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Sumou Real Estate Company (4323) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · SA · Market cap 1.3B SAR

SR Sumou Real Estate Company 4323 · SR
Price25.42 SAR
Fair Value39.32 SAR
Upside+54.7%
Quality53/100
Healthy Growth
Highly profitable · 24.5% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (12/14)
Wide moat 73/100
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Evidence: High Range 27.94 SAR – 58.41 SAR Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 31, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated today

Share price −10.2% over the past month.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (27.94 SAR). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (53/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range (27.94 SAR to 58.41 SAR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

39.82 SAR 24.76 SAR Fair Value 39.32 SAR Aug 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range 24.76 SAR – 39.82 SAR · fair‑value band 27.94 SAR – 58.41 SAR · the 25.42 SAR price screens below the 39.32 SAR fair value. As of Jul 31, 2026.

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Analysis

Sumou Real Estate Company (4323) currently trades at 25.42 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 39.32 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 54.7% undervalued today. We read business quality at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Sumou Real Estate Company generated revenue of 607M SAR at a net margin of 24.5%. Revenue grew 82.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 21.1%. Net debt stands at 308M SAR. Fundamentals as of Jul 31, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 27.94 SAR (bear case) to 58.41 SAR (bull case); at 25.42 SAR, the current price sits below that range. The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -4% fair-value upside, at 55%, 4323 screens cheaper than that median.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 607M SAR
Revenue growth (YoY) +82.8%
Net margin 24.5%
Return on equity 21.1%
Free cash flow 121M SAR FY2025
P/E ratio 8.6
More key figures
Operating margin 21.1%
EPS (TTM) 2.97 SAR
EPS growth (YoY) +59.3%
Net debt 308M SAR FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 31, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 53/100
Profitability 50
Quality Growth 58
Cashflow 75
Fin. Strength 78
Investment 45
Low Volatility 87
Momentum 18
52W Momentum 5
Net Issuance 41

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Sumou Real Estate Company, together with its subsidiaries, primarily engages in the real estate development business in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. It operates through Real Estate Projects Development; Real Estate Project Management; and Investments in Equity Instruments and Properties segments.

Full company description

Sumou Real Estate Company, together with its subsidiaries, primarily engages in the real estate development business in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. It operates through Real Estate Projects Development; Real Estate Project Management; and Investments in Equity Instruments and Properties segments. The company engages in the general construction of residential and non-residential buildings, airports and their facilities, and prefabricated buildings; renovation of residential and non-residential buildings; purchase and sale of land and real estate properties; land subdivision; off-plan sales activities; real estate brokerage activities; property management; real estate contributions; and management and leasing of owned or leased properties. It also invests in equity instruments and properties. The company was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in Al Khobar, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. Sumou Real Estate Company operates as a subsidiary of Sumou Holding Company.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Sumou Real Estate Company reported revenue of 523M SAR in FY2025 versus 103M SAR in FY2021, a compound +50.0%/yr. Reported net income was 135M SAR in FY2025, compounding +13.6%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue +50.0%/yr
FY21 103M SAR
FY22 282M SAR
FY23 274M SAR
FY24 430M SAR
FY25 523M SAR
Net income +13.6%/yr
FY21 81.2M SAR
FY22 87.6M SAR
FY23 103M SAR
FY24 107M SAR
FY25 135M SAR

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sumou Real Estate Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/4323

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 / 51
FUTURE 100 / 0
PAST 84 / 9
HEALTH 99 / 85
DIVIDEND 0 / 39

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate - Development stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 31, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Vinhomes Joint Stock Company VHM 155,400 VND 148,549 VND -4%
DLF Limited DLF ₹627.60 ₹215.17 -66%
Lodha Developers Limited LODHA ₹926.65 ₹774.29 -16%
PT Pantai Indah Kapuk Dua Tbk, PANI 6,650 IDR 1,330 IDR -80%
Oberoi Realty Limited OBEROIRLTY ₹1,633 ₹1,368 -16%
Godrej Properties Limited GODREJPROP ₹2,102 ₹1,044 -50%
PT Jaya Real Property, Tbk., JRPT 1,075 IDR 1,909 IDR +78%
PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk, BSDE 565.00 IDR 1,413 IDR +150%
PT Sentul City Tbk, BKSL 64.00 IDR 152.22 IDR +138%
PT Ciputra Development Tbk, CTRA 545.00 IDR 1,363 IDR +150%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Sumou Real Estate Company (4323) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 31, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 39.32 SAR versus a price of 25.42 SAR, about +55% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 4323?
Our model-based fair value for Sumou Real Estate Company is 39.32 SAR (as of Jul 31, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 25.42 SAR.
What is the quality score of 4323?
Sumou Real Estate Company has a Quality Score of 53/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Sumou Real Estate Company (4323)?
Sumou Real Estate Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 607M SAR (latest available figure, as of Jul 31, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 4323?
The net profit margin of Sumou Real Estate Company is about 24.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 24.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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