Saudi Automotive Services Company (4050) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · SA · Market cap 2.7B SAR
Fair value as of: Jul 31, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated today
Share price −12.8% over the past month.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (25.26 SAR). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (40/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range 38.40 SAR – 72.70 SAR · fair‑value band 14.04 SAR – 25.26 SAR · the 38.50 SAR price screens above the 20.20 SAR fair value. As of Jul 31, 2026.
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Saudi Automotive Services Company (4050) currently trades at 38.50 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 20.20 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 47.5% overvalued today. We read business quality at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Saudi Automotive Services Company generated revenue of 12.1B SAR at a net margin of 0.3%. Revenue grew 9.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.8%. Net debt stands at 4.4B SAR. Fundamentals as of Jul 31, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 14.04 SAR (bear case) to 25.26 SAR (bull case); at 38.50 SAR, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 48% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -21% fair-value upside, at -48%, 4050 screens richer than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 31, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Saudi Automotive Services Company owns and operates a network of motor vehicle service stations in Saudi Arabia. It operates through Retail and Operations; SASCO Palm; Saudi Club; Transportation Fleet; and Others segments.
Full company description
Saudi Automotive Services Company owns and operates a network of motor vehicle service stations in Saudi Arabia. It operates through Retail and Operations; SASCO Palm; Saudi Club; Transportation Fleet; and Others segments. The company establishes workshops for repairing cars, heavy equipment, and car service stations; engages in local and international car and motorcycle clubs; issues customs traffic documents and international driving licenses; establishes, manages, maintains, and operates motorsports and motorcycle circuits; organizes races and events related to motorsports and motorcycles; transports and distributes water; and transports refrigerated and frozen goods, equipment, liquids and gases, and cars. It also imports and sells foodstuffs, drinks, beverages, and raw materials; operates rest houses, motels, and restaurants; motorcycle fuels, gas stations; washes and lubricates cars and equipment; and imports and sells equipment and tools, motor vehicles, and spare parts. In addition, the company engages in buying, selling, and zoning lands and real estate, off-plan sale activities, managing and renting owned and leased residential and non-residential properties, management activities of properties against commission, and real estate registration services; providing marketing services; temporary employment agencies for domestic and foreign labor services; and constructing roads and bridges. Further, it undertakes contracts for establishment, management, maintenance, and operation of residential and commercial buildings, and road works; catering; and retail of food and beverages, as well as operates fuel station and related activities, hotels, and integrated office administrative service activities. Saudi Automotive Services Company was founded in 1981 and is headquartered in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Saudi Automotive Services Company reported revenue of 11.8B SAR in FY2025 versus 4.1B SAR in FY2021, a compound +30.6%/yr. Reported net income was 64.3M SAR in FY2025, compounding +6.0%/yr from FY2021.
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Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 31, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc ATD | C$83.43 | C$63.81 | -24% |
| Casey's General Stores, Inc CASY | $831.67 | $308.04 | -63% |
| Williams-Sonoma, Inc WSM | $226.14 | $164.16 | -27% |
| Ulta Beauty, Inc ULTA | $467.07 | $370.46 | -21% |
| DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc DKS | $238.57 | $229.41 | -4% |
| Best Buy Co BBY | $76.01 | $94.27 | +24% |
| China Tourism Group 601888 | ¥56.79 | ¥48.19 | -15% |
| Tractor Supply Company TSCO | $29.81 | $35.52 | +19% |
| Murphy USA Inc MUSA | $551.32 | $329.02 | -40% |
| Five Below, Inc FIVE | $193.11 | $117.29 | -39% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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