China Rongzhong Finl Hldg Co (3963) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · HK · Market cap HK$88.6M
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 2 valuation models · updated 3 days ago
Share price −14.1% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 23% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Weak quality (27/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- A fairly wide model range (HK$0.0510 to HK$0.1275) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.0610 – HK$1.02 · fair‑value band HK$0.0510 – HK$0.1275 · the HK$0.1220 price screens above the HK$0.0935 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
China Rongzhong Finl Hldg Co (3963) currently trades at HK$0.1220, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.0935, implying the stock looks roughly 23.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 27/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, China Rongzhong Finl Hldg Co generated revenue of HK$81.2M at a net margin of -12.4%. Revenue declined 8.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -39.2%. Net debt stands at HK$46.5M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.0510 (bear case) to HK$0.1275 (bull case); at HK$0.1220, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 67% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at -23%, 3963 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 2 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (HK$0.1900) versus Asset-Based (HK$0.0100). Highest evidence: EV/EBITDA (54).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 35 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 24
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
China Rongzhong Financial Holdings Company Limited, an investment holding company, provides financial leasing services in China, Hong Kong, and Singapore. The company focuses on financing the needs of SMEs in Hubei province. It also provides financial leasing services in the categories of sales and leaseback and direct financial leasing.
Full company description
China Rongzhong Financial Holdings Company Limited, an investment holding company, provides financial leasing services in China, Hong Kong, and Singapore. The company focuses on financing the needs of SMEs in Hubei province. It also provides financial leasing services in the categories of sales and leaseback and direct financial leasing. In addition, the company offers value- added services, such as due diligence, credit investigation, and debt collection services. Further, it provides money lending, credit management, and operating lease services for motor vehicles. It serves laser processing, plastics, industrial processing, textile and garments, hotel and leisure, and other industries. The company was founded in 2008 and is based in Hong Kong, Hong Kong. China Rongzhong Financial Holdings Company Limited is a subsidiary of Goldbond Group Holdings Limited.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
China Rongzhong Finl Hldg Co reported revenue of HK$85.2M in FY2026 versus HK$35.1M in FY2022, a compound +24.8%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$10.0M in FY2026.
3963 screens 23% overvalued. Compare with Visa Inc →
Peer Group
Credit Services · 333 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Credit Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Credit Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Visa Inc V | $359.42 | $198.27 | -45% |
| Mastercard Incorporated MA | $561.44 | $221.87 | -60% |
| Bajaj Finance Limited BAJFINANCE | ₹1,094 | ₹397.61 | -64% |
| Shriram Finance Limited SHRIRAMFIN | ₹1,117 | ₹553.83 | -50% |
| Cholamandalam Investment and Finance Company CHOLAFIN | ₹1,918 | ₹796.52 | -58% |
| Tata Capital Limited TATACAP | ₹367.05 | ₹149.40 | -59% |
| Power Finance Corporation PFC | ₹376.50 | ₹615.85 | +64% |
| Muthoot Finance Limited MUTHOOTFIN | ₹2,876 | ₹3,429 | +19% |
| Indian Railway Finance Corporation IRFC | ₹88.35 | ₹69.72 | -21% |
| REC Limited RECLTD | ₹346.00 | ₹692.00 | +100% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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