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Saudi Automotive Services Company (4050) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · SA · Market cap 2.7B SAR

SA Saudi Automotive Services Company 4050 · SR
Price38.50 SAR
Fair Value20.20 SAR
Upside-47.5%
Quality40/100
Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 0.3% net margin
High debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (4/13)
Narrow moat 18/100
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Evidence: High Range 14.04 SAR – 25.26 SAR Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 31, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated today

Share price −12.8% over the past month.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (25.26 SAR). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (40/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

72.70 SAR 38.40 SAR Fair Value 20.20 SAR Aug 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range 38.40 SAR – 72.70 SAR · fair‑value band 14.04 SAR – 25.26 SAR · the 38.50 SAR price screens above the 20.20 SAR fair value. As of Jul 31, 2026.

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Analysis

Saudi Automotive Services Company (4050) currently trades at 38.50 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 20.20 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 47.5% overvalued today. We read business quality at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Saudi Automotive Services Company generated revenue of 12.1B SAR at a net margin of 0.3%. Revenue grew 9.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.8%. Net debt stands at 4.4B SAR. Fundamentals as of Jul 31, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 14.04 SAR (bear case) to 25.26 SAR (bull case); at 38.50 SAR, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 48% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -21% fair-value upside, at -48%, 4050 screens richer than that median.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 12.1B SAR
Revenue growth (YoY) +9.5%
Net margin 0.3%
Return on equity 3.8%
Free cash flow 407M SAR FY2025
P/E ratio 74.3
More key figures
Operating margin 0.8%
EPS (TTM) 0.5200 SAR
EPS growth (YoY) +116%
Net debt 4.4B SAR FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 31, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 40/100
Profitability 36
Quality Growth 61
Cashflow 50
Fin. Strength 12
Investment 88
Low Volatility 78
Momentum 15
52W Momentum 3
Net Issuance 54

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Saudi Automotive Services Company owns and operates a network of motor vehicle service stations in Saudi Arabia. It operates through Retail and Operations; SASCO Palm; Saudi Club; Transportation Fleet; and Others segments.

Full company description

Saudi Automotive Services Company owns and operates a network of motor vehicle service stations in Saudi Arabia. It operates through Retail and Operations; SASCO Palm; Saudi Club; Transportation Fleet; and Others segments. The company establishes workshops for repairing cars, heavy equipment, and car service stations; engages in local and international car and motorcycle clubs; issues customs traffic documents and international driving licenses; establishes, manages, maintains, and operates motorsports and motorcycle circuits; organizes races and events related to motorsports and motorcycles; transports and distributes water; and transports refrigerated and frozen goods, equipment, liquids and gases, and cars. It also imports and sells foodstuffs, drinks, beverages, and raw materials; operates rest houses, motels, and restaurants; motorcycle fuels, gas stations; washes and lubricates cars and equipment; and imports and sells equipment and tools, motor vehicles, and spare parts. In addition, the company engages in buying, selling, and zoning lands and real estate, off-plan sale activities, managing and renting owned and leased residential and non-residential properties, management activities of properties against commission, and real estate registration services; providing marketing services; temporary employment agencies for domestic and foreign labor services; and constructing roads and bridges. Further, it undertakes contracts for establishment, management, maintenance, and operation of residential and commercial buildings, and road works; catering; and retail of food and beverages, as well as operates fuel station and related activities, hotels, and integrated office administrative service activities. Saudi Automotive Services Company was founded in 1981 and is headquartered in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Saudi Automotive Services Company reported revenue of 11.8B SAR in FY2025 versus 4.1B SAR in FY2021, a compound +30.6%/yr. Reported net income was 64.3M SAR in FY2025, compounding +6.0%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue +30.6%/yr
FY21 4.1B SAR
FY22 7.9B SAR
FY23 9.1B SAR
FY24 10.2B SAR
FY25 11.8B SAR
Net income +6.0%/yr
FY21 50.8M SAR
FY22 75.2M SAR
FY23 105M SAR
FY24 44.2M SAR
FY25 64.3M SAR

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Saudi Automotive Services Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/4050

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 / 27
FUTURE 48 / 22
PAST 15 / 25
HEALTH 12 / 94
DIVIDEND 0 / 51

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 31, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc ATD C$83.43 C$63.81 -24%
Casey's General Stores, Inc CASY $831.67 $308.04 -63%
Williams-Sonoma, Inc WSM $226.14 $164.16 -27%
Ulta Beauty, Inc ULTA $467.07 $370.46 -21%
DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc DKS $238.57 $229.41 -4%
Best Buy Co BBY $76.01 $94.27 +24%
China Tourism Group 601888 ¥56.79 ¥48.19 -15%
Tractor Supply Company TSCO $29.81 $35.52 +19%
Murphy USA Inc MUSA $551.32 $329.02 -40%
Five Below, Inc FIVE $193.11 $117.29 -39%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Saudi Automotive Services Company (4050) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 31, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 20.20 SAR versus a price of 38.50 SAR, about −48% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 4050?
Our model-based fair value for Saudi Automotive Services Company is 20.20 SAR (as of Jul 31, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 38.50 SAR.
What is the quality score of 4050?
Saudi Automotive Services Company has a Quality Score of 40/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Saudi Automotive Services Company (4050)?
Saudi Automotive Services Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 12.1B SAR (latest available figure, as of Jul 31, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 4050?
The net profit margin of Saudi Automotive Services Company is about 0.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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