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Shieh Yih Machinery Industry Co (4533) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · TW · Market cap 4.2B TWD

SY Shieh Yih Machinery Industry Co 4533 · TWO
Price25.50 TWD
Fair Value10.18 TWD
Upside-60.1%
Quality49/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 0.1% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
0.66% dividend yield
Trails peers (2/12)
Narrow moat 25/100
Evidence: High Range 9.41 TWD – 10.18 TWD Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 23, 2026

From 15 valuation models · updated 18 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 23, 2026, revised from 10.19 TWD to 10.18 TWD (−0.1%) since Jul 11, 2026. Share price −12.5% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 60% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (10.18 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (49/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • The models converge in a tight band (9.41 TWD to 10.18 TWD), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

48.29 TWD 9.02 TWD Fair Value 10.18 TWD Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 9.02 TWD – 48.29 TWD · fair‑value band 9.41 TWD – 10.18 TWD · the 25.50 TWD price screens above the 10.18 TWD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 23, 2026.

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Analysis

Shieh Yih Machinery Industry Co (4533) currently trades at 25.50 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 10.18 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 60.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Shieh Yih Machinery Industry Co generated revenue of 3.8B TWD at a net margin of 0.1%. Revenue declined 17.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 0.2%. Net debt stands at 4.4M TWD. Fundamentals as of Jul 23, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 9.41 TWD (bear case) to 10.18 TWD (bull case); at 25.50 TWD, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 39% below its 52-week high and 32% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -60%, 4533 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income 11.14 TWD 10.51 TWD 7.67 TWD 76
ROIC Compounder 10.39 TWD 10.89 TWD 11.32 TWD 72
Gordon GGM 10.54 TWD 12.43 TWD 14.51 TWD 70
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings 12.11 TWD 13.72 TWD 16.83 TWD 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 1.36 TWD 2.14 TWD 2.57 TWD 54
EPV 10.39 TWD 10.89 TWD 11.32 TWD 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 10.54 TWD 12.43 TWD 14.51 TWD 70
DDM Multi-Stage 10.54 TWD 13.72 TWD 17.60 TWD 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 3.14 TWD 4.19 TWD 5.24 TWD 63
P/S Multiple 2.54 TWD 3.39 TWD 4.24 TWD 58
P/B Multiple 2.54 TWD 3.39 TWD 4.24 TWD 55
EV/EBIT 12.16 TWD 13.80 TWD 15.44 TWD 53
EV/EBITDA 16.69 TWD 19.84 TWD 23.00 TWD 54
EV/Revenue 10.75 TWD 12.25 TWD 13.76 TWD 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 8.17 TWD 10.94 TWD 16.33 TWD 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income 11.14 TWD 10.51 TWD 7.67 TWD 76
ROIC Compounder 10.39 TWD 10.89 TWD 11.32 TWD 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 2.22 TWD 3.17 TWD 4.12 TWD 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (13.72 TWD) versus Earnings-Based (2.14 TWD). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 3.8B TWD
Revenue growth (YoY) -17.1%
Net margin 0.1%
Return on equity 0.2%
Free cash flow −58.0M TWD FY2025
P/E ratio 153.8
More key figures
Operating margin 1.6%
EPS (TTM) 0.2000 TWD
Dividend yield 0.7%
EPS growth (YoY) -46.7%
Net debt 4.4M TWD FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 23, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 49/100

Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 37

Profitability 25
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 48
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 13
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 52
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 94
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 48
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 32
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 34
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Shieh Yih Machinery Industry Co., Ltd. designs, develops, manufactures, and sells machinery in China, Taiwan, America, Europe, and internationally. The company offers straight side crank and eccentric gear, solid frame crank, C frame direct-drive, and heavy stamping servo and mechanical presses, as well as progressive stamping link-motion press.

Full company description

Shieh Yih Machinery Industry Co., Ltd. designs, develops, manufactures, and sells machinery in China, Taiwan, America, Europe, and internationally. The company offers straight side crank and eccentric gear, solid frame crank, C frame direct-drive, and heavy stamping servo and mechanical presses, as well as progressive stamping link-motion press. It also provides smart stamping solution; hot stamping line; tandem press lines; blanking line; transfer presses; progressive die; heavy stamping; and servo technology application. In addition, the company offers troubleshooting and quotation for maintenance and parts; maintenance services, such as overseas maintenance and inspection services, and fault inspection for the internet remote access; overhaul services, including framework adjustment and spray-paint, maintenance and renewing of machines, machine precision adjustment, and upgrade of electronic control systems, as well as maintenance on drive, pressing, and clutch systems; and after sales services. Further, the company provides IT software and design services, as well as catering services. It serves automotive, aerospace, medical equipment, agriculture machinery, home appliances, consumer electronics, and building materials and hardware manufacturing industries. The company was formerly known as Shieh Yih Chuang Ironworks Co. and changed its name to Shieh Yih Machinery Industry Co., Ltd. in 1982. Shieh Yih Machinery Industry Co., Ltd. was founded in 1962 and is headquartered in Taoyuan City, Taiwan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Shieh Yih Machinery Industry Co reported revenue of 4.0B TWD in FY2025 versus 3.8B TWD in FY2021, a compound +1.5%/yr. Reported net income was 31.6M TWD in FY2025, compounding −13.6%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 46/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
4.0B TWD
Latest YoY
+12.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.8%
Avg. growth/yr (23Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.2%
Revenue +1.5%/yr
FY21 3.8B TWD
FY22 3.5B TWD
FY23 3.5B TWD
FY24 3.6B TWD
FY25 4.0B TWD
Net income −13.6%/yr
FY21 56.7M TWD
FY22 28.7M TWD
FY23 213M TWD
FY24 246M TWD
FY25 31.6M TWD

4533 screens 60% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shieh Yih Machinery Industry Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/4533

Peer Group

Specialty Industrial Machinery · 808 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 49 · Below median
Fair Value upside −60% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 0% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets 0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 2% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -17% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.7% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.40× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 132.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 0.05× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.03× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 23
PAST 1 · sector 28
HEALTH 80 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 13 · sector 24

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 23, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
GE Vernova Inc 1GEV €887.60 €186.93 -79%
1SIE 1SIE €273.20 €91.93 -66%
SMNS SMNS C$31.76 C$22.68 -29%
Eaton Corporation ETN $407.28 $171.92 -58%
Atlas Copco AB ATCOA kr 195.15 kr 112.59 -42%
Sandvik AB SAND kr 384.10 kr 193.01 -50%
Doosan Enerbility Co 034020 76,400 KRW 7,938 KRW -90%
Vestas Wind Systems A/S VWS kr 178.10 kr 124.54 -30%
Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co 002050 ¥43.20 ¥22.68 -48%
NARI Technology Co 600406 ¥22.19 ¥18.71 -16%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Shieh Yih Machinery Industry Co (4533) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 10.18 TWD versus a price of 25.50 TWD, about −60% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 4533?
Our model-based fair value for Shieh Yih Machinery Industry Co is 10.18 TWD (as of Jul 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 25.50 TWD.
What is the quality score of 4533?
Shieh Yih Machinery Industry Co has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Shieh Yih Machinery Industry Co (4533)?
Shieh Yih Machinery Industry Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 3.8B TWD (latest available figure, as of Jul 23, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 4533?
The net profit margin of Shieh Yih Machinery Industry Co is about 0.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Shieh Yih Machinery Industry Co pay a dividend?
Shieh Yih Machinery Industry Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.66% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 23, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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