Tihama Advertising&Public Relations (4070) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 29, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Tihama Advertising&Public Relations stock SAR 4.44, price SAR 17.50, upside -74.6%, quality 26 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Oct 28, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 14.00 SAR – 106.08 SAR · fair‑value band 2.93 SAR – 5.56 SAR · the 17.50 SAR price screens above the 4.44 SAR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Oct 28, 2026.
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Tihama for Advertising, Public Relations and Marketing Company, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the commercial advertising, public relations, marketing, publishing, and distribution businesses in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.
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The company offers road advertising services; and stationeries and books. It is also involved in production, trading, and retail activities; media and research businesses; and invests in properties.
Tihama for Advertising, Public Relations and Marketing Company was founded in 1974 and is headquartered in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.
Stock analysis
Tihama Advertising&Public Relations (4070) currently trades at 17.50 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 4.44 SAR, 74.6% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 83/100, which puts the data coverage at low.
Scenario range: 2.93 SAR (bear) to 5.56 SAR (bull), the price of 17.50 SAR sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 26/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Tihama Advertising&Public Relations reported revenue of 33.1M SAR in FY2026 versus 76.4M SAR in FY2022, a compound −18.9%/yr. Reported net income was −52.8M SAR in FY2026.
Key figures
Market cap 401M SAR (≈ $107M) Micro · P/S ratio 12.3 · EPS (TTM) −3.38 SAR · Return on equity −44.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) −17.1% · Operating margin −1,558% · Revenue (TTM) 33.0M SAR · Revenue growth (YoY) −16.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 10 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 36% below its 52-week high and 25% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −75%, 4070 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear2.93 SARFair Value 4.44 SARBull5.56 SAR
Price 17.50 SAR · Upside -74.6%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−50.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−26.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−14.7%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −10.7% a year
Revenue growth 22 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−7.1%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−80.2% (2021) → −89.2% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Advertising Agencies · 185 stocks
Beats the industry median on 0/7 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score26 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−74.6% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−20.4% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months)−176.6% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−16.2% · Bottom 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Advertising Agencies median · lower = cheaper
P/B2.35× · Pricier than median
P/S (12 months)12.17× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 33
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 15
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 7
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 57
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Tihama Advertising&Public Relations (4070) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 28, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 4.44 SAR versus a price of 17.50 SAR, about −75% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 4070?
Our model-based fair value for Tihama Advertising&Public Relations is 4.44 SAR (as of Oct 28, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 17.50 SAR.
What is the quality score of 4070?
Tihama Advertising&Public Relations has a Quality Score of 26/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Tihama Advertising&Public Relations (4070)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 4.44 SAR (as of Oct 28, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario 2.93 SAR, optimistic scenario 5.56 SAR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Tihama Advertising&Public Relations stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 4.44 SAR, about −75% upside versus a price of 17.50 SAR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 2.93 SAR, optimistic scenario 5.56 SAR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Tihama Advertising&Public Relations (4070)?
Tihama Advertising&Public Relations reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 33.0M SAR (latest available figure, as of Oct 28, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Tihama Advertising&Public Relations (4070)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Tihama Advertising&Public Relations it is 4.44 SAR per share (as of Oct 28, 2026), against a price of 17.50 SAR. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Tihama Advertising&Public Relations stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 28, 2026, 4070 trades above its calculated fair value: price 17.50 SAR, fair value 4.44 SAR, a gap of about −75% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 4070?
No. The price is what the market pays today (17.50 SAR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (4.44 SAR). For Tihama Advertising&Public Relations the two are 13.06 SAR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Tihama Advertising&Public Relations worth?
The market values Tihama Advertising&Public Relations at about 401M SAR (market capitalisation, as of Oct 28, 2026). Per share that is 17.50 SAR; our models calculate a fair value of 4.44 SAR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 4070?
Our models span a range for Tihama Advertising&Public Relations: cautious scenario 2.93 SAR, base 4.44 SAR, optimistic 5.56 SAR per share (as of Oct 28, 2026, price 17.50 SAR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Tihama Advertising&Public Relations (4070)?
Balance-sheet figures for Tihama Advertising&Public Relations (as of Oct 28, 2026): return on equity −44.5%. They feed the Quality Score of 26/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 4070 from its 52-week high?
Tihama Advertising&Public Relations trades at 17.50 SAR, about 36% below its 52-week high of 27.45 SAR and 25% above the low of 14.00 SAR (as of Oct 29, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 4.44 SAR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Tihama Advertising&Public Relations?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value AppLovin Corporation, Publicis Groupe S.A, Omnicom Group, Focus Media Information Technology Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Tihama Advertising&Public Relations stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 28, 2026: price 17.50 SAR, calculated fair value 4.44 SAR (−75%), Quality Score 26/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 4070 calculated?
We run Tihama Advertising&Public Relations through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 4.44 SAR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3 % above its aggregate fair value. Tihama Advertising&Public Relations itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Tihama Advertising&Public Relations (4070)?
The closing price on Oct 29, 2026 was 17.50 SAR. Our model-based fair value is 4.44 SAR, about −75% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Tihama Advertising&Public Relations right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (5.56 SAR). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (26/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (2.93 SAR to 5.56 SAR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Tihama Advertising&Public Relations
How large is the market capitalisation of Tihama Advertising&Public Relations (4070)?
The market capitalisation of Tihama Advertising&Public Relations is 401M SAR (≈ $107M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Tihama Advertising&Public Relations (4070)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Tihama Advertising&Public Relations is 12.3 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Tihama Advertising&Public Relations (4070)?
Earnings per share at Tihama Advertising&Public Relations are −3.38 SAR. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Tihama Advertising&Public Relations (4070)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Tihama Advertising&Public Relations is −44.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Tihama Advertising&Public Relations (4070)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Tihama Advertising&Public Relations is −17.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Tihama Advertising&Public Relations (4070)?
The operating margin of Tihama Advertising&Public Relations is −1,558% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Tihama Advertising&Public Relations (4070)?
Revenue at Tihama Advertising&Public Relations is growing −16.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg −26.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Tihama Advertising&Public Relations (4070)?
Earnings per share at Tihama Advertising&Public Relations are growing +153% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Tihama Advertising&Public Relations (4070) generate?
The free cash flow of Tihama Advertising&Public Relations is −33.2M SAR (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Tihama Advertising&Public Relations (4070) hold?
Tihama Advertising&Public Relations holds more cash than debt, 56.6M SAR net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Thin data
Oct 28, 2026