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SECURA GROUP LIMITED (43B) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of SECURA GROUP LIMITED S$0.07, price S$0.06, upside +7.0%, quality 53 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Industrials · SG · ISIN SG1CF2000009

SG Thin data Sep 27, 2026

SECURA GROUP LIMITED

43B · SG

NeutralThe stock looks roughly fairly valued with average quality.

·Fair value 0.0674 SGD · Fairly valued (+7.0%)
!Quality 53/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +9.4 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 2.5% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
✓1.6% dividend yield · Well covered
!Trails peers (4/13)
!Narrow moat 25/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 11 out of 100

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

0.0914 SGD 0.0447 SGD Fair Value 0.0674 SGD May 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 0.0447 SGD – 0.0914 SGD · fair‑value band 0.0611 SGD – 0.0800 SGD · the 0.0630 SGD price screens below the 0.0674 SGD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

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Company profile

Secura Group Limited, an investment company, provides an integrated suite of security products, services, and solutions in Singapore, Taiwan, and Bangladesh. It operates through Security Printing; Security Guarding; Security Technology and Consultancy; and Cybersecurity segments.

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Secura Group Limited, an investment company, provides an integrated suite of security products, services, and solutions in Singapore, Taiwan, and Bangladesh. It operates through Security Printing; Security Guarding; Security Technology and Consultancy; and Cybersecurity segments. The company offers cybersecurity, products, services, and solutions; and unarmed security guarding services. It also provides security printing services for various value documents, including cheques and bank drafts, vouchers, certificates, cashier's orders, carpark coupons, postage stamps, licienses, tickets, variable data printing, and other services; integrated command center services; and security system integration and training services. In addition, the company offers private investigation services; and provides secured data solutions, eStatement, eArchiving, and security data processing; and printing of computer forms and stationery services. Further, it engages in information technology cybersecurity consultancy. The company serves customers in various industries, including multinational corporations, financial institutions, and government agencies. Secura Group Limited was incorporated in 2015 and is headquartered in Singapore.

Stock analysis

SECURA GROUP LIMITED (43B) currently trades at 0.0630 SGD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.0674 SGD, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 6.5%).

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 0.1000 SGD per share, and 13 of the 26 models we run sit above the 0.0630 SGD price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 0.0200 SGD, and 13 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: 0.0611 SGD (bear) to 0.0800 SGD (bull), the price of 0.0630 SGD sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

