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Yem Chio Co (4306) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · TW · Market cap 9.6B TWD

YC Yem Chio Co 4306 · TW
Price14.40 TWD
Fair Value8.07 TWD
Upside-43.9%
Quality19/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 1.8% net margin
Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
4.81% dividend yield
Trails peers (4/13)
Narrow moat 25/100
Evidence: Medium Range 6.04 TWD – 10.09 TWD Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 23, 2026

From 12 valuation models · updated 18 days ago

Share price −2.7% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 44% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (10.09 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (19/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

22.75 TWD 11.34 TWD Fair Value 8.07 TWD Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 11.34 TWD – 22.75 TWD · fair‑value band 6.04 TWD – 10.09 TWD · the 14.40 TWD price screens above the 8.07 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 23, 2026.

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Analysis

Yem Chio Co (4306) currently trades at 14.40 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 8.07 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 43.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 19/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Yem Chio Co generated revenue of 13.5B TWD at a net margin of 1.8%. Revenue grew 9.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.7%. Net debt stands at 17.6B TWD. Fundamentals as of Jul 23, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 6.04 TWD (bear case) to 10.09 TWD (bull case); at 14.40 TWD, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 12% below its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -58% fair-value upside, at -44%, 4306 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income 13.34 TWD 12.63 TWD 9.32 TWD 76
Gordon GGM 8.86 TWD 12.54 TWD 16.22 TWD 70
Growth-Adj P/E 2.99 TWD 4.27 TWD 5.55 TWD 68
All 12 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 1.78 TWD 3.57 TWD 4.49 TWD 54
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 8.86 TWD 12.54 TWD 16.22 TWD 70
DDM Multi-Stage 8.86 TWD 12.28 TWD 16.10 TWD 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 4.12 TWD 5.49 TWD 6.86 TWD 63
P/S Multiple 3.33 TWD 4.45 TWD 5.56 TWD 58
P/B Multiple 3.33 TWD 4.45 TWD 5.56 TWD 55
EV/EBIT 0.8200 TWD 4.13 TWD 7.44 TWD 53
EV/EBITDA 6.43 TWD 11.62 TWD 16.81 TWD 54
EV/Revenue 1.01 TWD 4.05 TWD 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 9.75 TWD 13.06 TWD 19.49 TWD 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income 13.34 TWD 12.63 TWD 9.32 TWD 76
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 2.99 TWD 4.27 TWD 5.55 TWD 68

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (13.06 TWD) versus Earnings-Based (3.57 TWD). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 13.5B TWD
Revenue growth (YoY) +9.1%
Net margin 1.8%
Return on equity 2.7%
Free cash flow −889M TWD FY2025
P/E ratio 61.9
More key figures
Operating margin 5.1%
EPS (TTM) 0.2600 TWD
Dividend yield 4.8%
EPS growth (YoY) +96.8%
Net debt 17.6B TWD FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 23, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 19/100

Of which business quality 19 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 56

Profitability 17
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 16
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 5
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 21
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 73
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 93
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 45
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 33
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Yem Chio Co., Ltd. engages in manufacture, processing, and sale of packaging materials in Taiwan and internationally. The company offers tapes, BOPP films, packaging materials, and adhesives and polystyrene sheets.

Full company description

Yem Chio Co., Ltd. engages in manufacture, processing, and sale of packaging materials in Taiwan and internationally. The company offers tapes, BOPP films, packaging materials, and adhesives and polystyrene sheets. It is also involved in the real estate business; and manufacturing and sales of polarizing film, photoelectric material, optical thin-film, and polarizing adhesives. The company was founded in 1977 and is based in Taipei, Taiwan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Yem Chio Co reported revenue of 13.3B TWD in FY2025 versus 17.2B TWD in FY2021, a compound −6.2%/yr. Reported net income was 172M TWD in FY2025, compounding −46.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 16/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
13.3B TWD
Latest YoY
−16.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−3.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−1.0%
Avg. growth/yr (23Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+9.4%
Revenue −6.2%/yr
FY21 17.2B TWD
FY22 14.7B TWD
FY23 13.2B TWD
FY24 15.9B TWD
FY25 13.3B TWD
Net income −46.0%/yr
FY21 2.0B TWD
FY22 1.0B TWD
FY23 801M TWD
FY24 817M TWD
FY25 172M TWD
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +6.2 % p.a.
Revenue per share −5.8 pp

of which total revenue −2.9 pp · buybacks/dilution −2.8 pp

EBIT margin +10.8 pp
Tax rate +3.6 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −2.4 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

4306 screens 44% overvalued. Compare with Linde plc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Yem Chio Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/4306

Peer Group

Specialty Chemicals · 673 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 19 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −52% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 3% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 5% · Below median
Revenue growth 9% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.8% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.69× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 56.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 0.75× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.71× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 15.2× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 46 · sector 19
PAST 11 · sector 23
HEALTH 66 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 96 · sector 25

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 23, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Linde plc LIN $489.98 $222.03 -55%
Nan Ya Plastics Corporation 1303 181.50 TWD 255.83 TWD +41%
Wanhua Chemical Group 600309 ¥70.04 ¥68.03 -3%
Novozymes A/S NSISB kr 428.20 kr 179.66 -58%
Asian Paints Limited ASIANPAINT ₹2,689 ₹668.81 -75%
Solar Industries India Limited SOLARINDS ₹18,236 ₹2,793 -85%
Pidilite Industries Limited PIDILITIND ₹1,560 ₹351.84 -77%
PT Chandra Asri Pacific Tbk TPIA 1,805 IDR 2,888 IDR +60%
Linde India Limited LINDEINDIA ₹7,115 ₹757.93 -89%
Berger Paints India Limited BERGEPAINT ₹493.70 ₹164.29 -67%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Yem Chio Co (4306) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 8.07 TWD versus a price of 14.40 TWD, about −44% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 4306?
Our model-based fair value for Yem Chio Co is 8.07 TWD (as of Jul 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 14.40 TWD.
What is the quality score of 4306?
Yem Chio Co has a Quality Score of 19/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Yem Chio Co (4306)?
Yem Chio Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 13.5B TWD (latest available figure, as of Jul 23, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 4306?
The net profit margin of Yem Chio Co is about 1.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 1.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Yem Chio Co pay a dividend?
Yem Chio Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.81% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 23, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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