Reach Group (Holdings) Company stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.3642, about +92% upside versus a price of HK$0.1900 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.2374, optimistic scenario HK$0.5307. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Ever Reach Group (Holdings) Company (3616)?
Ever Reach Group (Holdings) Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.5B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Ever Reach Group (Holdings) Company (3616)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Ever Reach Group (Holdings) Company it is HK$0.3642 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of HK$0.1900. It is the blended result of 7 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Ever Reach Group (Holdings) Company stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 3616 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$0.1900, fair value HK$0.3642, a gap of about +92% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 3616?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.1900); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.3642). For Ever Reach Group (Holdings) Company the two are HK$0.1742 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Ever Reach Group (Holdings) Company worth?
The market values Ever Reach Group (Holdings) Company at about HK$288M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.1900; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.3642 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 3616?
Our models span a range for Ever Reach Group (Holdings) Company: cautious scenario HK$0.2374, base HK$0.3642, optimistic HK$0.5307 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price HK$0.1900). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Ever Reach Group (Holdings) Company (3616)?
Balance-sheet figures for Ever Reach Group (Holdings) Company (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity −15.7%, debt of 0.31 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 45/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 3616 from its 52-week high?
Ever Reach Group (Holdings) Company trades at HK$0.1900, about 53% below its 52-week high of HK$0.4000 and 6% above the low of HK$0.1800 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.3642 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Ever Reach Group (Holdings) Company?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited, CK Asset Holdings, Hongkong Land Holdings, DLF Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Ever Reach Group (Holdings) Company stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price HK$0.1900, calculated fair value HK$0.3642 (+92%), Quality Score 45/100, from 7 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 3616 calculated?
We run Ever Reach Group (Holdings) Company through 7 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.3642, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.7 % above its aggregate fair value. Ever Reach Group (Holdings) Company currently trades 48 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Ever Reach Group (Holdings) Company (3616)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was HK$0.1900. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.3642, about +92% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Ever Reach Group (Holdings) Company right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.2374). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (45/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (HK$0.2374 to HK$0.5307) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Ever Reach Group (Holdings) Company
How large is the market capitalisation of Ever Reach Group (Holdings) Company (3616)?
The market capitalisation of Ever Reach Group (Holdings) Company is HK$288M (≈ $36.7M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Ever Reach Group (Holdings) Company (3616)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Ever Reach Group (Holdings) Company is 0.11 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Ever Reach Group (Holdings) Company (3616)?
Earnings per share at Ever Reach Group (Holdings) Company are HK$−0.1800. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Ever Reach Group (Holdings) Company (3616)?
The net margin of Ever Reach Group (Holdings) Company is −8.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Ever Reach Group (Holdings) Company (3616)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Ever Reach Group (Holdings) Company is −15.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Ever Reach Group (Holdings) Company (3616)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Ever Reach Group (Holdings) Company is 0.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Ever Reach Group (Holdings) Company (3616)?
The operating margin of Ever Reach Group (Holdings) Company is −19.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Ever Reach Group (Holdings) Company (3616)?
Revenue at Ever Reach Group (Holdings) Company is growing −26.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg −3.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Ever Reach Group (Holdings) Company (3616)?
Earnings per share at Ever Reach Group (Holdings) Company are growing −59.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Ever Reach Group (Holdings) Company (3616) generate?
The free cash flow of Ever Reach Group (Holdings) Company is 117M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Ever Reach Group (Holdings) Company (3616) carry?
The net debt of Ever Reach Group (Holdings) Company is 530M CNY (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 4.5 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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