Jarir Marketing Company (4190) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · SA · Market cap 19.8B SAR
Fair value as of: Jul 31, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated today
Share price −0.8% over the past month.
What matters now
- A high-quality business (quality 81/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
- A fairly wide model range (8.71 SAR to 18.54 SAR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range 11.21 SAR – 18.10 SAR · fair‑value band 8.71 SAR – 18.54 SAR · the 16.62 SAR price screens above the 11.75 SAR fair value. As of Jul 31, 2026.
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Jarir Marketing Company (4190) currently trades at 16.62 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 11.75 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 29.3% overvalued today. We read business quality at 81/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Jarir Marketing Company generated revenue of 11.7B SAR at a net margin of 9.2%. Revenue grew 14.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 64.1%. Net debt stands at 473M SAR. Fundamentals as of Jul 31, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 8.71 SAR (bear case) to 18.54 SAR (bull case); at 16.62 SAR, the current price sits within that range. The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high and 43% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -23% fair-value upside, at -29%, 4190 screens richer than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 31, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Jarir Marketing Company, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the retail and wholesale trading of office and school supplies in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, Egypt, and other Gulf countries. It operates through in three segments: Retail Outlets, Wholesale, and E-commerce.
Full company description
Jarir Marketing Company, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the retail and wholesale trading of office and school supplies in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, Egypt, and other Gulf countries. It operates through in three segments: Retail Outlets, Wholesale, and E-commerce. The company is involved in the sale of office supplies, school supplies, books, computers and peripherals, computer supplies, smartphones and accessories, electronics, art and craft supplies, video games, smart TV's, and kids' development products, as well as provision of after-sale services Jarir bookstore brand. It also purchases residential and commercial buildings; and acquires land and constructs buildings for sale or lease purposes. The company also sell its products online through website. The company was founded in 1974 and is headquartered in Riyadh, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Jarir Marketing Company reported revenue of 11.4B SAR in FY2025 versus 9.1B SAR in FY2021, a compound +5.7%/yr. Reported net income was 1.0B SAR in FY2025, compounding +1.4%/yr from FY2021.
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Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 31, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc ATD | C$82.26 | C$61.82 | -25% |
| Casey's General Stores, Inc CASY | $761.57 | $222.50 | -71% |
| Williams-Sonoma, Inc WSM | $226.06 | $164.16 | -27% |
| Ulta Beauty, Inc ULTA | $470.75 | $475.40 | +1% |
| DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc DKS | $217.60 | $313.58 | +44% |
| Best Buy Co BBY | $70.99 | $84.30 | +19% |
| China Tourism Group 601888 | ¥57.20 | ¥40.60 | -29% |
| Tractor Supply Company TSCO | $29.78 | $23.87 | -20% |
| Murphy USA Inc MUSA | $546.51 | $228.99 | -58% |
| Five Below, Inc FIVE | $192.17 | $148.51 | -23% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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