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MISC Berhad (3816) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · MY · Market cap 35.2B MYR

MB MISC Berhad 3816 · KLSE
Price8.16 MYR
Fair Value6.47 MYR
Upside-20.7%
Quality64/100
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Mixed Growth
Solidly profitable · 15.5% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
4.82% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (8/15)
Moderate moat 54/100
Evidence: High Range 4.86 MYR – 8.09 MYR Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 24 days ago

Share price +3.7% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 21% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid but not exceptional quality (64/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • Our model range runs from 4.86 MYR (bear) to 8.09 MYR (bull), base 6.47 MYR. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 64/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

8.60 MYR 5.12 MYR Fair Value 6.47 MYR Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 5.12 MYR – 8.60 MYR · fair‑value band 4.86 MYR – 8.09 MYR · the 8.16 MYR price screens above the 6.47 MYR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

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Analysis

MISC Berhad (3816) currently trades at 8.16 MYR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 6.47 MYR, implying the stock looks roughly 20.7% overvalued today. We read business quality at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, MISC Berhad generated revenue of 11.2B MYR at a net margin of 15.5%. Revenue grew 2.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.9%. Net debt stands at 8.5B MYR. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 4.86 MYR (bear case) to 8.09 MYR (bull case); at 8.16 MYR, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 8% below its 52-week high and 18% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 69% fair-value upside, at -21%, 3816 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 6.52 MYR 9.09 MYR 13.82 MYR 80
Residual Income 5.90 MYR 6.04 MYR 5.87 MYR 76
Rev-Margin DCF 2.81 MYR 4.01 MYR 5.63 MYR 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 6.21 MYR 8.83 MYR 14.11 MYR 38
Owner Earnings 2.74 MYR 4.15 MYR 6.97 MYR 31
5Y Revenue Exit 2.81 MYR 3.84 MYR 5.40 MYR 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 5.19 MYR 7.88 MYR 11.59 MYR 41
5Y P/E Exit 4.62 MYR 6.92 MYR 9.79 MYR 38
10Y Revenue Exit 4.00 MYR 5.07 MYR 6.20 MYR 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 5.52 MYR 7.73 MYR 10.16 MYR 37
10Y P/E Exit 5.18 MYR 7.10 MYR 9.01 MYR 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 2.59 MYR 4.14 MYR 4.99 MYR 54
EPV 0.7400 MYR 1.07 MYR 1.37 MYR 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 3.31 MYR 3.97 MYR 4.70 MYR 70
DDM Multi-Stage 3.31 MYR 4.39 MYR 5.74 MYR 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 5.71 MYR 7.62 MYR 9.52 MYR 63
P/S Multiple 4.68 MYR 6.24 MYR 7.80 MYR 58
P/B Multiple 4.86 MYR 6.47 MYR 8.09 MYR 55
EV/EBIT 1.95 MYR 3.03 MYR 4.10 MYR 53
EV/EBITDA 5.50 MYR 7.76 MYR 10.01 MYR 54
EV/Revenue 0.9000 MYR 1.83 MYR 2.76 MYR 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 3.81 MYR 5.10 MYR 7.62 MYR 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 6.52 MYR 9.09 MYR 13.82 MYR 80
Rev-Margin DCF 2.81 MYR 4.01 MYR 5.63 MYR 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 5.90 MYR 6.04 MYR 5.87 MYR 76
ROIC Compounder 0.7400 MYR 1.07 MYR 1.37 MYR 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 4.04 MYR 5.77 MYR 7.51 MYR 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (6.92 MYR) versus Earnings-Based (1.07 MYR). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 11.2B MYR
Revenue growth (YoY) +2.7%
Net margin 15.5%
Return on equity 4.9%
Free cash flow 3.3B MYR FY2025
P/E ratio 20.2
More key figures
Operating margin 26.5%
EPS (TTM) 0.3900 MYR
Dividend yield 4.8%
EPS growth (YoY) +5.1%
Net debt 8.5B MYR FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 64/100

Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 63

Profitability 30
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 44
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 87
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 55
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 71
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 96
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 45
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 58
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

MISC Berhad engages in ship ownership and operation, other activities related to shipping services, and the operation of offshore floating terminals in Malaysia, the Americas, Asia, Africa, and Europe. It operates through Gas Assets & Solutions, Petroleum & Product Shipping, Offshore Business, Marine & Heavy Engineering, and Others segments.

