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Al Obeikan Glass Company (4145) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Al Obeikan Glass Company is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Industrials · SA

AO Some data Sep 13, 2026

Al Obeikan Glass Company

4145 · SR

Weak valuationQuality is weak on top of the rich price.

!Fair value 16.20 SAR · Overvalued (−34%)
!Quality 50/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 3y −10.9 %/yr)
✓Solidly profitable · 16.3% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
✓Ranks above peers (9/13)
!Moderate moat 45/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

77.70 SAR 22.81 SAR Fair Value 16.20 SAR Feb 2022 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

55‑month range 22.81 SAR – 77.70 SAR · fair‑value band 14.78 SAR – 20.67 SAR · the 24.68 SAR price screens above the 16.20 SAR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

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Company profile

Al Obeikan Glass Company engages in wholesale and retail sale of chemicals and glass panels in Saudi Arabia and internationally. It operates through Glass panels; Insulated and multi layered glass; and Aluminum casting segments. The company also involved in the operation of quarries; and sand and gravel mines, including crushers.

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Al Obeikan Glass Company engages in wholesale and retail sale of chemicals and glass panels in Saudi Arabia and internationally. It operates through Glass panels; Insulated and multi layered glass; and Aluminum casting segments. The company also involved in the operation of quarries; and sand and gravel mines, including crushers. In addition, it manufactures and sells float and laminated glass products, as well as insulating glass used in construction. It also provides consultation service. The company was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Riyadh, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.

Stock analysis

Al Obeikan Glass Company (4145) currently trades at 24.68 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 16.20 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 52.3% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 28.98 SAR per share, and 5 of the 13 models we run sit above the 24.68 SAR price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 11.93 SAR, and 8 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: 14.78 SAR (bear) to 20.67 SAR (bull), the price of 24.68 SAR sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Al Obeikan Glass Company reported revenue of 355M SAR in FY2025 versus 463M SAR in FY2021, a compound −6.5%/yr. Reported net income was 63.2M SAR in FY2025, compounding −22.3%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 790M SAR (≈ $210M) · P/E ratio 12.5 · P/S ratio 2.23 · EPS (TTM) 1.97 SAR · Net margin 17.8% · Return on equity 9.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 14.4% · Operating margin 4.3%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 45 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 36% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −35% fair-value upside, at −34%, 4145 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 14.78 SAR Fair Value 16.20 SAR Bull 20.67 SAR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 8 months old). Earnings retained since then (1.39 SAR per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Owner Earnings 17.22 SAR 22.29 SAR 30.80 SAR 74
EPV 15.15 SAR 17.15 SAR 18.81 SAR 74
Residual Income 15.14 SAR 16.75 SAR 23.36 SAR 73
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings 17.22 SAR 22.29 SAR 30.80 SAR 74
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 13.42 SAR 16.40 SAR 18.45 SAR 65
EPV 15.15 SAR 17.15 SAR 18.81 SAR 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple 25.16 SAR 33.55 SAR 41.94 SAR 63
P/S Multiple 12.47 SAR 16.63 SAR 20.78 SAR 58
P/B Multiple 25.16 SAR 33.55 SAR 41.94 SAR 55
EV/EBIT 21.86 SAR 28.98 SAR 36.09 SAR 66
EV/EBITDA 27.26 SAR 36.18 SAR 45.10 SAR 67
EV/Revenue 12.15 SAR 17.14 SAR 22.12 SAR 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 8.90 SAR 11.93 SAR 17.81 SAR 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income 15.14 SAR 16.75 SAR 23.36 SAR 73
ROIC Compounder 15.15 SAR 17.15 SAR 19.06 SAR 69
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 17.93 SAR 25.61 SAR 33.29 SAR 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 50/100

Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 48

Profitability 43
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 43
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 13
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 69
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 56
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 80
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 42
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 23
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 25/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+8.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−10.9%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−18.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−18.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2021 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.40% → 18%

4145 screens 52% overvalued. Compare with Trane Technologies plc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Building Products & Equipment · 250 stocks

Beats the industry median on 10/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 50 · Below median
Fair Value upside +17% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 9% · Above median
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 16% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 4% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 11% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.06× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Building Products & Equipment median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 12.5× · Cheapest 25%
P/B 0.36× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.57× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 1.6× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 5
FUTURE (revenue growth)56 · sector 11
PAST (return on equity)36 · sector 22
HEALTH (low debt)97 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 40

