Al Obeikan Glass Company (4145) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 28, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Al Obeikan Glass Company stock SAR 16.50, price SAR 22.16, upside -25.5%, quality 53 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Oct 28, 2026.
How to read this chart
57‑month range 19.51 SAR – 138.13 SAR · fair‑value band 15.06 SAR – 18.74 SAR · the 22.16 SAR price screens above the 16.50 SAR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Oct 28, 2026.
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Al Obeikan Glass Company engages in wholesale and retail sale of chemicals and glass panels in Saudi Arabia and internationally. It operates through Glass panels; Insulated and multi layered glass; and Aluminum casting segments.
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The company also involved in the operation of quarries; and sand and gravel mines, including crushers. In addition, it manufactures and sells float and laminated glass products, as well as insulating glass used in construction. It also provides consultation service.
The company was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Riyadh, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.
Stock analysis
Al Obeikan Glass Company (4145) currently trades at 22.16 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 16.50 SAR, 25.5% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 25.61 SAR per share, and 5 of the 15 models we run sit above the 22.16 SAR price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 7.86 SAR, and 10 of the 15 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: 15.06 SAR (bear) to 18.74 SAR (bull), the price of 22.16 SAR sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Al Obeikan Glass Company reported revenue of 355M SAR in FY2025 versus 463M SAR in FY2021, a compound −6.5%/yr. Reported net income was 63.2M SAR in FY2025, compounding −22.3%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 709M SAR (≈ $189M) Micro · P/E ratio 10.5 · P/S ratio 1.88 · EPS (TTM) 2.11 SAR · Net margin 18.6% · Return on equity 10.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 14.4% · Operating margin −2.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 44 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 33% below its 52-week high and 14% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −24% fair-value upside, at −26%, 4145 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear15.06 SARFair Value 16.50 SARBull18.74 SAR
Price 22.16 SAR · Upside -25.5%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (1.75 SAR per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.25/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+8.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−10.9%
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−18.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−18.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2021 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.40% → 18%
Compare Al Obeikan Glass Company with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Building Products & Equipment · 259 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score53 · Below median
Fair Value upside−25.5% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)10.6% · Above median
Return on assets6.6% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months)18.6% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months)−2.9% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)14.5% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months)0.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.06× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Building Products & Equipment median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)10.5× · Cheapest 25%
P/B1.24× · Cheaper than median
P/S (12 months)1.88× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA6.1× · Cheaper than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 15
FUTURE (revenue growth)73· sector 20
PAST (return on equity)42· sector 24
HEALTH (low debt)97· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 45
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Al Obeikan Glass Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/4145
Frequently asked questions
Is Al Obeikan Glass Company (4145) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 28, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 16.50 SAR versus a price of 22.16 SAR, about −26% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 4145?
Our model-based fair value for Al Obeikan Glass Company is 16.50 SAR (as of Oct 28, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 22.16 SAR.
What is the quality score of 4145?
Al Obeikan Glass Company has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Al Obeikan Glass Company (4145)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 16.50 SAR (as of Oct 28, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario 15.06 SAR, optimistic scenario 18.74 SAR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Al Obeikan Glass Company stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 16.50 SAR, about −26% upside versus a price of 22.16 SAR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 15.06 SAR, optimistic scenario 18.74 SAR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Al Obeikan Glass Company (4145)?
Al Obeikan Glass Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 377M SAR (latest available figure, as of Oct 28, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Al Obeikan Glass Company (4145)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Al Obeikan Glass Company it is 16.50 SAR per share (as of Oct 28, 2026), against a price of 22.16 SAR. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Al Obeikan Glass Company stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 28, 2026, 4145 trades above its calculated fair value: price 22.16 SAR, fair value 16.50 SAR, a gap of about −26% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 4145?
No. The price is what the market pays today (22.16 SAR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (16.50 SAR). For Al Obeikan Glass Company the two are 5.66 SAR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Al Obeikan Glass Company worth?
The market values Al Obeikan Glass Company at about 709M SAR (market capitalisation, as of Oct 28, 2026). Per share that is 22.16 SAR; our models calculate a fair value of 16.50 SAR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 4145?
Our models span a range for Al Obeikan Glass Company: cautious scenario 15.06 SAR, base 16.50 SAR, optimistic 18.74 SAR per share (as of Oct 28, 2026, price 22.16 SAR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 4145?
Al Obeikan Glass Company trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 10.5 (as of Oct 28, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 16.50 SAR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.2, P/S 1.9, EV/EBITDA 6.1.
How solid is the balance sheet of Al Obeikan Glass Company (4145)?
Balance-sheet figures for Al Obeikan Glass Company (as of Oct 28, 2026): return on equity 10.6%, debt of 0.06 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 53/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 4145 from its 52-week high?
Al Obeikan Glass Company trades at 22.16 SAR, about 33% below its 52-week high of 33.26 SAR and 14% above the low of 19.51 SAR (as of Oct 28, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 16.50 SAR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Al Obeikan Glass Company?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Trane Technologies plc, Johnson Controls International plc, Carrier Global Corporation, Compagnie de Saint-Gobain S.A, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Al Obeikan Glass Company stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 28, 2026: price 22.16 SAR, calculated fair value 16.50 SAR (−26%), Quality Score 53/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 4145 calculated?
We run Al Obeikan Glass Company through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 16.50 SAR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.4 % above its aggregate fair value. Al Obeikan Glass Company itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Al Obeikan Glass Company (4145)?
The closing price on Oct 28, 2026 was 22.16 SAR. Our model-based fair value is 16.50 SAR, about −26% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Al Obeikan Glass Company right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (18.74 SAR). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (53/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of Al Obeikan Glass Company
How large is the market capitalisation of Al Obeikan Glass Company (4145)?
The market capitalisation of Al Obeikan Glass Company is 709M SAR (≈ $189M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Al Obeikan Glass Company (4145)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Al Obeikan Glass Company is 1.88 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Al Obeikan Glass Company (4145)?
Earnings per share at Al Obeikan Glass Company are 2.11 SAR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 10.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Al Obeikan Glass Company (4145)?
The net margin of Al Obeikan Glass Company is 18.6% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Al Obeikan Glass Company (4145)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Al Obeikan Glass Company is 10.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Al Obeikan Glass Company (4145)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Al Obeikan Glass Company is 14.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Al Obeikan Glass Company (4145)?
The operating margin of Al Obeikan Glass Company is −2.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Al Obeikan Glass Company (4145)?
Revenue at Al Obeikan Glass Company is growing +14.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg −10.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Al Obeikan Glass Company (4145)?
Earnings per share at Al Obeikan Glass Company are growing +85.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Al Obeikan Glass Company (4145) generate?
The free cash flow of Al Obeikan Glass Company is −11.8M SAR (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Al Obeikan Glass Company (4145) carry?
The net debt of Al Obeikan Glass Company is 137M SAR (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Oct 28, 2026