Full company description

MISC Berhad engages in ship ownership and operation, other activities related to shipping services, and the operation of offshore floating terminals in Malaysia, the Americas, Asia, Africa, and Europe. It operates through Gas Assets & Solutions, Petroleum & Product Shipping, Offshore Business, Marine & Heavy Engineering, and Others segments. The company offers liquefied natural gas (LNG) carrier services, non-conventional gas asset solutions; petroleum tanker, and chemical tanker services. It also owns, leases, operates, and maintains offshore, floating, production and offloading terminals; and owns and operates LNG ships and very large ethane carriers, as well as marginal marine production units, mobile offshore production units, and semi-submersible floating production systems. In addition, the company offers maritime education and training services; port and terminal operation and management; marine transportation services; integrated marine services; and ship management and owing, accounting, commercial management, shipping agent and lightering, crew management, and special purpose vehicle services. Further, it engages in engineering, procurement, construction, installation, and commissioning services for offshore and onshore facilities; marine repair and conversion oil and gas engineering and construction works; ship-owning chartering and operating of vessels; LNG trading activities; supply, operation, and maintenance of LNG floating storage units; development of software and applications; and provision of consultancy, and data processing services. Additionally, the company provides plant turnaround and shutdown maintenance; sea and passenger freight water transportation; professional services to oil and gas industry; marine support and consultancy; and human resource procurement services. MISC Berhad was incorporated in 1968 and is headquartered in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia. MISC Berhad is a subsidiary of Petroliam Nasional Berhad.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

MISC Berhad reported revenue of 11.1B MYR in FY2025 versus 10.7B MYR in FY2021, a compound +1.1%/yr. Reported net income was 1.7B MYR in FY2025, compounding −1.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 56/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
11.1B MYR
Latest YoY
−15.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−7.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+3.5%
Avg. growth/yr (20Y)
+0.2%
Revenue +1.1%/yr
FY21 10.7B MYR
FY22 13.9B MYR
FY23 14.3B MYR
FY24 13.2B MYR
FY25 11.1B MYR
Net income −1.8%/yr
FY21 1.8B MYR
FY22 1.8B MYR
FY23 2.1B MYR
FY24 1.2B MYR
FY25 1.7B MYR

3816 screens 21% overvalued. Compare with Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "MISC Berhad Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/3816

Peer Group

Marine Shipping · 227 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 64 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −21% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 5% · Below median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 15% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 27% · Above median
Revenue growth 3% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.8% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.31× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Marine Shipping median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 20.2× · Pricier than median
P/B 0.25× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.77× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 2.6× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 4.1× · Cheaper than median
PEG 2.81× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 6 · sector 27
FUTURE 14 · sector 18
PAST 20 · sector 26
HEALTH 85 · sector 88
DIVIDEND 96 · sector 47

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Marine Shipping stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited ADANIPORTS ₹1,828 ₹1,041 -43%
A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S MAERSKA kr 16,520 kr 3,033 -82%
COSCO SHIPPING Holdings 601919 ¥13.98 ¥40.37 +189%
Shanghai International Port (Group) Co 600018 ¥5.17 ¥6.57 +27%
HMM Co 011200 20,050 KRW 33,855 KRW +69%
Ningbo Zhoushan Port Company 601018 ¥3.30 ¥5.58 +69%
Qingdao Port International Co 601298 ¥8.07 ¥16.97 +110%
JSW Infrastructure Limited JSWINFRA ₹330.05 ₹126.31 -62%
Wan Hai Lines Ltd 2615 80.70 TWD 212.79 TWD +164%
Wallenius Wilhelmsen ASA WAWI kr 137.70 kr 50.56 -63%

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Frequently asked questions

Is MISC Berhad (3816) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 14, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 6.47 MYR versus a price of 8.16 MYR, about −21% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 3816?
Our model-based fair value for MISC Berhad is 6.47 MYR (as of Jul 14, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 8.16 MYR.
What is the quality score of 3816?
MISC Berhad has a Quality Score of 64/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of MISC Berhad (3816)?
MISC Berhad reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 11.2B MYR (latest available figure, as of Jul 14, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 3816?
The net profit margin of MISC Berhad is about 15.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 15.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does MISC Berhad pay a dividend?
MISC Berhad currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.66% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 14, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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