SECURA GROUP LIMITED reported revenue of 53.1M SGD in FY2025 versus 37.3M SGD in FY2021, a compound +9.3%/yr. Reported net income was 1.3M SGD in FY2025, compounding −14.5%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 27.6M SGD (≈ $21.5M) · P/S ratio 0.52 · Dividend yield 1.6% · Net margin 2.5% · Return on equity 2.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.4% · Operating margin 2.1% · Revenue (TTM) 53.1M SGD.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 31% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 0% fair-value upside, at 7%, 43B screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 0.0611 SGD Fair Value 0.0674 SGD Bull 0.0800 SGD
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF 0.0600 SGD 0.0700 SGD 0.0800 SGD 82
Growth DCF 0.0600 SGD 0.0700 SGD 0.0800 SGD 80
Owner Earnings 0.1000 SGD 0.1300 SGD 0.1600 SGD 78
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 0.0600 SGD 0.0700 SGD 0.0800 SGD 82
Owner Earnings 0.1000 SGD 0.1300 SGD 0.1600 SGD 78
5Y Revenue Exit 0.0600 SGD 0.0600 SGD 0.0700 SGD 74
5Y EBITDA Exit 0.0900 SGD 0.1200 SGD 0.1500 SGD 77
5Y P/E Exit 0.0900 SGD 0.1200 SGD 0.1500 SGD 72
10Y Revenue Exit 0.0600 SGD 0.0600 SGD 0.0700 SGD 68
10Y EBITDA Exit 0.0800 SGD 0.1000 SGD 0.1300 SGD 70
10Y P/E Exit 0.0800 SGD 0.1000 SGD 0.1300 SGD 65
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 0.0200 SGD 0.0600 SGD 0.0800 SGD 65
Lynch FV 0.0100 SGD 0.0200 SGD 0.0200 SGD 61
PEG = 1.0 0.0100 SGD 0.0200 SGD 0.0200 SGD 57
EPV 0.0500 SGD 0.0500 SGD 0.0500 SGD 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 0.0100 SGD 0.0200 SGD 0.0400 SGD 64
DDM Multi-Stage 0.0100 SGD 0.0200 SGD 0.0300 SGD 65
Multiples
P/E Multiple 0.0700 SGD 0.0900 SGD 0.1100 SGD 63
P/S Multiple 0.0400 SGD 0.0600 SGD 0.0700 SGD 58
P/B Multiple 0.0400 SGD 0.0600 SGD 0.0700 SGD 55
EV/EBIT 0.0600 SGD 0.0700 SGD 0.0700 SGD 66
EV/EBITDA 0.1100 SGD 0.1300 SGD 0.1500 SGD 67
EV/Revenue 0.0500 SGD 0.0600 SGD 0.0600 SGD 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 0.0600 SGD 0.0800 SGD 0.1200 SGD 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 0.0600 SGD 0.0700 SGD 0.0800 SGD 80
Rev-Margin DCF 0.0600 SGD 0.0600 SGD 0.0700 SGD 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 0.0800 SGD 0.0800 SGD 0.0800 SGD 76
ROIC Compounder 0.0500 SGD 0.0500 SGD 0.0500 SGD 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 0.0500 SGD 0.0800 SGD 0.1000 SGD 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 53/100

Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 30

Profitability 33
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 23
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 23
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 82
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 93
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 57
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 23
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 10
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 59/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−9.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +10.0% a year
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.8%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−12.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−13.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.6%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.12% → 1%

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−4.3%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Singapore: IMF forecast 2.0% a year to 2030, 1.7% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −6.2% a year for the price.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Security & Protection Services · 108 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 53 · Below median
Fair Value upside +7.0% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 2.8% · Below median
Return on assets 0.9% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 2.5% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 2.1% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −9.4% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.6% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.04× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Security & Protection Services median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.46× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.41× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF 37.3× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 1.9× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)43 · sector 29
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 41
PAST (return on equity)11 · sector 22
HEALTH (low debt)98 · sector 99
DIVIDEND (yield)32 · sector 46

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Security & Protection Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

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Allegion plc ALLE $154.47 $129.15 −16%
Zhejiang Dahua Technology Co 002236 ¥15.54 ¥31.47 +103%
MSA Safety Incorporated MSA $182.32 $121.15 −34%
ADT Inc ADT $6.14 $19.40 +216%
The Brink's Company BCO $106.82 $121.18 +13%
The GEO Group GEO $31.22 $13.08 −58%
Brady Corporation BRC $84.02 $84.37 +0%
Loomis AB LOOMIS kr 562.00 kr 496.43 −12%
CoreCivic, Inc CXW $32.67 $18.76 −43%
S-1 Corporation 012750 83,200 KRW 99,629 KRW +20%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "SECURA GROUP LIMITED Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/43B

