EN DE

Yida China Holdings Ltd (3639) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · HK · Market cap HK$82.7M

YC Yida China Holdings Ltd 3639 · HK
PriceHK$0.0220
Fair ValueHK$0.0248
Upside+12.7%
Quality43/100
Watch Yida China Holdings Ltd for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Watch for free
Weak Growth
Loss-making · -149.1% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (2/9)
Narrow moat 3/100
Evidence: Low Range HK$0.0233 – HK$0.0262 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 7 valuation models · updated 3 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from HK$0.0297 to HK$0.0248 (−16.6%) since Aug 6, 2026. Share price −21.4% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 13% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.0233). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The models converge in a tight band (HK$0.0233 to HK$0.0262), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
  • Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Share this valuation: 𝕏 WhatsApp

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$2.18 HK$0.0220 Fair Value HK$0.0248 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.0220 – HK$2.18 · fair‑value band HK$0.0233 – HK$0.0262 · the HK$0.0220 price screens below the HK$0.0248 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

Which stocks are undervalued right now? Check free Discover now →

Analysis

Yida China Holdings Ltd (3639) currently trades at HK$0.0220, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.0248, implying the stock looks roughly 12.7% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at HK$2.1B. Revenue declined 35.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -52.6%. Net debt stands at HK$11.3B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$0.0233 (bear case) to HK$0.0262 (bull case); at HK$0.0220, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 15% fair-value upside, at 13%, 3639 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF HK$0.9900 HK$1.20 HK$1.52 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$1.04 HK$1.48 HK$2.01 74
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.8100 HK$1.09 HK$1.62 50
All 7 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$0.9700 HK$1.19 HK$1.56 38
5Y Revenue Exit HK$1.04 HK$1.45 HK$2.05 39
10Y Revenue Exit HK$0.9800 HK$1.25 HK$1.53 36
Multiples
EV/Revenue HK$1.19 HK$1.66 HK$2.13 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.8100 HK$1.09 HK$1.62 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$0.9900 HK$1.20 HK$1.52 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$1.04 HK$1.48 HK$2.01 74

Widest divergence: Multiples (HK$1.66) versus Asset-Based (HK$1.09). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Notify me when 3639 reaches fair value

Free. You confirm by email (double opt-in) and can unsubscribe anytime in one click.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$2.1B
Revenue growth (YoY) -35.7%
Net margin -149%
Return on equity -52.6%
Free cash flow HK$312M FY2025
Operating margin -15.8%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) HK$-0.3000
EPS growth (YoY) -93.2%
Net debt HK$11.3B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 43/100

Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 0

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 32
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 75
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 3
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 0
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Yida China Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, develops, operates, and sells residential properties, business parks, and office properties in the People's Republic of China. The company operates through Property Development; Property Investment; Business Park Operation and Management; and Construction, and Decoration and Landscaping segments.

Full company description

Yida China Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, develops, operates, and sells residential properties, business parks, and office properties in the People's Republic of China. The company operates through Property Development; Property Investment; Business Park Operation and Management; and Construction, and Decoration and Landscaping segments. The Property Development segment engages in the development and sale of properties. The Property Investment segment invests in and rents properties. The Business Park Operation and Management segment provides operation and management services to the business park projects owned by the local governments or other independent third parties. The Construction, and Decoration and Landscaping segment engages in the property construction; and provision of interior decoration services to property buyers, as well as landscaping services to property projects. It also develops and sells multifunctional integrated residential community projects. Yida China Holdings Limited was founded in 1988 and is headquartered in Dalian, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Yida China Holdings Ltd reported revenue of HK$2.1B in FY2025 versus HK$5.4B in FY2021, a compound −21.4%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$3.1B in FY2025.

Growth Quality 23/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$2.1B
Latest YoY
−26.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−23.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−16.9%
Avg. growth/yr (14Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−5.2%
Revenue −21.4%/yr
FY21 HK$5.4B
FY22 HK$4.5B
FY23 HK$3.9B
FY24 HK$2.8B
FY25 HK$2.1B
Net income
FY21 HK$2.9M
FY22 −HK$737M
FY23 −HK$1.7B
FY24 −HK$2.3B
FY25 −HK$3.1B

Watch 3639: get an alert when its fair value changes →

Share or link this analysis
For bloggers & editors: embed code + live data

For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Yida China Holdings Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/3639

Peer Group

Real Estate - Development · 591 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 43 · Below median
Fair Value upside −9% · Below median
Return on assets -0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) -149% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -16% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -36% · Below median

Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper

P/FCF 0.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 21 · sector 47
FUTURE 0 · sector 0
PAST 0 · sector 10
HEALTH 100 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 58

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate - Development stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
DLF Limited DLF ₹661.75 ₹146.13 -78%
Lodha Developers Limited LODHA ₹1,209 ₹583.43 -52%
PT Pantai Indah Kapuk Dua Tbk, PANI 6,150 IDR 1,330 IDR -78%
PT Jaya Real Property, Tbk., JRPT 1,080 IDR 1,674 IDR +55%
PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk, BSDE 595.00 IDR 1,488 IDR +150%
PT Sentul City Tbk, BKSL 73.00 IDR 84.16 IDR +15%
PT Ciputra Development Tbk, CTRA 610.00 IDR 1,525 IDR +150%
Khang Dien House Trading and Investment Joint Stock Company KDH 18,150 VND 20,338 VND +12%
PT Duta Pertiwi Tbk DUTI 4,300 IDR 6,239 IDR +45%
PT Puradelta Lestari Tbk DMAS 147.00 IDR 164.33 IDR +12%

Compare Yida China Holdings Ltd with another stock

Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.

Free, no sign-up

Explore undervalued stocks

More undervalued Real Estate stocks →

All undervalued stocks TechnologyFinancial ServicesHealthcareConsumer CyclicalConsumer DefensiveCommunication ServicesIndustrialsEnergyBasic MaterialsReal EstateUtilities Deeply Undervalued StocksUndervalued Blue-Chip StocksUndervalued Small-Cap StocksUndervalued Dividend Stocks

Frequently asked questions

Is Yida China Holdings Ltd (3639) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.0248 versus a price of HK$0.0220, about +13% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 3639?
Our model-based fair value for Yida China Holdings Ltd is HK$0.0248 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.0220.
What is the quality score of 3639?
Yida China Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Yida China Holdings Ltd (3639)?
Yida China Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$2.1B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 3639?
The net profit margin of Yida China Holdings Ltd is about -149.1%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

14 days Pro free · no card

Track Yida China Holdings Ltd and try Pro for 14 days

One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.

Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.