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Tihama for Advertising, Public Relations and Marketing Company (4070) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · SA · Market cap 394M SAR

TF Tihama for Advertising, Public Relations and Marketing Company 4070 · SR
Price17.13 SAR
Fair Value4.88 SAR
Upside-71.5%
Quality33/100
Weak Growth
Loss-making · -159.7% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (3/10)
Narrow moat 0/100
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Evidence: Low Range 4.63 SAR – 5.29 SAR Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 31, 2026

From 4 valuation models · updated today

Share price −5.9% over the past month.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (5.29 SAR). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (33/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • The models converge in a tight band (4.63 SAR to 5.29 SAR), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

29.53 SAR 14.00 SAR Fair Value 4.88 SAR Jul 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range 14.00 SAR – 29.53 SAR · fair‑value band 4.63 SAR – 5.29 SAR · the 17.13 SAR price screens above the 4.88 SAR fair value. As of Jul 31, 2026.

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Analysis

Tihama for Advertising, Public Relations and Marketing Company (4070) currently trades at 17.13 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 4.88 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 71.5% overvalued today. We read business quality at 33/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at 33.1M SAR. Revenue grew 38.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -38.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 56.6M SAR. Fundamentals as of Jul 31, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 4.63 SAR (bear case) to 5.29 SAR (bull case); at 17.13 SAR, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 42% below its 52-week high and 23% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 39% fair-value upside, at -72%, 4070 screens richer than that median.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 33.1M SAR
Revenue growth (YoY) +38.6%
Net margin -160%
Return on equity -38.0%
Free cash flow −85.3M SAR FY2025
Operating margin -62.8%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) -2.56 SAR
EPS growth (YoY) +153%
Net cash 56.6M SAR FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 31, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 33/100
Profitability 5
Quality Growth 54
Cashflow 33
Fin. Strength 67
Investment 33
Low Volatility 75
Momentum 38
52W Momentum 10
Net Issuance 40

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Tihama for Advertising, Public Relations and Marketing Company, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the commercial advertising, public relations, marketing, publishing, and distribution businesses in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. The company offers road advertising services; and stationeries and books.

Full company description

Tihama for Advertising, Public Relations and Marketing Company, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the commercial advertising, public relations, marketing, publishing, and distribution businesses in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. The company offers road advertising services; and stationeries and books. It is also involved in production, trading, and retail activities; media and research businesses; and invests in properties. Tihama for Advertising, Public Relations and Marketing Company was founded in 1974 and is headquartered in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Tihama for Advertising, Public Relations and Marketing Company reported revenue of 66.4M SAR in FY2025 versus 73.3M SAR in FY2021, a compound −2.4%/yr. Reported net income was −11.7M SAR in FY2025.

Revenue −2.4%/yr
FY21 73.3M SAR
FY22 76.4M SAR
FY23 81.9M SAR
FY24 68.1M SAR
FY25 66.4M SAR
Net income
FY21 −72.2M SAR
FY22 −35.5M SAR
FY23 −60.5M SAR
FY24 −56.5M SAR
FY25 −11.7M SAR

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Tihama for Advertising, Public Relations and Marketing Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/4070

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 / 15
FUTURE 100 / 6
PAST 0 / 0
HEALTH 100 / 98
DIVIDEND 0 / 66

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Advertising Agencies stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 31, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
AppLovin Corporation APP $558.87 $316.44 -43%
Publicis Groupe S.A PGPEF $103.00 $167.37 +62%
Omnicom Group OMC $75.22 $147.93 +97%
Focus Media Information Technology Co 002027 ¥5.06 ¥4.08 -19%
The Trade Desk, Inc T2TD34 R$1.02 R$0.9900 -3%
BlueFocus Intelligent Communications Group 300058 ¥16.02 ¥2.28 -86%
JCDecaux SE DEC €19.48 €27.16 +39%
Dentsu Group DNTUY $19.14 $50.01 +161%
CyberAgent, Inc CYGIY $4.16 $6.81 +64%
WPP plc W1PP34 R$19.35 R$25.96 +34%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Tihama for Advertising, Public Relations and Marketing Company (4070) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 31, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 4.88 SAR versus a price of 17.13 SAR, about −72% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 4070?
Our model-based fair value for Tihama for Advertising, Public Relations and Marketing Company is 4.88 SAR (as of Jul 31, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 17.13 SAR.
What is the quality score of 4070?
Tihama for Advertising, Public Relations and Marketing Company has a Quality Score of 33/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Tihama for Advertising, Public Relations and Marketing Company (4070)?
Tihama for Advertising, Public Relations and Marketing Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 33.1M SAR (latest available figure, as of Jul 31, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 4070?
The net profit margin of Tihama for Advertising, Public Relations and Marketing Company is about -159.7%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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