Frequently asked questions

Is SECURA GROUP LIMITED (43B) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.0674 SGD versus a price of 0.0630 SGD, about +7% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 43B?
Our model-based fair value for SECURA GROUP LIMITED is 0.0674 SGD (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 0.0630 SGD.
What is the quality score of 43B?
SECURA GROUP LIMITED has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for SECURA GROUP LIMITED (43B)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 0.0674 SGD (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario 0.0611 SGD, optimistic scenario 0.0800 SGD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the SECURA GROUP LIMITED stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 0.0674 SGD, about +7% upside versus a price of 0.0630 SGD (fairly valued). Cautious scenario 0.0611 SGD, optimistic scenario 0.0800 SGD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of SECURA GROUP LIMITED (43B)?
SECURA GROUP LIMITED reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 53.1M SGD (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
Does SECURA GROUP LIMITED pay a dividend?
SECURA GROUP LIMITED currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.59% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 27, 2026).
What growth is priced into SECURA GROUP LIMITED (43B)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, SECURA GROUP LIMITED would have to grow free cash flow by -4.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +9.4 % per year. As of Sep 27, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 43B use?
Our models discount SECURA GROUP LIMITED at 8.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.49, country premium for Singapore. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For SECURA GROUP LIMITED that is -4.3 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has SECURA GROUP LIMITED (43B) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at SECURA GROUP LIMITED grew +9.4 % a year. The price currently implies -4.3 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of SECURA GROUP LIMITED (43B) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +9.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into SECURA GROUP LIMITED (-4.3 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of SECURA GROUP LIMITED (43B)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.29 %: that much free cash flow SECURA GROUP LIMITED produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of SECURA GROUP LIMITED (43B)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For SECURA GROUP LIMITED it is 0.0674 SGD per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of 0.0630 SGD. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is SECURA GROUP LIMITED stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 43B trades below its calculated fair value: price 0.0630 SGD, fair value 0.0674 SGD, a gap of about +7% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 43B?
No. The price is what the market pays today (0.0630 SGD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (0.0674 SGD). For SECURA GROUP LIMITED the two are 0.0044 SGD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is SECURA GROUP LIMITED worth?
The market values SECURA GROUP LIMITED at about 27.6M SGD (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is 0.0630 SGD; our models calculate a fair value of 0.0674 SGD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 43B?
Our models span a range for SECURA GROUP LIMITED: cautious scenario 0.0611 SGD, base 0.0674 SGD, optimistic 0.0800 SGD per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price 0.0630 SGD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of SECURA GROUP LIMITED (43B)?
Balance-sheet figures for SECURA GROUP LIMITED (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 2.8%, debt of 0.04 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 53/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 43B from its 52-week high?
SECURA GROUP LIMITED trades at 0.0630 SGD, about 31% below its 52-week high of 0.0914 SGD and at the low of 0.0630 SGD (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 0.0674 SGD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to SECURA GROUP LIMITED?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Allegion plc, Zhejiang Dahua Technology Co, MSA Safety Incorporated, ADT Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is SECURA GROUP LIMITED stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price 0.0630 SGD, calculated fair value 0.0674 SGD (+7%), Quality Score 53/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 43B calculated?
We run SECURA GROUP LIMITED through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 0.0674 SGD, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. SECURA GROUP LIMITED currently trades 7 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of SECURA GROUP LIMITED (43B)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was 0.0630 SGD. Our model-based fair value is 0.0674 SGD, about +7% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with SECURA GROUP LIMITED right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of SECURA GROUP LIMITED

How large is the market capitalisation of SECURA GROUP LIMITED (43B)?
The market capitalisation of SECURA GROUP LIMITED is 27.6M SGD (≈ $21.5M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of SECURA GROUP LIMITED (43B)?
The price-to-sales ratio of SECURA GROUP LIMITED is 0.52 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the dividend yield of SECURA GROUP LIMITED (43B)?
The dividend yield of SECURA GROUP LIMITED is 1.6%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of SECURA GROUP LIMITED (43B)?
The net margin of SECURA GROUP LIMITED is 2.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of SECURA GROUP LIMITED (43B)?
The return on equity (ROE) of SECURA GROUP LIMITED is 2.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of SECURA GROUP LIMITED (43B)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of SECURA GROUP LIMITED is 2.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of SECURA GROUP LIMITED (43B)?
The operating margin of SECURA GROUP LIMITED is 2.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at SECURA GROUP LIMITED (43B)?
Revenue at SECURA GROUP LIMITED is growing −9.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +3.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at SECURA GROUP LIMITED (43B)?
Earnings per share at SECURA GROUP LIMITED are growing −77.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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