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Building Products & Equipment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Trane Technologies plc TT $442.52 $208.50 −53%
Johnson Controls International plc JCI $146.01 $38.59 −74%
Carrier Global Corporation CARR $57.46 $16.85 −71%
Compagnie de Saint-Gobain S.A SGO €71.52 €93.50 +31%
Geberit AG GEBN CHF 546.40 CHF 297.73 −46%
Lennox International Inc LII $366.04 $294.98 −19%
Madison Air Solutions Corporation MAIR $25.21 $15.34 −39%
Kingspan Group KRX €102.50 €66.79 −35%
Masco Corporation MAS $68.52 $53.22 −22%
Carlisle Companies Incorporated CSL $335.24 $340.70 +2%

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Al Obeikan Glass Company · Fair Value
16.20 SAR −52%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Al Obeikan Glass Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/4145

Frequently asked questions

Is Al Obeikan Glass Company (4145) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 16.20 SAR versus a price of 24.68 SAR, about −34% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 4145?
Our model-based fair value for Al Obeikan Glass Company is 16.20 SAR (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 24.68 SAR.
What is the quality score of 4145?
Al Obeikan Glass Company has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Al Obeikan Glass Company (4145)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 16.20 SAR (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario 14.78 SAR, optimistic scenario 20.67 SAR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Al Obeikan Glass Company stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 16.20 SAR, about −34% upside versus a price of 24.68 SAR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 14.78 SAR, optimistic scenario 20.67 SAR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Al Obeikan Glass Company (4145)?
Al Obeikan Glass Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 364M SAR (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Al Obeikan Glass Company (4145)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Al Obeikan Glass Company it is 16.20 SAR per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of 24.68 SAR. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Al Obeikan Glass Company stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, 4145 trades above its calculated fair value: price 24.68 SAR, fair value 16.20 SAR, a gap of about −34% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 4145?
No. The price is what the market pays today (24.68 SAR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (16.20 SAR). For Al Obeikan Glass Company the two are 8.48 SAR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Al Obeikan Glass Company worth?
The market values Al Obeikan Glass Company at about 790M SAR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is 24.68 SAR; our models calculate a fair value of 16.20 SAR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 4145?
Our models span a range for Al Obeikan Glass Company: cautious scenario 14.78 SAR, base 16.20 SAR, optimistic 20.67 SAR per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price 24.68 SAR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 4145?
Al Obeikan Glass Company trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 12.5 (as of Sep 13, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 16.20 SAR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.4, P/S 0.6, EV/EBITDA 1.6.
How solid is the balance sheet of Al Obeikan Glass Company (4145)?
Balance-sheet figures for Al Obeikan Glass Company (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity 9.0%, debt of 0.06 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 50/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 4145 from its 52-week high?
Al Obeikan Glass Company trades at 24.68 SAR, about 36% below its 52-week high of 38.44 SAR and 9% above the low of 22.70 SAR (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 16.20 SAR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Al Obeikan Glass Company?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Trane Technologies plc, Johnson Controls International plc, Carrier Global Corporation, Compagnie de Saint-Gobain S.A, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Al Obeikan Glass Company stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price 24.68 SAR, calculated fair value 16.20 SAR (−34%), Quality Score 50/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 4145 calculated?
We run Al Obeikan Glass Company through 13 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 16.20 SAR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.8 % above its aggregate fair value. Al Obeikan Glass Company itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What should I pay attention to with Al Obeikan Glass Company right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (20.67 SAR). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (50/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Key figures of Al Obeikan Glass Company

How large is the market capitalisation of Al Obeikan Glass Company (4145)?
The market capitalisation of Al Obeikan Glass Company is 790M SAR (≈ $210M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Al Obeikan Glass Company (4145)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Al Obeikan Glass Company is 2.23 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Al Obeikan Glass Company (4145)?
Earnings per share at Al Obeikan Glass Company are 1.97 SAR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 12.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Al Obeikan Glass Company (4145)?
The net margin of Al Obeikan Glass Company is 17.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Al Obeikan Glass Company (4145)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Al Obeikan Glass Company is 9.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Al Obeikan Glass Company (4145)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Al Obeikan Glass Company is 14.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Al Obeikan Glass Company (4145)?
The operating margin of Al Obeikan Glass Company is 4.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Al Obeikan Glass Company (4145)?
Revenue at Al Obeikan Glass Company is growing +11.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg −10.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Al Obeikan Glass Company (4145)?
Earnings per share at Al Obeikan Glass Company are growing −62.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Al Obeikan Glass Company (4145) generate?
The free cash flow of Al Obeikan Glass Company is −11.8M SAR (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Al Obeikan Glass Company (4145) carry?
The net debt of Al Obeikan Glass Company is 137M SAR (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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