Taiwan Fructose Co (4207) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · TW · Market cap 4.0B TWD
Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026
From 23 valuation models · updated 20 days ago
Share price +1.0% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 84% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (24.08 TWD). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (62/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- A fairly wide model range (24.08 TWD to 46.19 TWD) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 7.54 TWD – 20.05 TWD · fair‑value band 24.08 TWD – 46.19 TWD · the 20.05 TWD price screens below the 36.95 TWD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
Analysis
Taiwan Fructose Co (4207) currently trades at 20.05 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 36.95 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 84.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Taiwan Fructose Co generated revenue of 5.2B TWD at a net margin of 7.5%. Revenue grew 2.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.4%. Net debt stands at 881M TWD. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 24.08 TWD (bear case) to 46.19 TWD (bull case); at 20.05 TWD, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 37% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at 84%, 4207 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 23 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (36.81 TWD) versus Asset-Based (9.94 TWD). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 61 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 79
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Taiwan Fructose Co., Ltd. engages in the manufacturing and processing of fructose, maltose, glucose, and starch in Taiwan.
Full company description
Taiwan Fructose Co., Ltd. engages in the manufacturing and processing of fructose, maltose, glucose, and starch in Taiwan. The company offers fructose products used for soft drinks, juices, tea beverages, sports drinks, energy drinks, flavored milk, yogurt drinks, lac fermentum, ice creams, popsicles, ice cream bars, jellies and puddings, breads and cakes, and soy sauce and health food products applications; and maltose products for candy, iced products, jams, jelly, sachima, bean fillings, chewing gums, peanut candy, and candied fruits applications. It also provides oligosaccharide used for lactic acid beverages, sports drinks, low fat milk, iced products, candies, jams, and desserts applications; maltodextrine used in candies, iced products, bakery, biscuits, and desserts applications; and non-dairy creamers for coffee, milk tea, 3in1 instant drink, bakery, and food processing applications. In addition, the company offers sorbitol and dextrose used for food, fillings, toothpaste, cleaning and makeup products, and interface activators, as well as for candy, beverage, bakery, and candied fruit applications. Further, it engages in the trading of tinplate products. Taiwan Fructose Co., Ltd. was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in Taoyuan City, Taiwan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Taiwan Fructose Co reported revenue of 5.2B TWD in FY2025 versus 4.4B TWD in FY2021, a compound +4.2%/yr. Reported net income was 349M TWD in FY2025, compounding −1.0%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Confectioners · 75 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Confectioners median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Confectioners stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Sprüngli AG LISN | CHF 96,500 | CHF 9,874 | -90% |
| Mondelez International, Inc MDLZ | $61.00 | $27.68 | -55% |
| The Hershey Company HSY | $170.27 | $91.25 | -46% |
| Barry Callebaut AG BARN | CHF 1,100 | CHF 711.91 | -35% |
| ORION Corp 271560 | 127,100 KRW | 203,315 KRW | +60% |
| Tootsie Roll Industries, Inc TROLB | $39.50 | $21.81 | -45% |
| Guangxi Yuegui Guangye Holdings 000833 | ¥18.81 | ¥9.83 | -48% |
| Cloetta AB CLAB | kr 48.88 | kr 59.12 | +21% |
| Balrampur Chini Mills Limited BALRAMCHIN | ₹586.20 | ₹304.54 | -48% |
| PT Yupi Indo Jelly Gum Tbk YUPI | 1,320 IDR | 1,286 IDR | -3% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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