TST Group (4439) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · TW · Market cap 3.8B TWD
Fair value as of: Jul 23, 2026
From 17 valuation models · updated 18 days ago
Share price +7.5% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 18% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- A fairly wide model range (86.57 TWD to 160.77 TWD) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- Our model range runs from 86.57 TWD (bear) to 160.77 TWD (bull), base 123.68 TWD. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 49/100 (below-average quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 73.05 TWD – 159.46 TWD · fair‑value band 86.57 TWD – 160.77 TWD · the 104.50 TWD price screens below the 123.68 TWD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 23, 2026.
Analysis
TST Group (4439) currently trades at 104.50 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 123.68 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 18.4% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, TST Group generated revenue of 7.0B TWD at a net margin of 4.5%. Revenue grew 2.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.1%. Net debt stands at 1.0B TWD. Fundamentals as of Jul 23, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 86.57 TWD (bear case) to 160.77 TWD (bull case); at 104.50 TWD, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 5% below its 52-week high and 31% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at 18%, 4439 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 17 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (145.50 TWD) versus Dividend Discount (29.18 TWD). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 23, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 63
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
TST Group Holding Ltd. manufactures and sales of cotton fabric in textile industry. The company was founded in 1995 and is based in George Town, Cayman Islands.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
TST Group reported revenue of 7.0B TWD in FY2025 versus 7.4B TWD in FY2021, a compound −1.4%/yr. Reported net income was 294M TWD in FY2025, compounding −3.3%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Textile Manufacturing · 307 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Textile Manufacturing median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Textile Manufacturing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 23, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shenzhou International Group 2313 | HK$44.40 | HK$75.65 | +70% |
| Tongkun Group 601233 | ¥23.56 | ¥14.53 | -38% |
| Inner Mongolia ERDOS Resources Co 600295 | ¥12.04 | ¥14.35 | +19% |
| HMT (Xiamen) New Technical Materials Co 603306 | ¥91.75 | ¥12.85 | -86% |
| Far Eastern New Century Corporation 1402 | 27.55 TWD | 28.72 TWD | +4% |
| K.P.R. Mill Limited KPRMILL | ₹1,083 | ₹467.49 | -57% |
| Zhejiang Orient Holdings 600120 | ¥5.18 | ¥2.21 | -57% |
| Vardhman Textiles Limited VTL | ₹602.20 | ₹437.53 | -27% |
| Isiklar Enerji ve Yapi Holding IEYHO | 174.20 TRY | 323.84 TRY | +86% |
| Shandong Fiberglass Group 605006 | ¥16.75 | ¥6.42 | -62% |
Compare TST Group with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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