Abdullah Saad Mohammed Abo Moati Stationeries Co (4191) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 29, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Abdullah Saad Mohammed Abo Moati Stationeries Co stock SAR 22.13, price SAR 27.60, upside -19.8%, quality 69 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Keep an eye on it?Free in your watchlist: 5 stocks without an account, 10 with oneYes, for free
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Oct 28, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 13.48 SAR – 51.13 SAR · fair‑value band 17.55 SAR – 26.57 SAR · the 27.60 SAR price screens above the 22.13 SAR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Oct 28, 2026.
Follow Abdullah Saad Mohammed Abo Moati Stationeries Co in your weekly email
Every Wednesday you see whether Abdullah Saad Mohammed Abo Moati Stationeries Co is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.
We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.
Abdullah Saad Mohammed Abo Moati for Bookstores Company engages in the retail and wholesale trading of stationery, computers, and other accessories in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.
Show moreShow less
The company is involved in the wholesale trading of office supplies, leather products and travel accessories made of leather or leather substitutes, bags, home furniture and furniture, office stationery, wooden, cork and plastic products, children's toys, computers and their accessories, and office furniture.
It also engages in the retail of computers and their accessories, stationery and office tools, newspapers, magazines, libraries, and art supplies for drawing, as well as accessories and clothing accessories, such as gloves, ties, suspenders, prayer beads, and umbrellas.
In addition, the company is involved retail sale of stationery, office supplies, newspapers, and magazines through bookstores. Further, it engages in the sale of printers and inks, as well as the leasing of buildings for commercial and residential purposes.
Abdullah Saad Mohammed Abo Moati for Bookstores Company was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in Riyadh, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.
Stock analysis
Abdullah Saad Mohammed Abo Moati Stationeries Co (4191) currently trades at 27.60 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 22.13 SAR, 19.8% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 24.28 SAR per share, and 1 of the 24 models we run sit above the 27.60 SAR price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 2.91 SAR, and 23 of the 24 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: 17.55 SAR (bear) to 26.57 SAR (bull), the price of 27.60 SAR sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 69/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Abdullah Saad Mohammed Abo Moati Stationeries Co reported revenue of 260M SAR in FY2026 versus 282M SAR in FY2022, a compound −2.1%/yr. Reported net income was 24.6M SAR in FY2026, compounding +13.0%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap 552M SAR (≈ $147M) Micro · P/E ratio 23.6 · P/S ratio 2.16 · EPS (TTM) 1.17 SAR · Dividend yield 3.4% · Net margin 9.2% · Return on equity 9.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 9.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 45% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −4% fair-value upside, at −20%, 4191 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear17.55 SARFair Value 22.13 SARBull26.57 SAR
Price 27.60 SAR · Upside -19.8%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 7 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.6796 SAR per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−2.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−6.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.3%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −5.1% a year
Revenue growth 11 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−5.9%
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
’26
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+15.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+12.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.4%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.12.1% vs 2.0%, picking up
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.4% → 12%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2021 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 5.4%/yr over ~9Y (margins intact) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+9.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Saudi Arabia: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.7% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +7.6% a year for the price.
Compare Abdullah Saad Mohammed Abo Moati Stationeries Co with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Retail · 207 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score69 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−19.8% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)9.4% · Above median
Return on assets7.2% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months)9.2% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months)10.6% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−6.8% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)3.4% · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Retail median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Abdullah Saad Mohammed Abo Moati Stationeries Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/4191
Frequently asked questions
Is Abdullah Saad Mohammed Abo Moati Stationeries Co (4191) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 28, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 22.13 SAR versus a price of 27.60 SAR, about −20% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 4191?
Our model-based fair value for Abdullah Saad Mohammed Abo Moati Stationeries Co is 22.13 SAR (as of Oct 28, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 27.60 SAR.
What is the quality score of 4191?
Abdullah Saad Mohammed Abo Moati Stationeries Co has a Quality Score of 69/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Abdullah Saad Mohammed Abo Moati Stationeries Co (4191)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 22.13 SAR (as of Oct 28, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario 17.55 SAR, optimistic scenario 26.57 SAR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Abdullah Saad Mohammed Abo Moati Stationeries Co stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 22.13 SAR, about −20% upside versus a price of 27.60 SAR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 17.55 SAR, optimistic scenario 26.57 SAR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Abdullah Saad Mohammed Abo Moati Stationeries Co (4191)?
Abdullah Saad Mohammed Abo Moati Stationeries Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 256M SAR (latest available figure, as of Oct 28, 2026).
Does Abdullah Saad Mohammed Abo Moati Stationeries Co pay a dividend?
Abdullah Saad Mohammed Abo Moati Stationeries Co currently shows a dividend yield of 3.45% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 28, 2026).
What growth is priced into Abdullah Saad Mohammed Abo Moati Stationeries Co (4191)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Abdullah Saad Mohammed Abo Moati Stationeries Co would have to grow free cash flow by +9.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +2.3 % per year. As of Oct 28, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 4191 use?
