Yida China Holdings Ltd (3639) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of Yida China Holdings Ltd HK$0.06, price HK$0.04, upside +42.1%, quality 43 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.0220 – HK$2.18 · fair‑value band HK$0.0553 – HK$0.0638 · the HK$0.0420 price screens below the HK$0.0597 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.
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Yida China Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, develops, operates, and sells residential properties, business parks, and office properties in the People's Republic of China. The company operates through Property Development; Property Investment; Business Park Operation and Management; and Construction, and Decoration and Landscaping segments.
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Yida China Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, develops, operates, and sells residential properties, business parks, and office properties in the People's Republic of China. The company operates through Property Development; Property Investment; Business Park Operation and Management; and Construction, and Decoration and Landscaping segments. The Property Development segment engages in the development and sale of properties. The Property Investment segment invests in and rents properties. The Business Park Operation and Management segment provides operation and management services to the business park projects owned by the local governments or other independent third parties. The Construction, and Decoration and Landscaping segment engages in the property construction; and provision of interior decoration services to property buyers, as well as landscaping services to property projects. It also develops and sells multifunctional integrated residential community projects. Yida China Holdings Limited was founded in 1988 and is headquartered in Dalian, China.
Stock analysis
Yida China Holdings Ltd (3639) currently trades at HK$0.0420, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.0597, implying the stock looks roughly 29.6% undervalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 7 models at a data quality of 94/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: HK$0.0553 (bear) to HK$0.0638 (bull), the price of HK$0.0420 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Yida China Holdings Ltd reported revenue of 2.1B CNY in FY2025 versus 5.4B CNY in FY2021, a compound −21.4%/yr. Reported net income was −3.1B CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap HK$109M (≈ $13.8M) · P/S ratio 0.04 · EPS (TTM) HK$−0.3000 · Net margin −149% · Return on equity −52.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.1% · Operating margin −15.8% · Revenue (TTM) 2.1B CNY.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 42% below its 52-week high and 91% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 6% fair-value upside, at 42%, 3639 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear HK$0.0553Fair Value HK$0.0597Bull HK$0.0638
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.23/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−26.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−23.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−16.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −10.5% a year
Revenue growth 14 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−5.2%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
11.4% (2020) → −8.7% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare Yida China Holdings Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate - Development · 566 stocks
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Yida China Holdings Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/3639
Frequently asked questions
Is Yida China Holdings Ltd (3639) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.0597 versus a price of HK$0.0420, about +42% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 3639?
Our model-based fair value for Yida China Holdings Ltd is HK$0.0597 (as of Sep 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.0420.
What is the quality score of 3639?
Yida China Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Yida China Holdings Ltd (3639)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.0597 (as of Sep 29, 2026) from 7 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.0553, optimistic scenario HK$0.0638. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Yida China Holdings Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.0597, about +42% upside versus a price of HK$0.0420 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.0553, optimistic scenario HK$0.0638. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Yida China Holdings Ltd (3639)?
Yida China Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.1B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 29, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Yida China Holdings Ltd (3639)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Yida China Holdings Ltd it is HK$0.0597 per share (as of Sep 29, 2026), against a price of HK$0.0420. It is the blended result of 7 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Yida China Holdings Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 29, 2026, 3639 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$0.0420, fair value HK$0.0597, a gap of about +42% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 3639?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.0420); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.0597). For Yida China Holdings Ltd the two are HK$0.0177 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Yida China Holdings Ltd worth?
The market values Yida China Holdings Ltd at about HK$109M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 29, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.0420; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.0597 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 3639?
Our models span a range for Yida China Holdings Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.0553, base HK$0.0597, optimistic HK$0.0638 per share (as of Sep 29, 2026, price HK$0.0420). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Yida China Holdings Ltd (3639)?
Balance-sheet figures for Yida China Holdings Ltd (as of Sep 29, 2026): return on equity −52.6%. They feed the Quality Score of 43/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 3639 from its 52-week high?
Yida China Holdings Ltd trades at HK$0.0420, about 42% below its 52-week high of HK$0.0720 and 91% above the low of HK$0.0220 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.0597 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Yida China Holdings Ltd?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited, China Resources Land Limited, CK Asset Holdings, Hongkong Land Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Yida China Holdings Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 29, 2026: price HK$0.0420, calculated fair value HK$0.0597 (+42%), Quality Score 43/100, from 7 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 3639 calculated?
We run Yida China Holdings Ltd through 7 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.0597, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Yida China Holdings Ltd currently trades 30 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Yida China Holdings Ltd (3639)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was HK$0.0420. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.0597, about +42% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Yida China Holdings Ltd right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (43/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.0553). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Key figures of Yida China Holdings Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Yida China Holdings Ltd (3639)?
The market capitalisation of Yida China Holdings Ltd is HK$109M (≈ $13.8M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Yida China Holdings Ltd (3639)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Yida China Holdings Ltd is 0.04 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Yida China Holdings Ltd (3639)?
Earnings per share at Yida China Holdings Ltd are HK$−0.3000. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Yida China Holdings Ltd (3639)?
The net margin of Yida China Holdings Ltd is −149% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Yida China Holdings Ltd (3639)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Yida China Holdings Ltd is −52.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Yida China Holdings Ltd (3639)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Yida China Holdings Ltd is 1.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Yida China Holdings Ltd (3639)?
The operating margin of Yida China Holdings Ltd is −15.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Yida China Holdings Ltd (3639)?
Revenue at Yida China Holdings Ltd is growing −35.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg −23.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Yida China Holdings Ltd (3639)?
Earnings per share at Yida China Holdings Ltd are growing −93.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Yida China Holdings Ltd (3639) generate?
The free cash flow of Yida China Holdings Ltd is 312M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Yida China Holdings Ltd (3639) carry?
The net debt of Yida China Holdings Ltd is 11.3B CNY (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 36.2 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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