Our models discount Abdullah Saad Mohammed Abo Moati Stationeries Co at 11.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.34, country premium for Saudi Arabia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Abdullah Saad Mohammed Abo Moati Stationeries Co that is +9.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Abdullah Saad Mohammed Abo Moati Stationeries Co (4191) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Abdullah Saad Mohammed Abo Moati Stationeries Co grew +2.3 % a year. The price currently implies +9.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Abdullah Saad Mohammed Abo Moati Stationeries Co (4191) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Abdullah Saad Mohammed Abo Moati Stationeries Co (+9.8 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Abdullah Saad Mohammed Abo Moati Stationeries Co (4191)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 6.97 %: that much free cash flow Abdullah Saad Mohammed Abo Moati Stationeries Co produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Abdullah Saad Mohammed Abo Moati Stationeries Co (4191)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Abdullah Saad Mohammed Abo Moati Stationeries Co it is 22.13 SAR per share (as of Oct 28, 2026), against a price of 27.60 SAR. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Abdullah Saad Mohammed Abo Moati Stationeries Co stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 28, 2026, 4191 trades above its calculated fair value: price 27.60 SAR, fair value 22.13 SAR, a gap of about −20% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 4191?
No. The price is what the market pays today (27.60 SAR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (22.13 SAR). For Abdullah Saad Mohammed Abo Moati Stationeries Co the two are 5.47 SAR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Abdullah Saad Mohammed Abo Moati Stationeries Co worth?
The market values Abdullah Saad Mohammed Abo Moati Stationeries Co at about 552M SAR (market capitalisation, as of Oct 28, 2026). Per share that is 27.60 SAR; our models calculate a fair value of 22.13 SAR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 4191?
Our models span a range for Abdullah Saad Mohammed Abo Moati Stationeries Co: cautious scenario 17.55 SAR, base 22.13 SAR, optimistic 26.57 SAR per share (as of Oct 28, 2026, price 27.60 SAR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 4191?
Abdullah Saad Mohammed Abo Moati Stationeries Co trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 23.6 (as of Oct 28, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 22.13 SAR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.3, P/S 2.2, EV/EBITDA 15.6.
How solid is the balance sheet of Abdullah Saad Mohammed Abo Moati Stationeries Co (4191)?
Balance-sheet figures for Abdullah Saad Mohammed Abo Moati Stationeries Co (as of Oct 28, 2026): return on equity 9.4%. They feed the Quality Score of 69/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 4191 from its 52-week high?
Abdullah Saad Mohammed Abo Moati Stationeries Co trades at 27.60 SAR, about 45% below its 52-week high of 50.00 SAR and 10% above the low of 25.00 SAR (as of Oct 29, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 22.13 SAR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Abdullah Saad Mohammed Abo Moati Stationeries Co?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc, Williams-Sonoma, Inc, Ulta Beauty, Inc, Casey's General Stores, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Abdullah Saad Mohammed Abo Moati Stationeries Co stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 28, 2026: price 27.60 SAR, calculated fair value 22.13 SAR (−20%), Quality Score 69/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 4191 calculated?
We run Abdullah Saad Mohammed Abo Moati Stationeries Co through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 22.13 SAR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.4 % above its aggregate fair value. Abdullah Saad Mohammed Abo Moati Stationeries Co itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Abdullah Saad Mohammed Abo Moati Stationeries Co (4191)?
The closing price on Oct 29, 2026 was 27.60 SAR. Our model-based fair value is 22.13 SAR, about −20% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Abdullah Saad Mohammed Abo Moati Stationeries Co right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (26.57 SAR). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (69/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of Abdullah Saad Mohammed Abo Moati Stationeries Co
How large is the market capitalisation of Abdullah Saad Mohammed Abo Moati Stationeries Co (4191)?
The market capitalisation of Abdullah Saad Mohammed Abo Moati Stationeries Co is 552M SAR (≈ $147M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Abdullah Saad Mohammed Abo Moati Stationeries Co (4191)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Abdullah Saad Mohammed Abo Moati Stationeries Co is 2.16 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Abdullah Saad Mohammed Abo Moati Stationeries Co (4191)?
Earnings per share at Abdullah Saad Mohammed Abo Moati Stationeries Co are 1.17 SAR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 23.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Abdullah Saad Mohammed Abo Moati Stationeries Co (4191)?
The dividend yield of Abdullah Saad Mohammed Abo Moati Stationeries Co is 3.4% (payout 81.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Abdullah Saad Mohammed Abo Moati Stationeries Co (4191)?
The net margin of Abdullah Saad Mohammed Abo Moati Stationeries Co is 9.2% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Abdullah Saad Mohammed Abo Moati Stationeries Co (4191)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Abdullah Saad Mohammed Abo Moati Stationeries Co is 9.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Abdullah Saad Mohammed Abo Moati Stationeries Co (4191)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Abdullah Saad Mohammed Abo Moati Stationeries Co is 9.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Abdullah Saad Mohammed Abo Moati Stationeries Co (4191)?
The operating margin of Abdullah Saad Mohammed Abo Moati Stationeries Co is 10.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Abdullah Saad Mohammed Abo Moati Stationeries Co (4191)?
Revenue at Abdullah Saad Mohammed Abo Moati Stationeries Co is growing −6.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg −6.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Abdullah Saad Mohammed Abo Moati Stationeries Co (4191)?
Earnings per share at Abdullah Saad Mohammed Abo Moati Stationeries Co are growing −22.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Abdullah Saad Mohammed Abo Moati Stationeries Co (4191) carry?
The net debt of Abdullah Saad Mohammed Abo Moati Stationeries Co is 33.2M SAR (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 0.9 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
Free · no account needed
Watch Abdullah Saad Mohammed Abo Moati Stationeries Co in the live analysis
One click puts Abdullah Saad Mohammed Abo Moati Stationeries Co on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 28,000+ stock screener.
Broad data
Oct 28, 2026